Prediction 730

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components
Author Marcio Maciel Bastos
ADM 1 Minas Gerais

Description:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state MG.


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 476.87 - 468.78 - - - - 485.05 -
2022-07-03 366.26 - 359.33 - - - - 373.28 -
2022-07-10 266.35 - 260.57 - - - - 272.22 -
2022-07-17 209.76 - 204.70 - - - - 214.91 -
2022-07-24 175.87 - 171.28 - - - - 180.55 -
2022-07-31 157.24 - 152.92 - - - - 161.65 -
2022-08-07 144.45 - 140.33 - - - - 148.67 -
2022-08-14 139.19 - 135.15 - - - - 143.33 -
2022-08-21 139.27 - 135.23 - - - - 143.41 -
2022-08-28 132.91 - 128.96 - - - - 136.94 -
2022-09-04 136.36 - 132.36 - - - - 140.45 -
2022-09-11 158.07 - 153.74 - - - - 162.50 -
2022-09-18 156.90 - 152.59 - - - - 161.31 -
2022-09-25 151.23 - 147.00 - - - - 155.55 -
2022-10-02 150.88 - 146.66 - - - - 155.19 -
2022-10-09 151.13 - 146.90 - - - - 155.45 -
2022-10-16 178.09 - 173.47 - - - - 182.81 -
2022-10-23 173.87 - 169.31 - - - - 178.52 -
2022-10-30 178.40 - 173.78 - - - - 183.12 -
2022-11-06 206.62 - 201.61 - - - - 211.73 -
2022-11-13 223.08 - 217.84 - - - - 228.40 -
2022-11-20 277.67 - 271.76 - - - - 283.68 -
2022-11-27 311.72 - 305.40 - - - - 318.13 -
2022-12-04 377.89 - 370.84 - - - - 385.04 -
2022-12-11 424.55 - 417.00 - - - - 432.19 -
2022-12-18 463.16 - 455.22 - - - - 471.21 -
2022-12-25 533.77 - 525.33 - - - - 542.31 -
2023-01-01 3823.01 - 47.38 - - - - 22473.03 -
2023-01-08 4775.87 - 59.19 - - - - 28074.31 -
2023-01-15 5577.47 - 69.12 - - - - 32786.38 -
2023-01-22 6492.19 - 80.46 - - - - 38163.43 -
2023-01-29 7550.15 - 93.57 - - - - 44382.49 -
2023-02-05 8623.23 - 106.87 - - - - 50690.43 -
2023-02-12 11058.35 - 137.05 - - - - 65004.92 -
2023-02-19 12855.65 - 159.32 - - - - 75570.03 -
2023-02-26 13845.83 - 171.59 - - - - 81390.69 -
2023-03-05 14728.89 - 182.54 - - - - 86581.61 -
2023-03-12 16702.87 - 207.00 - - - - 98185.37 -
2023-03-19 17228.91 - 213.52 - - - - 101277.60 -
2023-03-26 17790.09 - 220.48 - - - - 104576.42 -
2023-04-02 20242.47 - 250.87 - - - - 118992.34 -
2023-04-09 19709.54 - 244.26 - - - - 115859.60 -
2023-04-16 18175.04 - 225.25 - - - - 106839.31 -
2023-04-23 17797.07 - 220.56 - - - - 104617.43 -
2023-04-30 15642.92 - 193.87 - - - - 91954.60 -
2023-05-07 13475.28 - 167.00 - - - - 79212.45 -
2023-05-14 10975.50 - 136.02 - - - - 64517.87 -
2023-05-21 8445.78 - 104.67 - - - - 49647.33 -
2023-05-28 6352.80 - 78.73 - - - - 37344.07 -
2023-06-04 4769.46 - 59.11 - - - - 28036.61 -
2023-06-11 3454.64 - 42.81 - - - - 20307.66 -
2023-06-18 2388.77 - 29.60 - - - - 14042.08 -
2023-06-25 1796.10 - 22.26 - - - - 10558.18 -
2023-07-02 1379.50 - 17.10 - - - - 8109.25 -
2023-07-09 1003.20 - 12.43 - - - - 5897.21 -
2023-07-16 790.05 - 9.79 - - - - 4644.24 -
2023-07-23 662.40 - 8.21 - - - - 3893.86 -
2023-07-30 592.25 - 7.34 - - - - 3481.53 -
2023-08-06 544.07 - 6.74 - - - - 3198.30 -
2023-08-13 524.27 - 6.50 - - - - 3081.91 -
2023-08-20 524.57 - 6.50 - - - - 3083.65 -
2023-08-27 500.59 - 6.20 - - - - 2942.71 -
2023-09-03 513.59 - 6.36 - - - - 3019.11 -
2023-09-10 595.38 - 7.38 - - - - 3499.90 -
2023-09-17 590.96 - 7.32 - - - - 3473.95 -
2023-09-24 569.61 - 7.06 - - - - 3348.40 -
2023-10-01 568.28 - 7.04 - - - - 3340.63 -
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