Prediction 718

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state AL.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 883.88 - 859.02 - - - - 909.27 -
2022-07-03 838.65 - 814.61 - - - - 863.20 -
2022-07-10 828.66 - 804.82 - - - - 853.03 -
2022-07-17 772.07 - 749.29 - - - - 795.37 -
2022-07-24 728.98 - 707.02 - - - - 751.45 -
2022-07-31 645.89 - 625.54 - - - - 666.72 -
2022-08-07 601.09 - 581.64 - - - - 621.02 -
2022-08-14 573.95 - 555.04 - - - - 593.33 -
2022-08-21 498.54 - 481.20 - - - - 516.33 -
2022-08-28 483.78 - 466.76 - - - - 501.25 -
2022-09-04 456.88 - 440.45 - - - - 473.76 -
2022-09-11 396.62 - 381.51 - - - - 412.15 -
2022-09-18 412.21 - 396.77 - - - - 428.09 -
2022-09-25 387.69 - 372.82 - - - - 403.00 -
2022-10-02 356.45 - 342.31 - - - - 371.02 -
2022-10-09 340.38 - 326.62 - - - - 354.56 -
2022-10-16 364.67 - 350.33 - - - - 379.44 -
2022-10-23 345.19 - 331.32 - - - - 359.49 -
2022-10-30 345.89 - 331.98 - - - - 360.21 -
2022-11-06 405.12 - 389.84 - - - - 420.86 -
2022-11-13 405.90 - 390.58 - - - - 421.66 -
2022-11-20 327.77 - 314.30 - - - - 341.65 -
2022-11-27 310.24 - 297.23 - - - - 323.67 -
2022-12-04 293.18 - 280.60 - - - - 306.16 -
2022-12-11 282.34 - 270.01 - - - - 295.10 -
2022-12-18 214.59 - 204.09 - - - - 225.44 -
2022-12-25 199.61 - 189.85 - - - - 209.71 -
2023-01-01 627.37 - 16.22 - - - - 3468.60 -
2023-01-08 725.52 - 18.76 - - - - 4011.21 -
2023-01-15 770.39 - 19.92 - - - - 4259.28 -
2023-01-22 807.36 - 20.88 - - - - 4463.64 -
2023-01-29 891.67 - 23.06 - - - - 4929.72 -
2023-02-05 995.63 - 25.75 - - - - 5504.42 -
2023-02-12 1115.82 - 28.86 - - - - 6168.91 -
2023-02-19 1225.70 - 31.70 - - - - 6776.37 -
2023-02-26 1485.29 - 38.42 - - - - 8211.42 -
2023-03-05 1747.14 - 45.19 - - - - 9659.01 -
2023-03-12 1835.46 - 47.48 - - - - 10147.27 -
2023-03-19 2161.29 - 55.90 - - - - 11948.55 -
2023-03-26 2249.57 - 58.19 - - - - 12436.64 -
2023-04-02 2402.92 - 62.16 - - - - 13284.39 -
2023-04-09 2491.37 - 64.44 - - - - 13773.34 -
2023-04-16 2593.33 - 67.08 - - - - 14337.04 -
2023-04-23 2713.78 - 70.20 - - - - 15002.92 -
2023-04-30 3137.88 - 81.17 - - - - 17347.44 -
2023-05-07 3362.72 - 86.99 - - - - 18590.43 -
2023-05-14 3462.28 - 89.56 - - - - 19140.81 -
2023-05-21 3264.61 - 84.45 - - - - 18048.04 -
2023-05-28 3223.90 - 83.40 - - - - 17822.99 -
2023-06-04 3101.05 - 80.22 - - - - 17143.84 -
2023-06-11 3000.28 - 77.61 - - - - 16586.74 -
2023-06-18 2721.45 - 70.40 - - - - 15045.31 -
2023-06-25 2335.30 - 60.40 - - - - 12910.67 -
2023-07-02 2215.80 - 57.31 - - - - 12249.98 -
2023-07-09 2189.42 - 56.63 - - - - 12104.16 -
2023-07-16 2039.90 - 52.76 - - - - 11277.56 -
2023-07-23 1926.05 - 49.82 - - - - 10648.17 -
2023-07-30 1706.51 - 44.14 - - - - 9434.46 -
2023-08-06 1588.15 - 41.08 - - - - 8780.16 -
2023-08-13 1516.43 - 39.22 - - - - 8383.65 -
2023-08-20 1317.19 - 34.07 - - - - 7282.22 -
2023-08-27 1278.19 - 33.06 - - - - 7066.60 -
2023-09-03 1207.11 - 31.22 - - - - 6673.66 -
2023-09-10 1047.90 - 27.10 - - - - 5793.49 -
2023-09-17 1089.10 - 28.16 - - - - 6021.23 -
2023-09-24 1024.32 - 26.49 - - - - 5663.09 -
2023-10-01 941.79 - 24.35 - - - - 5206.84 -