Prediction 735

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 1 in the state SC.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-06-26 938.10 - 873.18 - - - - 1006.59 -
2022-07-03 583.98 - 534.08 - - - - 637.16 -
2022-07-10 471.80 - 427.68 - - - - 519.18 -
2022-07-17 390.69 - 351.11 - - - - 433.45 -
2022-07-24 340.22 - 303.69 - - - - 379.84 -
2022-07-31 332.56 - 296.55 - - - - 371.74 -
2022-08-07 296.42 - 262.78 - - - - 333.13 -
2022-08-14 270.38 - 238.53 - - - - 305.24 -
2022-08-21 259.27 - 228.21 - - - - 293.32 -
2022-08-28 253.92 - 223.22 - - - - 287.57 -
2022-09-04 285.87 - 252.95 - - - - 321.85 -
2022-09-11 326.07 - 290.45 - - - - 364.88 -
2022-09-18 311.24 - 276.61 - - - - 348.97 -
2022-09-25 298.87 - 265.07 - - - - 335.76 -
2022-10-02 280.60 - 248.00 - - - - 316.19 -
2022-10-09 300.85 - 266.91 - - - - 337.87 -
2022-10-16 336.39 - 300.14 - - - - 375.79 -
2022-10-23 372.86 - 334.36 - - - - 414.58 -
2022-10-30 384.80 - 345.57 - - - - 427.21 -
2022-11-06 424.77 - 383.24 - - - - 469.54 -
2022-11-13 465.76 - 421.97 - - - - 512.82 -
2022-11-20 529.69 - 482.56 - - - - 580.14 -
2022-11-27 573.60 - 524.28 - - - - 626.24 -
2022-12-04 708.04 - 652.54 - - - - 766.99 -
2022-12-11 746.36 - 689.21 - - - - 806.97 -
2022-12-18 699.11 - 644.01 - - - - 757.66 -
2022-12-25 559.77 - 514.39 - - - - 608.04 -
2023-01-01 948.23 - 43.42 - - - - 4767.25 -
2023-01-08 969.11 - 44.38 - - - - 4872.19 -
2023-01-15 1089.75 - 49.91 - - - - 5478.52 -
2023-01-22 1248.02 - 57.17 - - - - 6273.98 -
2023-01-29 1695.90 - 77.72 - - - - 8524.96 -
2023-02-05 2172.42 - 99.57 - - - - 10919.85 -
2023-02-12 2564.53 - 117.55 - - - - 12890.53 -
2023-02-19 3119.10 - 142.99 - - - - 15677.76 -
2023-02-26 4785.03 - 219.40 - - - - 24050.42 -
2023-03-05 6780.29 - 310.91 - - - - 34078.27 -
2023-03-12 8013.46 - 367.47 - - - - 40275.99 -
2023-03-19 10427.78 - 478.21 - - - - 52409.95 -
2023-03-26 12552.30 - 575.65 - - - - 63087.41 -
2023-04-02 13332.08 - 611.41 - - - - 67006.49 -
2023-04-09 14531.85 - 666.44 - - - - 73036.32 -
2023-04-16 16048.82 - 736.02 - - - - 80660.36 -
2023-04-23 14348.84 - 658.05 - - - - 72116.51 -
2023-04-30 15080.68 - 691.61 - - - - 75794.61 -
2023-05-07 12550.07 - 575.55 - - - - 63076.21 -
2023-05-14 10066.09 - 461.62 - - - - 50592.14 -
2023-05-21 7724.20 - 354.20 - - - - 38822.19 -
2023-05-28 5422.02 - 248.61 - - - - 27251.83 -
2023-06-04 3510.04 - 160.92 - - - - 17642.56 -
2023-06-11 2606.76 - 119.49 - - - - 13102.78 -
2023-06-18 2202.96 - 100.97 - - - - 11073.37 -
2023-06-25 1993.39 - 91.27 - - - - 10022.19 -
2023-07-02 1240.90 - 56.77 - - - - 6240.17 -
2023-07-09 1002.53 - 45.84 - - - - 5042.07 -
2023-07-16 830.18 - 37.94 - - - - 4175.77 -
2023-07-23 722.94 - 33.02 - - - - 3636.72 -
2023-07-30 706.66 - 32.27 - - - - 3554.91 -
2023-08-06 629.87 - 28.75 - - - - 3168.91 -
2023-08-13 574.53 - 26.22 - - - - 2890.75 -
2023-08-20 550.92 - 25.14 - - - - 2772.06 -
2023-08-27 539.57 - 24.62 - - - - 2715.01 -
2023-09-03 607.46 - 27.73 - - - - 3056.26 -
2023-09-10 692.87 - 31.64 - - - - 3485.58 -
2023-09-17 661.36 - 30.20 - - - - 3327.18 -
2023-09-24 635.07 - 28.99 - - - - 3195.08 -
2023-10-01 596.25 - 27.21 - - - - 2999.94 -