Prediction 731
| Model | Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | São Paulo |
Description:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state SP.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-06-26 | 2627.68 | - | 2596.63 | - | - | - | - | 2659.01 | - |
| 2022-07-03 | 1921.17 | - | 1894.99 | - | - | - | - | 1947.63 | - |
| 2022-07-10 | 1646.38 | - | 1622.28 | - | - | - | - | 1670.74 | - |
| 2022-07-17 | 1427.90 | - | 1405.56 | - | - | - | - | 1450.50 | - |
| 2022-07-24 | 1307.18 | - | 1285.87 | - | - | - | - | 1328.76 | - |
| 2022-07-31 | 1181.41 | - | 1161.20 | - | - | - | - | 1201.87 | - |
| 2022-08-07 | 1161.76 | - | 1141.73 | - | - | - | - | 1182.04 | - |
| 2022-08-14 | 1066.20 | - | 1047.06 | - | - | - | - | 1085.60 | - |
| 2022-08-21 | 1049.53 | - | 1030.54 | - | - | - | - | 1068.77 | - |
| 2022-08-28 | 1032.17 | - | 1013.36 | - | - | - | - | 1051.25 | - |
| 2022-09-04 | 1057.75 | - | 1038.69 | - | - | - | - | 1077.07 | - |
| 2022-09-11 | 1273.40 | - | 1252.38 | - | - | - | - | 1294.69 | - |
| 2022-09-18 | 1312.27 | - | 1290.91 | - | - | - | - | 1333.90 | - |
| 2022-09-25 | 1272.27 | - | 1251.26 | - | - | - | - | 1293.55 | - |
| 2022-10-02 | 1346.52 | - | 1324.87 | - | - | - | - | 1368.43 | - |
| 2022-10-09 | 1399.89 | - | 1377.78 | - | - | - | - | 1422.26 | - |
| 2022-10-16 | 1521.42 | - | 1498.31 | - | - | - | - | 1544.79 | - |
| 2022-10-23 | 1425.63 | - | 1403.31 | - | - | - | - | 1448.21 | - |
| 2022-10-30 | 1528.79 | - | 1505.62 | - | - | - | - | 1552.22 | - |
| 2022-11-06 | 1627.66 | - | 1603.71 | - | - | - | - | 1651.88 | - |
| 2022-11-13 | 1660.84 | - | 1636.62 | - | - | - | - | 1685.32 | - |
| 2022-11-20 | 1877.17 | - | 1851.31 | - | - | - | - | 1903.30 | - |
| 2022-11-27 | 2054.55 | - | 2027.40 | - | - | - | - | 2081.97 | - |
| 2022-12-04 | 2265.00 | - | 2236.37 | - | - | - | - | 2293.90 | - |
| 2022-12-11 | 2362.44 | - | 2333.15 | - | - | - | - | 2392.01 | - |
| 2022-12-18 | 2227.87 | - | 2199.50 | - | - | - | - | 2256.51 | - |
| 2022-12-25 | 2232.33 | - | 2205.58 | - | - | - | - | 2259.31 | - |
| 2023-01-01 | 7004.38 | - | 457.17 | - | - | - | - | 32416.33 | - |
| 2023-01-08 | 8426.67 | - | 550.00 | - | - | - | - | 38998.68 | - |
| 2023-01-15 | 10929.49 | - | 713.36 | - | - | - | - | 50581.68 | - |
| 2023-01-22 | 13688.40 | - | 893.44 | - | - | - | - | 63349.81 | - |
| 2023-01-29 | 16658.35 | - | 1087.29 | - | - | - | - | 77094.70 | - |
| 2023-02-05 | 19545.95 | - | 1275.76 | - | - | - | - | 90458.44 | - |
| 2023-02-12 | 22778.43 | - | 1486.75 | - | - | - | - | 105418.23 | - |
| 2023-02-19 | 25828.68 | - | 1685.84 | - | - | - | - | 119534.69 | - |
| 2023-02-26 | 29715.63 | - | 1939.55 | - | - | - | - | 137523.37 | - |
| 2023-03-05 | 32698.56 | - | 2134.24 | - | - | - | - | 151328.31 | - |
| 2023-03-12 | 36008.21 | - | 2350.27 | - | - | - | - | 166645.27 | - |
| 2023-03-19 | 35460.41 | - | 2314.51 | - | - | - | - | 164110.03 | - |
| 2023-03-26 | 35391.99 | - | 2310.04 | - | - | - | - | 163793.38 | - |
| 2023-04-02 | 39144.96 | - | 2555.00 | - | - | - | - | 181162.07 | - |
| 2023-04-09 | 38787.91 | - | 2531.70 | - | - | - | - | 179509.62 | - |
| 2023-04-16 | 37790.89 | - | 2466.62 | - | - | - | - | 174895.47 | - |
| 2023-04-23 | 35525.83 | - | 2318.78 | - | - | - | - | 164412.80 | - |
| 2023-04-30 | 31384.36 | - | 2048.46 | - | - | - | - | 145246.22 | - |
| 2023-05-07 | 26506.67 | - | 1730.09 | - | - | - | - | 122672.41 | - |
| 2023-05-14 | 21628.18 | - | 1411.67 | - | - | - | - | 100094.93 | - |
| 2023-05-21 | 15843.88 | - | 1034.13 | - | - | - | - | 73325.40 | - |
| 2023-05-28 | 11812.95 | - | 771.03 | - | - | - | - | 54670.32 | - |
| 2023-06-04 | 9068.27 | - | 591.88 | - | - | - | - | 41968.00 | - |
| 2023-06-11 | 7380.27 | - | 481.70 | - | - | - | - | 34155.95 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 5781.81 | - | 377.37 | - | - | - | - | 26758.33 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 4780.81 | - | 312.03 | - | - | - | - | 22125.73 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 3495.38 | - | 228.13 | - | - | - | - | 16176.81 | - |
| 2023-07-09 | 2995.42 | - | 195.50 | - | - | - | - | 13863.00 | - |
| 2023-07-16 | 2597.93 | - | 169.55 | - | - | - | - | 12023.40 | - |
| 2023-07-23 | 2378.29 | - | 155.22 | - | - | - | - | 11006.94 | - |
| 2023-07-30 | 2149.45 | - | 140.28 | - | - | - | - | 9947.87 | - |
| 2023-08-06 | 2113.70 | - | 137.95 | - | - | - | - | 9782.42 | - |
| 2023-08-13 | 1939.84 | - | 126.60 | - | - | - | - | 8977.80 | - |
| 2023-08-20 | 1909.51 | - | 124.62 | - | - | - | - | 8837.43 | - |
| 2023-08-27 | 1877.94 | - | 122.56 | - | - | - | - | 8691.32 | - |
| 2023-09-03 | 1924.47 | - | 125.60 | - | - | - | - | 8906.68 | - |
| 2023-09-10 | 2316.83 | - | 151.21 | - | - | - | - | 10722.50 | - |
| 2023-09-17 | 2387.55 | - | 155.82 | - | - | - | - | 11049.81 | - |
| 2023-09-24 | 2314.78 | - | 151.07 | - | - | - | - | 10713.00 | - |
| 2023-10-01 | 2449.86 | - | 159.89 | - | - | - | - | 11338.15 | - |
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