Prediction 723

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components
Author Marcio Maciel Bastos
ADM 1 Piauí

Description:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state PI.


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 922.61 - 885.80 - - - - 960.54 -
2022-07-03 824.45 - 789.93 - - - - 860.07 -
2022-07-10 698.84 - 667.42 - - - - 731.33 -
2022-07-17 670.62 - 639.95 - - - - 702.38 -
2022-07-24 571.75 - 543.74 - - - - 600.82 -
2022-07-31 515.36 - 488.96 - - - - 542.81 -
2022-08-07 441.66 - 417.47 - - - - 466.87 -
2022-08-14 370.65 - 348.74 - - - - 393.55 -
2022-08-21 362.45 - 340.83 - - - - 385.08 -
2022-08-28 305.02 - 285.43 - - - - 325.57 -
2022-09-04 271.73 - 253.41 - - - - 291.01 -
2022-09-11 234.62 - 217.78 - - - - 252.39 -
2022-09-18 226.87 - 210.35 - - - - 244.35 -
2022-09-25 182.21 - 167.68 - - - - 197.62 -
2022-10-02 160.92 - 147.43 - - - - 175.29 -
2022-10-09 150.11 - 137.18 - - - - 163.93 -
2022-10-16 138.77 - 126.43 - - - - 151.97 -
2022-10-23 131.92 - 119.92 - - - - 144.74 -
2022-10-30 141.17 - 128.70 - - - - 154.50 -
2022-11-06 154.06 - 140.93 - - - - 168.08 -
2022-11-13 166.33 - 152.58 - - - - 180.98 -
2022-11-20 169.48 - 155.56 - - - - 184.27 -
2022-11-27 189.21 - 174.37 - - - - 204.98 -
2022-12-04 191.64 - 176.69 - - - - 207.51 -
2022-12-11 182.96 - 168.41 - - - - 198.42 -
2022-12-18 172.22 - 158.19 - - - - 187.15 -
2022-12-25 150.29 - 137.50 - - - - 163.77 -
2023-01-01 404.52 - 36.49 - - - - 1705.76 -
2023-01-08 500.93 - 45.20 - - - - 2112.12 -
2023-01-15 528.52 - 47.69 - - - - 2228.41 -
2023-01-22 633.40 - 57.16 - - - - 2670.45 -
2023-01-29 793.37 - 71.62 - - - - 3344.75 -
2023-02-05 871.33 - 78.66 - - - - 3673.31 -
2023-02-12 953.97 - 86.12 - - - - 4021.66 -
2023-02-19 989.17 - 89.30 - - - - 4170.00 -
2023-02-26 1149.91 - 103.82 - - - - 4847.49 -
2023-03-05 1427.67 - 128.91 - - - - 6018.21 -
2023-03-12 1820.13 - 164.37 - - - - 7672.38 -
2023-03-19 2192.96 - 198.04 - - - - 9243.83 -
2023-03-26 2427.45 - 219.23 - - - - 10232.17 -
2023-04-02 2747.77 - 248.16 - - - - 11582.26 -
2023-04-09 2970.69 - 268.30 - - - - 12521.86 -
2023-04-16 3208.31 - 289.77 - - - - 13523.39 -
2023-04-23 3246.79 - 293.24 - - - - 13685.59 -
2023-04-30 3096.21 - 279.64 - - - - 13050.91 -
2023-05-07 3159.82 - 285.39 - - - - 13319.02 -
2023-05-14 2925.99 - 264.26 - - - - 12333.46 -
2023-05-21 2441.12 - 220.46 - - - - 10289.79 -
2023-05-28 2260.43 - 204.14 - - - - 9528.21 -
2023-06-04 1987.01 - 179.44 - - - - 8375.78 -
2023-06-11 1805.59 - 163.05 - - - - 7611.13 -
2023-06-18 1560.68 - 140.93 - - - - 6578.84 -
2023-06-25 1496.73 - 135.13 - - - - 6309.70 -
2023-07-02 1337.48 - 120.74 - - - - 5638.47 -
2023-07-09 1133.71 - 102.34 - - - - 4779.59 -
2023-07-16 1087.94 - 98.20 - - - - 4586.67 -
2023-07-23 927.55 - 83.71 - - - - 3910.60 -
2023-07-30 836.06 - 75.45 - - - - 3525.01 -
2023-08-06 716.49 - 64.65 - - - - 3020.95 -
2023-08-13 601.30 - 54.24 - - - - 2535.43 -
2023-08-20 587.99 - 53.04 - - - - 2479.35 -
2023-08-27 494.82 - 44.63 - - - - 2086.63 -
2023-09-03 440.82 - 39.75 - - - - 1859.03 -
2023-09-10 380.62 - 34.31 - - - - 1605.30 -
2023-09-17 368.04 - 33.18 - - - - 1552.26 -
2023-09-24 295.59 - 26.63 - - - - 1246.87 -
2023-10-01 261.06 - 23.52 - - - - 1101.33 -
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