Prediction 721

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components
Author Marcio Maciel Bastos
ADM 1 Paraíba

Description:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state PB.


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 659.85 - 638.88 - - - - 681.32 -
2022-07-03 657.97 - 637.04 - - - - 679.42 -
2022-07-10 606.23 - 586.33 - - - - 626.62 -
2022-07-17 581.37 - 561.98 - - - - 601.26 -
2022-07-24 487.94 - 470.51 - - - - 505.84 -
2022-07-31 449.26 - 432.68 - - - - 466.31 -
2022-08-07 427.60 - 411.50 - - - - 444.15 -
2022-08-14 420.19 - 404.26 - - - - 436.59 -
2022-08-21 356.99 - 342.53 - - - - 371.89 -
2022-08-28 338.79 - 324.78 - - - - 353.25 -
2022-09-04 308.58 - 295.32 - - - - 322.28 -
2022-09-11 278.65 - 266.16 - - - - 291.57 -
2022-09-18 253.69 - 241.87 - - - - 265.94 -
2022-09-25 218.49 - 207.64 - - - - 229.74 -
2022-10-02 224.55 - 213.53 - - - - 235.98 -
2022-10-09 197.97 - 187.74 - - - - 208.60 -
2022-10-16 189.56 - 179.59 - - - - 199.94 -
2022-10-23 162.41 - 153.30 - - - - 171.91 -
2022-10-30 157.70 - 148.75 - - - - 167.03 -
2022-11-06 156.14 - 147.24 - - - - 165.43 -
2022-11-13 162.91 - 153.79 - - - - 172.42 -
2022-11-20 166.53 - 157.28 - - - - 176.17 -
2022-11-27 192.16 - 182.11 - - - - 202.62 -
2022-12-04 249.93 - 238.18 - - - - 262.13 -
2022-12-11 240.45 - 229.00 - - - - 252.32 -
2022-12-18 231.19 - 219.98 - - - - 242.82 -
2022-12-25 183.10 - 173.48 - - - - 193.08 -
2023-01-01 392.26 - 33.05 - - - - 1689.56 -
2023-01-08 433.58 - 36.53 - - - - 1867.51 -
2023-01-15 536.76 - 45.23 - - - - 2311.85 -
2023-01-22 630.83 - 53.16 - - - - 2716.91 -
2023-01-29 750.71 - 63.27 - - - - 3233.17 -
2023-02-05 818.58 - 68.99 - - - - 3525.46 -
2023-02-12 1031.49 - 86.94 - - - - 4442.32 -
2023-02-19 1039.01 - 87.57 - - - - 4474.68 -
2023-02-26 1300.19 - 109.59 - - - - 5599.42 -
2023-03-05 1421.40 - 119.81 - - - - 6121.40 -
2023-03-12 1459.25 - 123.00 - - - - 6284.36 -
2023-03-19 1405.35 - 118.46 - - - - 6052.24 -
2023-03-26 1473.66 - 124.22 - - - - 6346.44 -
2023-04-02 1594.76 - 134.43 - - - - 6867.91 -
2023-04-09 1631.52 - 137.52 - - - - 7026.21 -
2023-04-16 1644.51 - 138.62 - - - - 7082.18 -
2023-04-23 1645.18 - 138.68 - - - - 7085.05 -
2023-04-30 1877.40 - 158.25 - - - - 8085.04 -
2023-05-07 1991.14 - 167.84 - - - - 8574.84 -
2023-05-14 2048.78 - 172.70 - - - - 8823.06 -
2023-05-21 1761.30 - 148.47 - - - - 7585.08 -
2023-05-28 1734.07 - 146.17 - - - - 7467.84 -
2023-06-04 1584.93 - 133.60 - - - - 6825.60 -
2023-06-11 1364.73 - 115.03 - - - - 5877.34 -
2023-06-18 1217.71 - 102.64 - - - - 5244.24 -
2023-06-25 1095.02 - 92.29 - - - - 4715.98 -
2023-07-02 1091.92 - 92.03 - - - - 4702.61 -
2023-07-09 1006.04 - 84.79 - - - - 4332.80 -
2023-07-16 964.80 - 81.31 - - - - 4155.18 -
2023-07-23 809.74 - 68.24 - - - - 3487.45 -
2023-07-30 745.56 - 62.83 - - - - 3211.05 -
2023-08-06 709.60 - 59.80 - - - - 3056.20 -
2023-08-13 697.31 - 58.76 - - - - 3003.25 -
2023-08-20 592.43 - 49.92 - - - - 2551.61 -
2023-08-27 562.23 - 47.37 - - - - 2421.57 -
2023-09-03 512.09 - 43.15 - - - - 2205.66 -
2023-09-10 462.43 - 38.96 - - - - 1991.78 -
2023-09-17 421.01 - 35.47 - - - - 1813.43 -
2023-09-24 362.59 - 30.54 - - - - 1561.85 -
2023-10-01 372.64 - 31.39 - - - - 1605.12 -
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