Prediction 739

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components
Author Marcio Maciel Bastos
ADM 1 Pará

Description:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state PA.


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-06-11 72.39 - 68.79 - - - - 76.13 -
2023-06-18 61.72 - 58.49 - - - - 65.07 -
2023-06-25 60.13 - 56.96 - - - - 63.42 -
2023-07-02 54.32 - 51.37 - - - - 57.40 -
2023-07-09 50.69 - 47.87 - - - - 53.64 -
2023-07-16 51.35 - 48.50 - - - - 54.31 -
2023-07-23 52.31 - 49.43 - - - - 55.31 -
2023-07-30 59.93 - 56.77 - - - - 63.22 -
2023-08-06 66.33 - 62.94 - - - - 69.85 -
2023-08-13 62.70 - 59.44 - - - - 66.09 -
2023-08-20 59.36 - 56.22 - - - - 62.62 -
2023-08-27 55.29 - 52.30 - - - - 58.41 -
2023-09-03 54.81 - 51.83 - - - - 57.90 -
2023-09-10 55.16 - 52.17 - - - - 58.27 -
2023-09-17 55.24 - 52.25 - - - - 58.35 -
2023-09-24 53.28 - 50.36 - - - - 56.32 -
2023-10-01 49.02 - 46.26 - - - - 51.90 -
2023-10-08 57.44 - 54.37 - - - - 60.64 -
2023-10-15 51.45 - 48.60 - - - - 54.42 -
2023-10-22 47.70 - 44.99 - - - - 50.53 -
2023-10-29 61.01 - 57.81 - - - - 64.34 -
2023-11-05 70.22 - 66.69 - - - - 73.88 -
2023-11-12 81.83 - 77.90 - - - - 85.90 -
2023-11-19 89.87 - 85.68 - - - - 94.23 -
2023-11-26 97.33 - 92.88 - - - - 101.93 -
2023-12-03 100.64 - 96.08 - - - - 105.36 -
2023-12-10 90.98 - 86.75 - - - - 95.37 -
2023-12-17 69.54 - 66.04 - - - - 73.18 -
2023-12-24 72.09 - 68.55 - - - - 75.76 -
2023-12-31 149.31 - 59.04 - - - - 315.72 -
2024-01-07 180.35 - 71.33 - - - - 381.34 -
2024-01-14 215.41 - 85.20 - - - - 455.44 -
2024-01-21 249.93 - 98.86 - - - - 528.42 -
2024-01-28 287.43 - 113.69 - - - - 607.68 -
2024-02-04 266.60 - 105.45 - - - - 563.65 -
2024-02-11 282.43 - 111.72 - - - - 597.12 -
2024-02-18 266.84 - 105.55 - - - - 564.17 -
2024-02-25 276.85 - 109.51 - - - - 585.32 -
2024-03-03 277.24 - 109.66 - - - - 586.14 -
2024-03-10 280.94 - 111.13 - - - - 593.97 -
2024-03-17 247.02 - 97.71 - - - - 522.27 -
2024-03-24 217.19 - 85.90 - - - - 459.22 -
2024-03-31 224.08 - 88.63 - - - - 473.79 -
2024-04-07 203.54 - 80.50 - - - - 430.36 -
2024-04-14 175.86 - 69.55 - - - - 371.85 -
2024-04-21 153.99 - 60.89 - - - - 325.61 -
2024-04-28 158.53 - 62.69 - - - - 335.22 -
2024-05-05 146.00 - 57.73 - - - - 308.73 -
2024-05-12 129.98 - 51.39 - - - - 274.86 -
2024-05-19 107.32 - 42.43 - - - - 226.97 -
2024-05-26 97.55 - 38.56 - - - - 206.32 -
2024-06-02 87.70 - 34.66 - - - - 185.49 -
2024-06-09 80.47 - 31.81 - - - - 170.23 -
2024-06-16 68.61 - 27.11 - - - - 145.16 -
2024-06-23 66.85 - 26.41 - - - - 141.42 -
2024-06-30 60.39 - 23.86 - - - - 127.78 -
2024-07-07 56.36 - 22.26 - - - - 119.25 -
2024-07-14 57.08 - 22.55 - - - - 120.78 -
2024-07-21 58.15 - 22.97 - - - - 123.05 -
2024-07-28 66.63 - 26.33 - - - - 140.97 -
2024-08-04 73.73 - 29.14 - - - - 155.98 -
2024-08-11 69.71 - 27.54 - - - - 147.47 -
2024-08-18 65.99 - 26.07 - - - - 139.61 -
2024-08-25 61.47 - 24.29 - - - - 130.06 -
2024-09-01 60.93 - 24.07 - - - - 128.91 -
2024-09-08 61.32 - 24.23 - - - - 129.74 -
2024-09-15 61.41 - 24.26 - - - - 129.93 -
2024-09-22 59.23 - 23.40 - - - - 125.32 -
2024-09-29 54.49 - 21.53 - - - - 115.31 -
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