Prediction 720

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components
Author Marcio Maciel Bastos
ADM 1 Maranhão

Description:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state MA.


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 66.51 - 62.31 - - - - 70.91 -
2022-07-03 65.24 - 61.10 - - - - 69.59 -
2022-07-10 65.69 - 61.53 - - - - 70.06 -
2022-07-17 64.66 - 60.54 - - - - 68.98 -
2022-07-24 58.28 - 54.41 - - - - 62.34 -
2022-07-31 66.57 - 62.37 - - - - 70.97 -
2022-08-07 75.44 - 70.90 - - - - 80.20 -
2022-08-14 72.14 - 67.72 - - - - 76.76 -
2022-08-21 66.47 - 62.27 - - - - 70.87 -
2022-08-28 50.94 - 47.39 - - - - 54.69 -
2022-09-04 49.00 - 45.54 - - - - 52.66 -
2022-09-11 40.67 - 37.58 - - - - 43.94 -
2022-09-18 35.22 - 32.40 - - - - 38.23 -
2022-09-25 27.20 - 24.79 - - - - 29.78 -
2022-10-02 26.73 - 24.34 - - - - 29.28 -
2022-10-09 25.31 - 23.00 - - - - 27.78 -
2022-10-16 25.81 - 23.48 - - - - 28.31 -
2022-10-23 23.00 - 20.82 - - - - 25.34 -
2022-10-30 27.39 - 24.96 - - - - 29.98 -
2022-11-06 25.21 - 22.90 - - - - 27.67 -
2022-11-13 29.49 - 26.95 - - - - 32.19 -
2022-11-20 29.96 - 27.40 - - - - 32.69 -
2022-11-27 32.69 - 29.99 - - - - 35.56 -
2022-12-04 39.66 - 36.61 - - - - 42.89 -
2022-12-11 34.96 - 32.15 - - - - 37.95 -
2022-12-18 31.88 - 29.22 - - - - 34.72 -
2022-12-25 34.07 - 31.34 - - - - 36.96 -
2023-01-01 98.87 - 9.72 - - - - 405.61 -
2023-01-08 157.57 - 15.49 - - - - 646.33 -
2023-01-15 205.19 - 20.18 - - - - 841.57 -
2023-01-22 228.86 - 22.51 - - - - 938.66 -
2023-01-29 253.86 - 24.97 - - - - 1041.16 -
2023-02-05 341.44 - 33.58 - - - - 1400.32 -
2023-02-12 402.90 - 39.63 - - - - 1652.31 -
2023-02-19 398.81 - 39.23 - - - - 1635.55 -
2023-02-26 462.74 - 45.52 - - - - 1897.69 -
2023-03-05 460.35 - 45.28 - - - - 1887.89 -
2023-03-12 452.55 - 44.52 - - - - 1855.92 -
2023-03-19 410.61 - 40.39 - - - - 1683.92 -
2023-03-26 416.11 - 40.93 - - - - 1706.51 -
2023-04-02 378.15 - 37.20 - - - - 1550.82 -
2023-04-09 361.38 - 35.54 - - - - 1482.05 -
2023-04-16 393.01 - 38.66 - - - - 1611.76 -
2023-04-23 365.87 - 35.99 - - - - 1500.48 -
2023-04-30 290.71 - 28.59 - - - - 1192.27 -
2023-05-07 251.24 - 24.71 - - - - 1030.42 -
2023-05-14 247.71 - 24.36 - - - - 1015.94 -
2023-05-21 210.55 - 20.70 - - - - 863.57 -
2023-05-28 186.37 - 18.32 - - - - 764.40 -
2023-06-04 180.34 - 17.73 - - - - 739.67 -
2023-06-11 159.96 - 15.73 - - - - 656.11 -
2023-06-18 136.97 - 13.46 - - - - 561.83 -
2023-06-25 105.48 - 10.36 - - - - 432.71 -
2023-07-02 103.47 - 10.17 - - - - 424.47 -
2023-07-09 104.18 - 10.24 - - - - 427.38 -
2023-07-16 102.54 - 10.08 - - - - 420.66 -
2023-07-23 92.42 - 9.08 - - - - 379.16 -
2023-07-30 105.57 - 10.37 - - - - 433.08 -
2023-08-06 119.64 - 11.76 - - - - 490.81 -
2023-08-13 114.40 - 11.24 - - - - 469.29 -
2023-08-20 105.41 - 10.36 - - - - 432.43 -
2023-08-27 80.79 - 7.94 - - - - 331.46 -
2023-09-03 77.71 - 7.63 - - - - 318.85 -
2023-09-10 64.49 - 6.33 - - - - 264.63 -
2023-09-17 55.86 - 5.48 - - - - 229.22 -
2023-09-24 43.14 - 4.23 - - - - 177.08 -
2023-10-01 42.38 - 4.16 - - - - 173.97 -
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