Prediction 732

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components
Author Marcio Maciel Bastos
ADM 1 Rio de Janeiro

Description:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state RJ.


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 93.86 - 91.18 - - - - 96.60 -
2022-07-03 80.01 - 77.65 - - - - 82.43 -
2022-07-10 60.67 - 58.76 - - - - 62.63 -
2022-07-17 50.79 - 49.12 - - - - 52.52 -
2022-07-24 42.24 - 40.77 - - - - 43.75 -
2022-07-31 41.08 - 39.64 - - - - 42.56 -
2022-08-07 39.38 - 37.98 - - - - 40.82 -
2022-08-14 35.60 - 34.29 - - - - 36.94 -
2022-08-21 31.94 - 30.73 - - - - 33.18 -
2022-08-28 28.81 - 27.68 - - - - 29.98 -
2022-09-04 25.32 - 24.28 - - - - 26.39 -
2022-09-11 25.30 - 24.26 - - - - 26.37 -
2022-09-18 24.08 - 23.07 - - - - 25.11 -
2022-09-25 22.92 - 21.95 - - - - 23.92 -
2022-10-02 22.80 - 21.84 - - - - 23.80 -
2022-10-09 23.20 - 22.22 - - - - 24.21 -
2022-10-16 24.80 - 23.77 - - - - 25.85 -
2022-10-23 25.33 - 24.29 - - - - 26.40 -
2022-10-30 27.38 - 26.28 - - - - 28.50 -
2022-11-06 30.46 - 29.29 - - - - 31.67 -
2022-11-13 32.30 - 31.08 - - - - 33.56 -
2022-11-20 39.91 - 38.50 - - - - 41.36 -
2022-11-27 47.11 - 45.52 - - - - 48.74 -
2022-12-04 60.65 - 58.74 - - - - 62.61 -
2022-12-11 66.62 - 64.57 - - - - 68.72 -
2022-12-18 61.47 - 59.54 - - - - 63.45 -
2022-12-25 73.40 - 71.20 - - - - 75.66 -
2023-01-01 358.68 - 6.99 - - - - 2045.83 -
2023-01-08 396.93 - 7.73 - - - - 2264.02 -
2023-01-15 461.19 - 8.98 - - - - 2630.49 -
2023-01-22 504.21 - 9.82 - - - - 2875.88 -
2023-01-29 538.75 - 10.49 - - - - 3072.90 -
2023-02-05 603.02 - 11.74 - - - - 3439.45 -
2023-02-12 708.07 - 13.79 - - - - 4038.67 -
2023-02-19 851.60 - 16.59 - - - - 4857.29 -
2023-02-26 986.38 - 19.21 - - - - 5626.07 -
2023-03-05 1109.94 - 21.62 - - - - 6330.78 -
2023-03-12 1307.47 - 25.46 - - - - 7457.43 -
2023-03-19 1405.84 - 27.38 - - - - 8018.53 -
2023-03-26 1431.37 - 27.88 - - - - 8164.13 -
2023-04-02 1620.76 - 31.57 - - - - 9244.39 -
2023-04-09 1668.07 - 32.49 - - - - 9514.23 -
2023-04-16 1551.76 - 30.22 - - - - 8850.83 -
2023-04-23 1467.91 - 28.59 - - - - 8372.53 -
2023-04-30 1334.16 - 25.98 - - - - 7609.71 -
2023-05-07 1271.15 - 24.76 - - - - 7250.28 -
2023-05-14 1073.76 - 20.91 - - - - 6124.42 -
2023-05-21 869.81 - 16.94 - - - - 4961.15 -
2023-05-28 688.59 - 13.41 - - - - 3927.52 -
2023-06-04 531.96 - 10.36 - - - - 3034.19 -
2023-06-11 444.78 - 8.66 - - - - 2536.93 -
2023-06-18 349.03 - 6.80 - - - - 1990.76 -
2023-06-25 281.50 - 5.48 - - - - 1605.63 -
2023-07-02 239.96 - 4.67 - - - - 1368.71 -
2023-07-09 181.96 - 3.54 - - - - 1037.87 -
2023-07-16 152.34 - 2.97 - - - - 868.91 -
2023-07-23 126.68 - 2.47 - - - - 722.56 -
2023-07-30 123.22 - 2.40 - - - - 702.81 -
2023-08-06 118.10 - 2.30 - - - - 673.63 -
2023-08-13 106.76 - 2.08 - - - - 608.94 -
2023-08-20 95.78 - 1.86 - - - - 546.32 -
2023-08-27 86.41 - 1.68 - - - - 492.88 -
2023-09-03 75.93 - 1.48 - - - - 433.10 -
2023-09-10 75.87 - 1.48 - - - - 432.78 -
2023-09-17 72.21 - 1.41 - - - - 411.88 -
2023-09-24 68.74 - 1.34 - - - - 392.09 -
2023-10-01 68.39 - 1.33 - - - - 390.11 -
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