Prediction 734
Model | Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components |
---|---|
Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Sul |
Description:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state RS.
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-06-26 | 383.08 | - | 337.50 | - | - | - | - | 433.17 | - |
2022-07-03 | 312.34 | - | 271.95 | - | - | - | - | 357.03 | - |
2022-07-10 | 238.31 | - | 203.87 | - | - | - | - | 276.78 | - |
2022-07-17 | 221.79 | - | 188.82 | - | - | - | - | 258.73 | - |
2022-07-24 | 242.28 | - | 207.54 | - | - | - | - | 281.10 | - |
2022-07-31 | 289.08 | - | 250.48 | - | - | - | - | 331.97 | - |
2022-08-07 | 293.09 | - | 254.16 | - | - | - | - | 336.33 | - |
2022-08-14 | 241.47 | - | 206.78 | - | - | - | - | 280.21 | - |
2022-08-21 | 240.41 | - | 205.84 | - | - | - | - | 279.16 | - |
2022-08-28 | 200.41 | - | 169.46 | - | - | - | - | 235.31 | - |
2022-09-04 | 179.47 | - | 150.54 | - | - | - | - | 212.25 | - |
2022-09-11 | 182.64 | - | 153.41 | - | - | - | - | 215.76 | - |
2022-09-18 | 195.72 | - | 165.22 | - | - | - | - | 230.16 | - |
2022-09-25 | 229.62 | - | 195.99 | - | - | - | - | 267.41 | - |
2022-10-02 | 221.83 | - | 188.89 | - | - | - | - | 258.77 | - |
2022-10-09 | 252.62 | - | 217.01 | - | - | - | - | 292.41 | - |
2022-10-16 | 258.34 | - | 222.26 | - | - | - | - | 298.58 | - |
2022-10-23 | 276.15 | - | 238.60 | - | - | - | - | 317.93 | - |
2022-10-30 | 276.38 | - | 238.78 | - | - | - | - | 318.13 | - |
2022-11-06 | 317.51 | - | 276.70 | - | - | - | - | 362.56 | - |
2022-11-13 | 414.28 | - | 366.66 | - | - | - | - | 466.35 | - |
2022-11-20 | 475.92 | - | 424.37 | - | - | - | - | 531.98 | - |
2022-11-27 | 504.81 | - | 451.50 | - | - | - | - | 562.63 | - |
2022-12-04 | 553.57 | - | 497.41 | - | - | - | - | 614.31 | - |
2022-12-11 | 560.56 | - | 504.00 | - | - | - | - | 621.69 | - |
2022-12-18 | 561.23 | - | 504.63 | - | - | - | - | 622.42 | - |
2022-12-25 | 500.30 | - | 449.59 | - | - | - | - | 555.17 | - |
2023-01-01 | 848.47 | - | 30.73 | - | - | - | - | 4458.30 | - |
2023-01-08 | 864.30 | - | 31.30 | - | - | - | - | 4541.51 | - |
2023-01-15 | 950.38 | - | 34.43 | - | - | - | - | 4993.65 | - |
2023-01-22 | 875.28 | - | 31.70 | - | - | - | - | 4599.17 | - |
2023-01-29 | 1025.78 | - | 37.16 | - | - | - | - | 5389.71 | - |
2023-02-05 | 1284.22 | - | 46.54 | - | - | - | - | 6747.19 | - |
2023-02-12 | 2140.54 | - | 77.62 | - | - | - | - | 11245.03 | - |
2023-02-19 | 3382.72 | - | 122.70 | - | - | - | - | 17769.57 | - |
2023-02-26 | 5618.85 | - | 203.85 | - | - | - | - | 29514.90 | - |
2023-03-05 | 7969.71 | - | 289.17 | - | - | - | - | 41862.85 | - |
2023-03-12 | 9984.58 | - | 362.29 | - | - | - | - | 52446.01 | - |
2023-03-19 | 12499.21 | - | 453.55 | - | - | - | - | 65654.15 | - |
2023-03-26 | 13650.51 | - | 495.34 | - | - | - | - | 71701.41 | - |
2023-04-02 | 14047.27 | - | 509.74 | - | - | - | - | 73785.39 | - |
2023-04-09 | 15818.19 | - | 574.01 | - | - | - | - | 83087.19 | - |
2023-04-16 | 15493.30 | - | 562.22 | - | - | - | - | 81380.69 | - |
2023-04-23 | 14096.15 | - | 511.51 | - | - | - | - | 74042.13 | - |
2023-04-30 | 11224.82 | - | 407.30 | - | - | - | - | 58960.41 | - |
2023-05-07 | 7467.75 | - | 270.95 | - | - | - | - | 39226.32 | - |
2023-05-14 | 5865.25 | - | 212.80 | - | - | - | - | 30809.13 | - |
2023-05-21 | 3264.13 | - | 118.40 | - | - | - | - | 17146.73 | - |
2023-05-28 | 2412.37 | - | 87.48 | - | - | - | - | 12672.81 | - |
2023-06-04 | 1269.23 | - | 46.00 | - | - | - | - | 6668.45 | - |
2023-06-11 | 931.11 | - | 33.73 | - | - | - | - | 4892.42 | - |
2023-06-18 | 684.30 | - | 24.77 | - | - | - | - | 3596.02 | - |
2023-06-25 | 881.53 | - | 31.83 | - | - | - | - | 4634.77 | - |
2023-07-02 | 718.74 | - | 25.93 | - | - | - | - | 3779.57 | - |
2023-07-09 | 548.40 | - | 19.75 | - | - | - | - | 2884.71 | - |
2023-07-16 | 510.37 | - | 18.37 | - | - | - | - | 2684.89 | - |
2023-07-23 | 557.53 | - | 20.08 | - | - | - | - | 2932.64 | - |
2023-07-30 | 665.22 | - | 23.99 | - | - | - | - | 3498.41 | - |
2023-08-06 | 674.45 | - | 24.32 | - | - | - | - | 3546.89 | - |
2023-08-13 | 555.67 | - | 20.02 | - | - | - | - | 2922.87 | - |
2023-08-20 | 553.23 | - | 19.93 | - | - | - | - | 2910.07 | - |
2023-08-27 | 461.18 | - | 16.59 | - | - | - | - | 2426.45 | - |
2023-09-03 | 413.00 | - | 14.85 | - | - | - | - | 2173.33 | - |
2023-09-10 | 420.29 | - | 15.11 | - | - | - | - | 2211.63 | - |
2023-09-17 | 450.40 | - | 16.20 | - | - | - | - | 2369.80 | - |
2023-09-24 | 528.39 | - | 19.03 | - | - | - | - | 2779.59 | - |
2023-10-01 | 510.48 | - | 18.38 | - | - | - | - | 2685.45 | - |