Prediction 728

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components
Author Marcio Maciel Bastos
ADM 1 Mato Grosso do Sul

Description:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state MS.


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 101.62 - 97.54 - - - - 105.83 -
2022-07-03 78.73 - 75.21 - - - - 82.37 -
2022-07-10 62.76 - 59.67 - - - - 65.97 -
2022-07-17 56.75 - 53.83 - - - - 59.78 -
2022-07-24 49.70 - 46.99 - - - - 52.52 -
2022-07-31 48.38 - 45.72 - - - - 51.16 -
2022-08-07 44.36 - 41.82 - - - - 47.01 -
2022-08-14 44.44 - 41.91 - - - - 47.10 -
2022-08-21 41.75 - 39.30 - - - - 44.31 -
2022-08-28 43.45 - 40.94 - - - - 46.07 -
2022-09-04 43.96 - 41.43 - - - - 46.59 -
2022-09-11 48.09 - 45.43 - - - - 50.86 -
2022-09-18 46.80 - 44.18 - - - - 49.52 -
2022-09-25 48.52 - 45.85 - - - - 51.30 -
2022-10-02 48.03 - 45.38 - - - - 50.80 -
2022-10-09 49.06 - 46.37 - - - - 51.86 -
2022-10-16 58.12 - 55.17 - - - - 61.20 -
2022-10-23 63.69 - 60.57 - - - - 66.92 -
2022-10-30 74.12 - 70.72 - - - - 77.64 -
2022-11-06 95.84 - 91.90 - - - - 99.91 -
2022-11-13 117.99 - 113.53 - - - - 122.58 -
2022-11-20 158.52 - 153.19 - - - - 163.99 -
2022-11-27 202.19 - 195.99 - - - - 208.54 -
2022-12-04 229.40 - 222.68 - - - - 236.27 -
2022-12-11 249.27 - 242.18 - - - - 256.52 -
2022-12-18 222.25 - 215.66 - - - - 228.98 -
2022-12-25 259.40 - 252.39 - - - - 266.55 -
2023-01-01 1530.84 - 30.36 - - - - 8717.86 -
2023-01-08 1976.98 - 39.21 - - - - 11258.50 -
2023-01-15 2472.65 - 49.05 - - - - 14081.21 -
2023-01-22 2863.27 - 56.79 - - - - 16305.71 -
2023-01-29 2990.62 - 59.32 - - - - 17030.95 -
2023-02-05 2932.44 - 58.17 - - - - 16699.59 -
2023-02-12 2932.59 - 58.17 - - - - 16700.45 -
2023-02-19 2836.54 - 56.26 - - - - 16153.49 -
2023-02-26 2926.15 - 58.04 - - - - 16663.80 -
2023-03-05 2897.41 - 57.47 - - - - 16500.11 -
2023-03-12 2933.61 - 58.19 - - - - 16706.25 -
2023-03-19 2710.62 - 53.77 - - - - 15436.42 -
2023-03-26 2483.00 - 49.25 - - - - 14140.15 -
2023-04-02 2369.81 - 47.01 - - - - 13495.60 -
2023-04-09 2278.17 - 45.19 - - - - 12973.71 -
2023-04-16 2057.11 - 40.80 - - - - 11714.80 -
2023-04-23 1854.98 - 36.79 - - - - 10563.72 -
2023-04-30 1681.42 - 33.35 - - - - 9575.35 -
2023-05-07 1377.05 - 27.31 - - - - 7842.04 -
2023-05-14 1058.56 - 21.00 - - - - 6028.31 -
2023-05-21 799.06 - 15.85 - - - - 4550.57 -
2023-05-28 657.37 - 13.04 - - - - 3743.67 -
2023-06-04 552.54 - 10.96 - - - - 3146.65 -
2023-06-11 497.70 - 9.87 - - - - 2834.36 -
2023-06-18 419.90 - 8.33 - - - - 2391.34 -
2023-06-25 302.39 - 6.00 - - - - 1722.13 -
2023-07-02 234.28 - 4.64 - - - - 1334.25 -
2023-07-09 186.76 - 3.70 - - - - 1063.63 -
2023-07-16 168.87 - 3.35 - - - - 961.74 -
2023-07-23 147.89 - 2.93 - - - - 842.27 -
2023-07-30 143.97 - 2.85 - - - - 819.98 -
2023-08-06 131.99 - 2.62 - - - - 751.74 -
2023-08-13 132.25 - 2.62 - - - - 753.23 -
2023-08-20 124.23 - 2.46 - - - - 707.56 -
2023-08-27 129.28 - 2.56 - - - - 736.32 -
2023-09-03 130.80 - 2.59 - - - - 744.98 -
2023-09-10 143.09 - 2.84 - - - - 814.93 -
2023-09-17 139.24 - 2.76 - - - - 793.06 -
2023-09-24 144.37 - 2.86 - - - - 822.23 -
2023-10-01 142.92 - 2.83 - - - - 813.99 -
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