Prediction 727

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components
Author Marcio Maciel Bastos
ADM 1 Mato Grosso

Description:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state MT.


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 411.25 - 396.77 - - - - 426.11 -
2022-07-03 382.81 - 368.91 - - - - 397.10 -
2022-07-10 311.60 - 299.23 - - - - 324.34 -
2022-07-17 279.56 - 267.92 - - - - 291.57 -
2022-07-24 248.88 - 237.98 - - - - 260.15 -
2022-07-31 242.77 - 232.02 - - - - 253.88 -
2022-08-07 225.92 - 215.59 - - - - 236.61 -
2022-08-14 220.49 - 210.31 - - - - 231.05 -
2022-08-21 189.41 - 180.05 - - - - 199.12 -
2022-08-28 160.86 - 152.31 - - - - 169.76 -
2022-09-04 162.13 - 153.55 - - - - 171.06 -
2022-09-11 176.18 - 167.19 - - - - 185.52 -
2022-09-18 180.12 - 171.02 - - - - 189.58 -
2022-09-25 172.69 - 163.80 - - - - 181.93 -
2022-10-02 184.95 - 175.71 - - - - 194.53 -
2022-10-09 200.52 - 190.85 - - - - 210.53 -
2022-10-16 225.42 - 215.10 - - - - 236.09 -
2022-10-23 233.55 - 223.02 - - - - 244.43 -
2022-10-30 278.81 - 267.19 - - - - 290.80 -
2022-11-06 329.55 - 316.78 - - - - 342.69 -
2022-11-13 389.18 - 375.15 - - - - 403.60 -
2022-11-20 499.47 - 483.28 - - - - 516.06 -
2022-11-27 628.75 - 610.22 - - - - 647.69 -
2022-12-04 710.43 - 690.50 - - - - 730.78 -
2022-12-11 677.89 - 658.51 - - - - 697.69 -
2022-12-18 543.99 - 526.95 - - - - 561.42 -
2022-12-25 627.43 - 609.86 - - - - 645.36 -
2023-01-01 2020.66 - 258.78 - - - - 7545.10 -
2023-01-08 2207.57 - 282.72 - - - - 8243.07 -
2023-01-15 2253.26 - 288.58 - - - - 8413.67 -
2023-01-22 2369.03 - 303.41 - - - - 8845.95 -
2023-01-29 2422.80 - 310.29 - - - - 9046.69 -
2023-02-05 2300.58 - 294.64 - - - - 8590.36 -
2023-02-12 2308.89 - 295.70 - - - - 8621.37 -
2023-02-19 2143.76 - 274.55 - - - - 8004.80 -
2023-02-26 2232.46 - 285.91 - - - - 8335.99 -
2023-03-05 2071.35 - 265.28 - - - - 7734.43 -
2023-03-12 2079.50 - 266.32 - - - - 7764.87 -
2023-03-19 1929.81 - 247.15 - - - - 7205.96 -
2023-03-26 1779.30 - 227.87 - - - - 6643.98 -
2023-04-02 1791.06 - 229.38 - - - - 6687.89 -
2023-04-09 1791.88 - 229.48 - - - - 6690.94 -
2023-04-16 1785.78 - 228.70 - - - - 6668.19 -
2023-04-23 1642.69 - 210.37 - - - - 6133.90 -
2023-04-30 1541.58 - 197.42 - - - - 5756.35 -
2023-05-07 1462.06 - 187.24 - - - - 5459.45 -
2023-05-14 1341.49 - 171.79 - - - - 5009.26 -
2023-05-21 1201.24 - 153.83 - - - - 4485.59 -
2023-05-28 1014.45 - 129.90 - - - - 3788.16 -
2023-06-04 840.38 - 107.61 - - - - 3138.20 -
2023-06-11 771.71 - 98.81 - - - - 2881.80 -
2023-06-18 707.55 - 90.59 - - - - 2642.21 -
2023-06-25 599.44 - 76.74 - - - - 2238.61 -
2023-07-02 557.99 - 71.43 - - - - 2083.85 -
2023-07-09 454.19 - 58.14 - - - - 1696.27 -
2023-07-16 407.49 - 52.16 - - - - 1521.89 -
2023-07-23 362.77 - 46.43 - - - - 1354.92 -
2023-07-30 353.86 - 45.29 - - - - 1321.65 -
2023-08-06 329.30 - 42.14 - - - - 1229.94 -
2023-08-13 321.39 - 41.13 - - - - 1200.42 -
2023-08-20 276.08 - 35.33 - - - - 1031.22 -
2023-08-27 234.48 - 30.00 - - - - 875.88 -
2023-09-03 236.32 - 30.23 - - - - 882.77 -
2023-09-10 256.80 - 32.86 - - - - 959.25 -
2023-09-17 262.55 - 33.59 - - - - 980.70 -
2023-09-24 251.71 - 32.20 - - - - 940.23 -
2023-10-01 269.58 - 34.49 - - - - 1006.95 -
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