Prediction 726

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components
Author Marcio Maciel Bastos
ADM 1 Goiás

Description:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state GO.


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 2346.14 - 2305.65 - - - - 2387.15 -
2022-07-03 1886.96 - 1850.99 - - - - 1923.44 -
2022-07-10 1588.41 - 1555.63 - - - - 1621.70 -
2022-07-17 1396.30 - 1365.71 - - - - 1427.40 -
2022-07-24 1153.25 - 1125.61 - - - - 1181.39 -
2022-07-31 1135.42 - 1108.02 - - - - 1163.33 -
2022-08-07 1043.30 - 1017.09 - - - - 1070.00 -
2022-08-14 1048.17 - 1021.91 - - - - 1074.94 -
2022-08-21 963.30 - 938.18 - - - - 988.91 -
2022-08-28 874.84 - 850.96 - - - - 899.20 -
2022-09-04 867.02 - 843.26 - - - - 891.27 -
2022-09-11 937.40 - 912.64 - - - - 962.65 -
2022-09-18 989.34 - 963.87 - - - - 1015.31 -
2022-09-25 1041.65 - 1015.47 - - - - 1068.32 -
2022-10-02 1121.76 - 1094.53 - - - - 1149.49 -
2022-10-09 1141.38 - 1113.90 - - - - 1169.36 -
2022-10-16 1257.95 - 1229.01 - - - - 1287.40 -
2022-10-23 1218.58 - 1190.12 - - - - 1247.53 -
2022-10-30 1265.68 - 1236.64 - - - - 1295.21 -
2022-11-06 1457.74 - 1426.43 - - - - 1489.55 -
2022-11-13 1608.23 - 1575.22 - - - - 1641.74 -
2022-11-20 1885.20 - 1849.25 - - - - 1921.67 -
2022-11-27 2081.79 - 2043.85 - - - - 2120.25 -
2022-12-04 2430.29 - 2389.01 - - - - 2472.10 -
2022-12-11 2424.71 - 2383.47 - - - - 2466.46 -
2022-12-18 2021.59 - 1984.25 - - - - 2059.45 -
2022-12-25 2038.24 - 2002.83 - - - - 2074.10 -
2023-01-01 5887.40 - 993.25 - - - - 19648.69 -
2023-01-08 6923.58 - 1168.08 - - - - 23106.77 -
2023-01-15 7968.96 - 1344.45 - - - - 26595.56 -
2023-01-22 8774.00 - 1480.27 - - - - 29282.23 -
2023-01-29 10088.29 - 1702.02 - - - - 33668.47 -
2023-02-05 10004.32 - 1687.85 - - - - 33388.23 -
2023-02-12 10642.66 - 1795.55 - - - - 35518.60 -
2023-02-19 10983.70 - 1853.09 - - - - 36656.74 -
2023-02-26 11820.75 - 1994.32 - - - - 39450.27 -
2023-03-05 12062.68 - 2035.13 - - - - 40257.67 -
2023-03-12 12452.97 - 2100.98 - - - - 41560.21 -
2023-03-19 12262.26 - 2068.81 - - - - 40923.73 -
2023-03-26 11835.37 - 1996.78 - - - - 39499.07 -
2023-04-02 12725.52 - 2146.97 - - - - 42469.77 -
2023-04-09 11802.64 - 1991.26 - - - - 39389.83 -
2023-04-16 11553.86 - 1949.29 - - - - 38559.56 -
2023-04-23 11627.36 - 1961.69 - - - - 38804.87 -
2023-04-30 11448.71 - 1931.55 - - - - 38208.63 -
2023-05-07 10618.83 - 1791.53 - - - - 35439.06 -
2023-05-14 9277.30 - 1565.19 - - - - 30961.91 -
2023-05-21 7635.73 - 1288.23 - - - - 25483.47 -
2023-05-28 6531.47 - 1101.92 - - - - 21798.18 -
2023-06-04 5747.11 - 969.58 - - - - 19180.51 -
2023-06-11 4747.99 - 801.02 - - - - 15846.12 -
2023-06-18 3876.91 - 654.05 - - - - 12939.02 -
2023-06-25 3126.45 - 527.42 - - - - 10434.58 -
2023-07-02 2514.55 - 424.18 - - - - 8392.46 -
2023-07-09 2116.71 - 357.06 - - - - 7064.73 -
2023-07-16 1860.70 - 313.87 - - - - 6210.35 -
2023-07-23 1536.82 - 259.22 - - - - 5129.43 -
2023-07-30 1513.06 - 255.21 - - - - 5050.14 -
2023-08-06 1390.29 - 234.50 - - - - 4640.43 -
2023-08-13 1396.79 - 235.60 - - - - 4662.11 -
2023-08-20 1283.68 - 216.51 - - - - 4284.63 -
2023-08-27 1165.80 - 196.63 - - - - 3891.22 -
2023-09-03 1155.39 - 194.87 - - - - 3856.47 -
2023-09-10 1249.17 - 210.69 - - - - 4169.47 -
2023-09-17 1318.39 - 222.37 - - - - 4400.47 -
2023-09-24 1388.09 - 234.13 - - - - 4633.08 -
2023-10-01 1494.85 - 252.14 - - - - 4989.36 -
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