Prediction 719

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state BA.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 557.23 - 544.88 - - - - 569.80 -
2022-07-03 586.22 - 573.45 - - - - 599.21 -
2022-07-10 550.71 - 538.45 - - - - 563.18 -
2022-07-17 473.16 - 462.03 - - - - 484.48 -
2022-07-24 406.21 - 396.10 - - - - 416.51 -
2022-07-31 366.21 - 356.73 - - - - 375.88 -
2022-08-07 325.77 - 316.95 - - - - 334.78 -
2022-08-14 281.73 - 273.65 - - - - 290.00 -
2022-08-21 250.73 - 243.18 - - - - 258.45 -
2022-08-28 236.45 - 229.16 - - - - 243.91 -
2022-09-04 231.32 - 224.12 - - - - 238.68 -
2022-09-11 221.00 - 214.00 - - - - 228.18 -
2022-09-18 208.43 - 201.66 - - - - 215.37 -
2022-09-25 199.23 - 192.63 - - - - 205.99 -
2022-10-02 188.90 - 182.51 - - - - 195.46 -
2022-10-09 178.87 - 172.68 - - - - 185.23 -
2022-10-16 185.52 - 179.19 - - - - 192.01 -
2022-10-23 173.00 - 166.92 - - - - 179.24 -
2022-10-30 184.98 - 178.66 - - - - 191.46 -
2022-11-06 201.15 - 194.52 - - - - 207.95 -
2022-11-13 208.62 - 201.84 - - - - 215.56 -
2022-11-20 233.96 - 226.71 - - - - 241.37 -
2022-11-27 258.87 - 251.18 - - - - 266.73 -
2022-12-04 276.48 - 268.48 - - - - 284.65 -
2022-12-11 260.24 - 252.53 - - - - 268.13 -
2022-12-18 229.15 - 221.99 - - - - 236.47 -
2022-12-25 225.65 - 218.94 - - - - 232.51 -
2023-01-01 616.50 - 63.71 - - - - 2486.53 -
2023-01-08 748.86 - 77.39 - - - - 3020.33 -
2023-01-15 832.96 - 86.08 - - - - 3359.48 -
2023-01-22 986.80 - 101.98 - - - - 3979.93 -
2023-01-29 1182.34 - 122.19 - - - - 4768.55 -
2023-02-05 1389.06 - 143.56 - - - - 5602.28 -
2023-02-12 1742.60 - 180.10 - - - - 7028.07 -
2023-02-19 1960.50 - 202.62 - - - - 7906.88 -
2023-02-26 2126.75 - 219.81 - - - - 8577.37 -
2023-03-05 2284.66 - 236.13 - - - - 9214.23 -
2023-03-12 2389.65 - 246.98 - - - - 9637.66 -
2023-03-19 2389.72 - 246.99 - - - - 9637.93 -
2023-03-26 2239.36 - 231.44 - - - - 9031.52 -
2023-04-02 2403.83 - 248.44 - - - - 9694.84 -
2023-04-09 2350.33 - 242.92 - - - - 9479.08 -
2023-04-16 2269.00 - 234.51 - - - - 9151.07 -
2023-04-23 2227.28 - 230.20 - - - - 8982.81 -
2023-04-30 2245.70 - 232.10 - - - - 9057.12 -
2023-05-07 2224.82 - 229.94 - - - - 8972.88 -
2023-05-14 2067.14 - 213.64 - - - - 8336.96 -
2023-05-21 1834.43 - 189.59 - - - - 7398.45 -
2023-05-28 1687.25 - 174.38 - - - - 6804.87 -
2023-06-04 1481.89 - 153.15 - - - - 5976.66 -
2023-06-11 1200.31 - 124.05 - - - - 4841.03 -
2023-06-18 930.67 - 96.18 - - - - 3753.56 -
2023-06-25 863.09 - 89.19 - - - - 3481.01 -
2023-07-02 907.99 - 93.84 - - - - 3662.10 -
2023-07-09 852.98 - 88.15 - - - - 3440.24 -
2023-07-16 732.86 - 75.73 - - - - 2955.81 -
2023-07-23 629.17 - 65.02 - - - - 2537.60 -
2023-07-30 567.22 - 58.61 - - - - 2287.76 -
2023-08-06 504.58 - 52.14 - - - - 2035.15 -
2023-08-13 436.37 - 45.09 - - - - 1760.05 -
2023-08-20 388.35 - 40.13 - - - - 1566.37 -
2023-08-27 366.24 - 37.84 - - - - 1477.21 -
2023-09-03 358.28 - 37.02 - - - - 1445.11 -
2023-09-10 342.30 - 35.37 - - - - 1380.68 -
2023-09-17 322.84 - 33.36 - - - - 1302.17 -
2023-09-24 308.58 - 31.88 - - - - 1244.66 -
2023-10-01 292.58 - 30.23 - - - - 1180.16 -