Prediction 722

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components
Author Marcio Maciel Bastos
ADM 1 Pernambuco

Description:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state PE.


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 304.48 - 296.70 - - - - 312.40 -
2022-07-03 290.96 - 283.44 - - - - 298.61 -
2022-07-10 263.29 - 256.33 - - - - 270.39 -
2022-07-17 243.29 - 236.73 - - - - 249.98 -
2022-07-24 203.38 - 197.63 - - - - 209.26 -
2022-07-31 200.11 - 194.43 - - - - 205.92 -
2022-08-07 190.16 - 184.68 - - - - 195.76 -
2022-08-14 177.25 - 172.04 - - - - 182.58 -
2022-08-21 171.75 - 166.66 - - - - 176.97 -
2022-08-28 158.54 - 153.72 - - - - 163.47 -
2022-09-04 153.76 - 149.04 - - - - 158.59 -
2022-09-11 143.44 - 138.94 - - - - 148.04 -
2022-09-18 128.77 - 124.59 - - - - 133.05 -
2022-09-25 131.60 - 127.36 - - - - 135.94 -
2022-10-02 129.42 - 125.23 - - - - 133.71 -
2022-10-09 123.28 - 119.22 - - - - 127.44 -
2022-10-16 130.39 - 126.18 - - - - 134.71 -
2022-10-23 146.40 - 141.84 - - - - 151.07 -
2022-10-30 181.13 - 175.83 - - - - 186.54 -
2022-11-06 212.90 - 206.96 - - - - 218.97 -
2022-11-13 231.98 - 225.64 - - - - 238.44 -
2022-11-20 216.99 - 210.96 - - - - 223.15 -
2022-11-27 258.06 - 251.21 - - - - 265.06 -
2022-12-04 254.67 - 247.88 - - - - 261.60 -
2022-12-11 243.90 - 237.33 - - - - 250.61 -
2022-12-18 190.43 - 184.94 - - - - 196.03 -
2022-12-25 160.97 - 156.17 - - - - 165.89 -
2023-01-01 485.79 - 33.72 - - - - 2211.86 -
2023-01-08 516.37 - 35.85 - - - - 2351.08 -
2023-01-15 554.39 - 38.49 - - - - 2524.17 -
2023-01-22 592.58 - 41.14 - - - - 2698.07 -
2023-01-29 660.26 - 45.84 - - - - 3006.19 -
2023-02-05 728.95 - 50.61 - - - - 3318.94 -
2023-02-12 763.53 - 53.01 - - - - 3476.37 -
2023-02-19 797.64 - 55.38 - - - - 3631.70 -
2023-02-26 827.56 - 57.45 - - - - 3767.90 -
2023-03-05 846.38 - 58.76 - - - - 3853.60 -
2023-03-12 901.20 - 62.57 - - - - 4103.18 -
2023-03-19 899.34 - 62.44 - - - - 4094.75 -
2023-03-26 830.70 - 57.67 - - - - 3782.23 -
2023-04-02 913.40 - 63.41 - - - - 4158.73 -
2023-04-09 920.24 - 63.89 - - - - 4189.89 -
2023-04-16 961.09 - 66.73 - - - - 4375.89 -
2023-04-23 961.62 - 66.76 - - - - 4378.29 -
2023-04-30 1010.36 - 70.15 - - - - 4600.19 -
2023-05-07 979.01 - 67.97 - - - - 4457.48 -
2023-05-14 975.92 - 67.75 - - - - 4443.37 -
2023-05-21 867.34 - 60.22 - - - - 3949.05 -
2023-05-28 829.89 - 57.62 - - - - 3778.50 -
2023-06-04 770.05 - 53.46 - - - - 3506.06 -
2023-06-11 652.14 - 45.27 - - - - 2969.26 -
2023-06-18 549.03 - 38.12 - - - - 2499.80 -
2023-06-25 541.88 - 37.62 - - - - 2467.25 -
2023-07-02 517.82 - 35.95 - - - - 2357.69 -
2023-07-09 468.59 - 32.53 - - - - 2133.56 -
2023-07-16 432.99 - 30.06 - - - - 1971.44 -
2023-07-23 361.96 - 25.13 - - - - 1648.08 -
2023-07-30 356.15 - 24.72 - - - - 1621.59 -
2023-08-06 338.44 - 23.49 - - - - 1540.96 -
2023-08-13 315.46 - 21.90 - - - - 1436.34 -
2023-08-20 305.68 - 21.22 - - - - 1391.80 -
2023-08-27 282.15 - 19.59 - - - - 1284.70 -
2023-09-03 273.65 - 19.00 - - - - 1246.00 -
2023-09-10 255.28 - 17.72 - - - - 1162.35 -
2023-09-17 229.18 - 15.91 - - - - 1043.51 -
2023-09-24 234.21 - 16.26 - - - - 1066.41 -
2023-10-01 230.33 - 15.99 - - - - 1048.76 -
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