Prediction 738
| Model | Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Amapá |
Description:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state AP.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-11 | 8.24 | - | 7.15 | - | - | - | - | 9.45 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 7.39 | - | 6.40 | - | - | - | - | 8.50 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 6.94 | - | 5.99 | - | - | - | - | 7.99 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 7.00 | - | 6.05 | - | - | - | - | 8.06 | - |
| 2023-07-09 | 6.28 | - | 5.40 | - | - | - | - | 7.25 | - |
| 2023-07-16 | 6.16 | - | 5.30 | - | - | - | - | 7.12 | - |
| 2023-07-23 | 7.57 | - | 6.55 | - | - | - | - | 8.70 | - |
| 2023-07-30 | 9.35 | - | 8.14 | - | - | - | - | 10.68 | - |
| 2023-08-06 | 9.90 | - | 8.63 | - | - | - | - | 11.30 | - |
| 2023-08-13 | 10.24 | - | 8.94 | - | - | - | - | 11.68 | - |
| 2023-08-20 | 9.59 | - | 8.35 | - | - | - | - | 10.95 | - |
| 2023-08-27 | 8.67 | - | 7.53 | - | - | - | - | 9.93 | - |
| 2023-09-03 | 8.64 | - | 7.51 | - | - | - | - | 9.90 | - |
| 2023-09-10 | 8.55 | - | 7.42 | - | - | - | - | 9.79 | - |
| 2023-09-17 | 9.31 | - | 8.11 | - | - | - | - | 10.64 | - |
| 2023-09-24 | 9.34 | - | 8.14 | - | - | - | - | 10.68 | - |
| 2023-10-01 | 10.03 | - | 8.74 | - | - | - | - | 11.44 | - |
| 2023-10-08 | 9.25 | - | 8.05 | - | - | - | - | 10.57 | - |
| 2023-10-15 | 9.16 | - | 7.97 | - | - | - | - | 10.47 | - |
| 2023-10-22 | 8.46 | - | 7.35 | - | - | - | - | 9.69 | - |
| 2023-10-29 | 9.12 | - | 7.93 | - | - | - | - | 10.43 | - |
| 2023-11-05 | 8.34 | - | 7.24 | - | - | - | - | 9.56 | - |
| 2023-11-12 | 7.60 | - | 6.58 | - | - | - | - | 8.73 | - |
| 2023-11-19 | 5.97 | - | 5.13 | - | - | - | - | 6.90 | - |
| 2023-11-26 | 5.10 | - | 4.36 | - | - | - | - | 5.93 | - |
| 2023-12-03 | 4.83 | - | 4.12 | - | - | - | - | 5.63 | - |
| 2023-12-10 | 4.75 | - | 4.05 | - | - | - | - | 5.53 | - |
| 2023-12-17 | 3.67 | - | 3.08 | - | - | - | - | 4.33 | - |
| 2023-12-24 | 5.10 | - | 4.37 | - | - | - | - | 5.92 | - |
| 2023-12-31 | 16.03 | - | 1.69 | - | - | - | - | 64.30 | - |
| 2024-01-07 | 20.05 | - | 2.11 | - | - | - | - | 80.40 | - |
| 2024-01-14 | 19.66 | - | 2.07 | - | - | - | - | 78.87 | - |
| 2024-01-21 | 22.60 | - | 2.38 | - | - | - | - | 90.65 | - |
| 2024-01-28 | 27.65 | - | 2.91 | - | - | - | - | 110.87 | - |
| 2024-02-04 | 26.64 | - | 2.81 | - | - | - | - | 106.84 | - |
| 2024-02-11 | 28.20 | - | 2.97 | - | - | - | - | 113.08 | - |
| 2024-02-18 | 25.91 | - | 2.73 | - | - | - | - | 103.91 | - |
| 2024-02-25 | 31.88 | - | 3.36 | - | - | - | - | 127.82 | - |
| 2024-03-03 | 33.09 | - | 3.49 | - | - | - | - | 132.70 | - |
| 2024-03-10 | 30.71 | - | 3.24 | - | - | - | - | 123.13 | - |
| 2024-03-17 | 24.65 | - | 2.60 | - | - | - | - | 98.85 | - |
| 2024-03-24 | 27.12 | - | 2.86 | - | - | - | - | 108.77 | - |
| 2024-03-31 | 30.41 | - | 3.20 | - | - | - | - | 121.93 | - |
| 2024-04-07 | 24.49 | - | 2.58 | - | - | - | - | 98.19 | - |
| 2024-04-14 | 22.74 | - | 2.40 | - | - | - | - | 91.21 | - |
| 2024-04-21 | 20.08 | - | 2.11 | - | - | - | - | 80.54 | - |
| 2024-04-28 | 20.55 | - | 2.16 | - | - | - | - | 82.42 | - |
| 2024-05-05 | 24.63 | - | 2.59 | - | - | - | - | 98.76 | - |
| 2024-05-12 | 19.98 | - | 2.10 | - | - | - | - | 80.13 | - |
| 2024-05-19 | 16.85 | - | 1.77 | - | - | - | - | 67.60 | - |
| 2024-05-26 | 15.22 | - | 1.60 | - | - | - | - | 61.05 | - |
| 2024-06-02 | 13.58 | - | 1.43 | - | - | - | - | 54.49 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 12.60 | - | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | 50.57 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 11.31 | - | 1.19 | - | - | - | - | 45.37 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 10.61 | - | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | 42.60 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 10.71 | - | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | 42.99 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 9.60 | - | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | 38.54 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 9.42 | - | 0.99 | - | - | - | - | 37.81 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 11.58 | - | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | 46.47 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 14.30 | - | 1.50 | - | - | - | - | 57.37 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 15.14 | - | 1.59 | - | - | - | - | 60.76 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 15.66 | - | 1.65 | - | - | - | - | 62.84 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 14.67 | - | 1.54 | - | - | - | - | 58.84 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 13.26 | - | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | 53.21 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 13.22 | - | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | 53.06 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 13.07 | - | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | 52.46 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 14.25 | - | 1.50 | - | - | - | - | 57.15 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 14.29 | - | 1.50 | - | - | - | - | 57.35 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 15.33 | - | 1.61 | - | - | - | - | 61.52 | - |
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