Prediction 724

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state RN.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 784.06 - 762.34 - - - - 806.22 -
2022-07-03 785.64 - 763.91 - - - - 807.83 -
2022-07-10 762.40 - 741.06 - - - - 784.19 -
2022-07-17 721.95 - 701.30 - - - - 743.04 -
2022-07-24 633.31 - 614.23 - - - - 652.83 -
2022-07-31 590.86 - 572.54 - - - - 609.60 -
2022-08-07 583.23 - 565.06 - - - - 601.84 -
2022-08-14 494.16 - 477.67 - - - - 511.06 -
2022-08-21 439.10 - 423.71 - - - - 454.90 -
2022-08-28 370.87 - 356.91 - - - - 385.24 -
2022-09-04 353.19 - 339.61 - - - - 367.16 -
2022-09-11 318.14 - 305.35 - - - - 331.31 -
2022-09-18 281.87 - 269.94 - - - - 294.19 -
2022-09-25 237.09 - 226.27 - - - - 248.29 -
2022-10-02 241.05 - 230.14 - - - - 252.34 -
2022-10-09 241.48 - 230.55 - - - - 252.78 -
2022-10-16 239.51 - 228.63 - - - - 250.77 -
2022-10-23 204.50 - 194.55 - - - - 214.81 -
2022-10-30 193.48 - 183.83 - - - - 203.49 -
2022-11-06 224.31 - 213.83 - - - - 235.17 -
2022-11-13 223.35 - 212.90 - - - - 234.18 -
2022-11-20 226.02 - 215.50 - - - - 236.92 -
2022-11-27 242.29 - 231.34 - - - - 253.62 -
2022-12-04 228.29 - 217.71 - - - - 239.25 -
2022-12-11 225.40 - 214.90 - - - - 236.28 -
2022-12-18 213.39 - 203.21 - - - - 223.95 -
2022-12-25 201.45 - 191.80 - - - - 211.43 -
2023-01-01 595.50 - 32.31 - - - - 2884.54 -
2023-01-08 676.10 - 36.68 - - - - 3274.90 -
2023-01-15 835.92 - 45.35 - - - - 4048.98 -
2023-01-22 1024.26 - 55.58 - - - - 4961.15 -
2023-01-29 1371.65 - 74.43 - - - - 6643.66 -
2023-02-05 1741.29 - 94.49 - - - - 8433.97 -
2023-02-12 2176.76 - 118.13 - - - - 10543.10 -
2023-02-19 2340.38 - 127.01 - - - - 11335.54 -
2023-02-26 2727.11 - 148.00 - - - - 13208.61 -
2023-03-05 2688.51 - 145.90 - - - - 13021.64 -
2023-03-12 2777.04 - 150.71 - - - - 13450.44 -
2023-03-19 2589.19 - 140.51 - - - - 12540.59 -
2023-03-26 2396.84 - 130.07 - - - - 11609.02 -
2023-04-02 2792.33 - 151.54 - - - - 13524.47 -
2023-04-09 2914.82 - 158.19 - - - - 14117.74 -
2023-04-16 2898.43 - 157.30 - - - - 14038.35 -
2023-04-23 2868.37 - 155.67 - - - - 13892.78 -
2023-04-30 2931.22 - 159.08 - - - - 14197.16 -
2023-05-07 2828.17 - 153.48 - - - - 13698.07 -
2023-05-14 2930.88 - 159.06 - - - - 14195.54 -
2023-05-21 2653.57 - 144.01 - - - - 12852.41 -
2023-05-28 2496.61 - 135.49 - - - - 12092.21 -
2023-06-04 2403.13 - 130.41 - - - - 11639.47 -
2023-06-11 2123.36 - 115.23 - - - - 10284.46 -
2023-06-18 1949.82 - 105.81 - - - - 9443.95 -
2023-06-25 1532.04 - 83.13 - - - - 7420.59 -
2023-07-02 1535.15 - 83.30 - - - - 7435.62 -
2023-07-09 1489.73 - 80.84 - - - - 7215.62 -
2023-07-16 1410.68 - 76.55 - - - - 6832.79 -
2023-07-23 1237.49 - 67.15 - - - - 5993.98 -
2023-07-30 1154.54 - 62.64 - - - - 5592.19 -
2023-08-06 1139.64 - 61.84 - - - - 5520.04 -
2023-08-13 965.59 - 52.39 - - - - 4677.06 -
2023-08-20 857.99 - 46.55 - - - - 4155.93 -
2023-08-27 724.69 - 39.31 - - - - 3510.28 -
2023-09-03 690.13 - 37.44 - - - - 3342.90 -
2023-09-10 621.64 - 33.72 - - - - 3011.19 -
2023-09-17 550.78 - 29.88 - - - - 2668.00 -
2023-09-24 463.28 - 25.13 - - - - 2244.20 -
2023-10-01 471.02 - 25.55 - - - - 2281.67 -