Prediction 733

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state PR.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 1110.44 - 1083.31 - - - - 1138.08 -
2022-07-03 826.43 - 803.24 - - - - 850.11 -
2022-07-10 732.01 - 710.27 - - - - 754.24 -
2022-07-17 641.53 - 621.26 - - - - 662.30 -
2022-07-24 624.22 - 604.24 - - - - 644.69 -
2022-07-31 587.01 - 567.66 - - - - 606.83 -
2022-08-07 567.75 - 548.75 - - - - 587.24 -
2022-08-14 543.79 - 525.21 - - - - 562.85 -
2022-08-21 558.64 - 539.80 - - - - 577.97 -
2022-08-28 550.40 - 531.71 - - - - 569.58 -
2022-09-04 537.06 - 518.60 - - - - 556.01 -
2022-09-11 670.82 - 650.06 - - - - 692.08 -
2022-09-18 634.72 - 614.56 - - - - 655.37 -
2022-09-25 620.92 - 600.99 - - - - 641.33 -
2022-10-02 686.73 - 665.71 - - - - 708.24 -
2022-10-09 734.57 - 712.79 - - - - 756.84 -
2022-10-16 827.37 - 804.17 - - - - 851.06 -
2022-10-23 819.79 - 796.71 - - - - 843.37 -
2022-10-30 876.88 - 852.95 - - - - 901.30 -
2022-11-06 978.57 - 953.21 - - - - 1004.43 -
2022-11-13 1062.92 - 1036.41 - - - - 1089.92 -
2022-11-20 1322.56 - 1292.76 - - - - 1352.87 -
2022-11-27 1456.15 - 1424.76 - - - - 1488.04 -
2022-12-04 1634.58 - 1601.17 - - - - 1668.50 -
2022-12-11 1768.82 - 1733.94 - - - - 1804.22 -
2022-12-18 1633.90 - 1600.49 - - - - 1667.82 -
2022-12-25 1220.97 - 1195.74 - - - - 1246.59 -
2023-01-01 4531.72 - 174.86 - - - - 23547.62 -
2023-01-08 5649.25 - 217.98 - - - - 29354.41 -
2023-01-15 7079.03 - 273.15 - - - - 36783.70 -
2023-01-22 8540.37 - 329.54 - - - - 44376.95 -
2023-01-29 10061.80 - 388.25 - - - - 52282.41 -
2023-02-05 12686.91 - 489.55 - - - - 65922.72 -
2023-02-12 15414.13 - 594.79 - - - - 80093.58 -
2023-02-19 16164.07 - 623.73 - - - - 83990.32 -
2023-02-26 18428.98 - 711.13 - - - - 95758.99 -
2023-03-05 20500.06 - 791.05 - - - - 106520.51 -
2023-03-12 21318.72 - 822.64 - - - - 110774.34 -
2023-03-19 22091.18 - 852.45 - - - - 114788.12 -
2023-03-26 22291.14 - 860.16 - - - - 115827.12 -
2023-04-02 22928.21 - 884.74 - - - - 119137.38 -
2023-04-09 22074.52 - 851.80 - - - - 114701.56 -
2023-04-16 19986.41 - 771.23 - - - - 103851.57 -
2023-04-23 17555.69 - 677.43 - - - - 91221.31 -
2023-04-30 16378.43 - 632.00 - - - - 85104.19 -
2023-05-07 13505.64 - 521.14 - - - - 70176.92 -
2023-05-14 9952.34 - 384.03 - - - - 51713.67 -
2023-05-21 7109.66 - 274.33 - - - - 36942.81 -
2023-05-28 5199.24 - 200.61 - - - - 27016.12 -
2023-06-04 4035.74 - 155.72 - - - - 20970.47 -
2023-06-11 3619.61 - 139.66 - - - - 18808.24 -
2023-06-18 2975.35 - 114.80 - - - - 15460.62 -
2023-06-25 2505.65 - 96.67 - - - - 13020.09 -
2023-07-02 1864.78 - 71.94 - - - - 9690.06 -
2023-07-09 1651.75 - 63.72 - - - - 8583.12 -
2023-07-16 1447.58 - 55.84 - - - - 7522.27 -
2023-07-23 1408.51 - 54.33 - - - - 7319.24 -
2023-07-30 1324.55 - 51.09 - - - - 6882.96 -
2023-08-06 1281.10 - 49.42 - - - - 6657.22 -
2023-08-13 1227.03 - 47.33 - - - - 6376.23 -
2023-08-20 1260.54 - 48.62 - - - - 6550.35 -
2023-08-27 1241.95 - 47.91 - - - - 6453.77 -
2023-09-03 1211.85 - 46.75 - - - - 6297.39 -
2023-09-10 1513.68 - 58.39 - - - - 7865.69 -
2023-09-17 1432.21 - 55.25 - - - - 7442.39 -
2023-09-24 1401.07 - 54.05 - - - - 7280.58 -
2023-10-01 1549.57 - 59.78 - - - - 8052.19 -