Prediction 729

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components
Author Marcio Maciel Bastos
ADM 1 Distrito Federal

Description:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state DF.


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 1157.94 - 1120.84 - - - - 1195.95 -
2022-07-03 915.22 - 882.62 - - - - 948.70 -
2022-07-10 724.32 - 695.62 - - - - 753.87 -
2022-07-17 659.19 - 631.94 - - - - 687.31 -
2022-07-24 529.44 - 505.26 - - - - 554.46 -
2022-07-31 468.85 - 446.22 - - - - 492.32 -
2022-08-07 385.28 - 364.94 - - - - 406.43 -
2022-08-14 352.56 - 333.20 - - - - 372.74 -
2022-08-21 318.80 - 300.48 - - - - 337.93 -
2022-08-28 278.88 - 261.85 - - - - 296.71 -
2022-09-04 291.93 - 274.48 - - - - 310.19 -
2022-09-11 317.16 - 298.89 - - - - 336.24 -
2022-09-18 310.41 - 292.36 - - - - 329.28 -
2022-09-25 326.94 - 308.37 - - - - 346.34 -
2022-10-02 310.00 - 291.96 - - - - 328.85 -
2022-10-09 279.34 - 262.30 - - - - 297.18 -
2022-10-16 289.19 - 271.83 - - - - 307.37 -
2022-10-23 275.75 - 258.82 - - - - 293.47 -
2022-10-30 318.64 - 300.32 - - - - 337.78 -
2022-11-06 322.40 - 303.96 - - - - 341.65 -
2022-11-13 344.92 - 325.79 - - - - 364.87 -
2022-11-20 367.36 - 347.55 - - - - 387.98 -
2022-11-27 385.01 - 364.68 - - - - 406.16 -
2022-12-04 476.88 - 454.04 - - - - 500.57 -
2022-12-11 534.09 - 509.79 - - - - 559.24 -
2022-12-18 507.53 - 483.89 - - - - 532.02 -
2022-12-25 370.53 - 352.55 - - - - 389.12 -
2023-01-01 1424.04 - 73.90 - - - - 6966.18 -
2023-01-08 1557.85 - 80.84 - - - - 7620.68 -
2023-01-15 1874.07 - 97.26 - - - - 9167.43 -
2023-01-22 2221.34 - 115.29 - - - - 10866.04 -
2023-01-29 2772.29 - 143.89 - - - - 13560.92 -
2023-02-05 3549.36 - 184.23 - - - - 17361.86 -
2023-02-12 3630.86 - 188.46 - - - - 17760.51 -
2023-02-19 3950.43 - 205.05 - - - - 19323.62 -
2023-02-26 4501.84 - 233.68 - - - - 22020.76 -
2023-03-05 4948.66 - 256.87 - - - - 24206.35 -
2023-03-12 5581.98 - 289.75 - - - - 27304.13 -
2023-03-19 5792.23 - 300.67 - - - - 28332.54 -
2023-03-26 6043.42 - 313.71 - - - - 29561.18 -
2023-04-02 6547.77 - 339.89 - - - - 32028.17 -
2023-04-09 7090.93 - 368.09 - - - - 34684.94 -
2023-04-16 7241.12 - 375.89 - - - - 35419.57 -
2023-04-23 7199.89 - 373.75 - - - - 35217.87 -
2023-04-30 7041.14 - 365.50 - - - - 34441.37 -
2023-05-07 6592.67 - 342.22 - - - - 32247.76 -
2023-05-14 6469.58 - 335.83 - - - - 31645.71 -
2023-05-21 5852.13 - 303.78 - - - - 28625.52 -
2023-05-28 5423.63 - 281.53 - - - - 26529.55 -
2023-06-04 4612.29 - 239.41 - - - - 22561.01 -
2023-06-11 3656.65 - 189.80 - - - - 17886.64 -
2023-06-18 2654.19 - 137.76 - - - - 12983.25 -
2023-06-25 2301.28 - 119.43 - - - - 11257.30 -
2023-07-02 1818.89 - 94.39 - - - - 8897.76 -
2023-07-09 1439.50 - 74.69 - - - - 7042.00 -
2023-07-16 1310.08 - 67.97 - - - - 6408.94 -
2023-07-23 1052.20 - 54.58 - - - - 5147.58 -
2023-07-30 931.80 - 48.33 - - - - 4558.62 -
2023-08-06 765.70 - 39.71 - - - - 3746.16 -
2023-08-13 700.67 - 36.34 - - - - 3428.10 -
2023-08-20 633.58 - 32.85 - - - - 3099.90 -
2023-08-27 554.25 - 28.74 - - - - 2711.87 -
2023-09-03 580.18 - 30.08 - - - - 2838.72 -
2023-09-10 630.32 - 32.68 - - - - 3083.95 -
2023-09-17 616.91 - 31.99 - - - - 3018.40 -
2023-09-24 649.76 - 33.69 - - - - 3179.08 -
2023-10-01 616.09 - 31.95 - - - - 3014.38 -
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