Prediction 725

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state SE.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 96.86 - 90.75 - - - - 103.27 -
2022-07-03 109.10 - 102.42 - - - - 116.10 -
2022-07-10 104.43 - 97.96 - - - - 111.20 -
2022-07-17 99.27 - 93.04 - - - - 105.79 -
2022-07-24 101.28 - 94.96 - - - - 107.90 -
2022-07-31 96.33 - 90.25 - - - - 102.72 -
2022-08-07 88.65 - 82.93 - - - - 94.67 -
2022-08-14 85.41 - 79.84 - - - - 91.26 -
2022-08-21 77.92 - 72.71 - - - - 83.40 -
2022-08-28 70.59 - 65.73 - - - - 75.71 -
2022-09-04 76.40 - 71.27 - - - - 81.81 -
2022-09-11 80.00 - 74.69 - - - - 85.59 -
2022-09-18 78.95 - 73.68 - - - - 84.50 -
2022-09-25 64.54 - 59.97 - - - - 69.35 -
2022-10-02 63.89 - 59.37 - - - - 68.67 -
2022-10-09 57.40 - 53.20 - - - - 61.83 -
2022-10-16 57.56 - 53.36 - - - - 61.99 -
2022-10-23 56.78 - 52.61 - - - - 61.18 -
2022-10-30 64.94 - 60.37 - - - - 69.77 -
2022-11-06 76.66 - 71.50 - - - - 82.10 -
2022-11-13 71.33 - 66.42 - - - - 76.49 -
2022-11-20 84.14 - 78.62 - - - - 89.95 -
2022-11-27 77.74 - 72.53 - - - - 83.21 -
2022-12-04 64.69 - 60.13 - - - - 69.51 -
2022-12-11 60.04 - 55.70 - - - - 64.63 -
2022-12-18 44.28 - 40.78 - - - - 48.00 -
2022-12-25 37.74 - 34.61 - - - - 41.04 -
2023-01-01 145.31 - 3.16 - - - - 820.26 -
2023-01-08 142.32 - 3.10 - - - - 803.36 -
2023-01-15 158.57 - 3.45 - - - - 895.10 -
2023-01-22 185.92 - 4.05 - - - - 1049.46 -
2023-01-29 193.30 - 4.21 - - - - 1091.12 -
2023-02-05 237.32 - 5.17 - - - - 1339.53 -
2023-02-12 239.60 - 5.22 - - - - 1352.41 -
2023-02-19 261.89 - 5.70 - - - - 1478.22 -
2023-02-26 266.59 - 5.80 - - - - 1504.73 -
2023-03-05 250.76 - 5.46 - - - - 1415.39 -
2023-03-12 286.34 - 6.23 - - - - 1616.21 -
2023-03-19 294.96 - 6.42 - - - - 1664.85 -
2023-03-26 284.59 - 6.20 - - - - 1606.33 -
2023-04-02 331.94 - 7.23 - - - - 1873.54 -
2023-04-09 334.41 - 7.28 - - - - 1887.49 -
2023-04-16 303.79 - 6.61 - - - - 1714.67 -
2023-04-23 268.97 - 5.86 - - - - 1518.16 -
2023-04-30 313.79 - 6.83 - - - - 1771.15 -
2023-05-07 314.90 - 6.86 - - - - 1777.41 -
2023-05-14 329.77 - 7.18 - - - - 1861.29 -
2023-05-21 315.05 - 6.86 - - - - 1778.26 -
2023-05-28 308.82 - 6.72 - - - - 1743.10 -
2023-06-04 305.58 - 6.65 - - - - 1724.79 -
2023-06-11 291.00 - 6.34 - - - - 1642.53 -
2023-06-18 282.03 - 6.14 - - - - 1591.90 -
2023-06-25 275.82 - 6.00 - - - - 1556.85 -
2023-07-02 310.65 - 6.76 - - - - 1753.43 -
2023-07-09 297.35 - 6.47 - - - - 1678.37 -
2023-07-16 282.66 - 6.15 - - - - 1595.46 -
2023-07-23 288.39 - 6.28 - - - - 1627.82 -
2023-07-30 274.31 - 5.97 - - - - 1548.32 -
2023-08-06 252.44 - 5.50 - - - - 1424.87 -
2023-08-13 243.19 - 5.29 - - - - 1372.69 -
2023-08-20 221.87 - 4.83 - - - - 1252.37 -
2023-08-27 201.01 - 4.38 - - - - 1134.63 -
2023-09-03 217.56 - 4.74 - - - - 1228.03 -
2023-09-10 227.80 - 4.96 - - - - 1285.82 -
2023-09-17 224.81 - 4.89 - - - - 1268.93 -
2023-09-24 183.78 - 4.00 - - - - 1037.39 -
2023-10-01 181.94 - 3.96 - - - - 1026.99 -