Prediction 74
| Model | Random Forest model with uncertainty computed with conformal prediction |
|---|---|
| Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
| ADM 1 (State) | Minas Gerais |
| ADM 2 (Municipality) | Belo Horizonte |
Description:
Forecast de novos casos para o geocode 3106200 entre 2022-01-01 e 2023-01-01 usando apenas os dados de todos as cidades clusterizadas com 3106200 como input
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-02 | 285.45 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2503.79 | - |
| 2022-01-09 | 251.66 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2371.12 | - |
| 2022-01-16 | 292.90 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2384.11 | - |
| 2022-01-23 | 242.63 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2386.05 | - |
| 2022-01-30 | 287.60 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2836.65 | - |
| 2022-02-06 | 324.41 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 3333.14 | - |
| 2022-02-13 | 326.31 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 3852.90 | - |
| 2022-02-20 | 382.86 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 3673.45 | - |
| 2022-02-27 | 325.16 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 3651.17 | - |
| 2022-03-06 | 299.69 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 3348.02 | - |
| 2022-03-13 | 275.76 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2493.16 | - |
| 2022-03-20 | 301.60 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2903.93 | - |
| 2022-03-27 | 288.43 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2836.54 | - |
| 2022-04-03 | 401.12 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2733.61 | - |
| 2022-04-10 | 397.56 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2456.43 | - |
| 2022-04-17 | 534.77 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1627.66 | - |
| 2022-04-24 | 658.36 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1768.89 | - |
| 2022-05-01 | 601.64 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1978.93 | - |
| 2022-05-08 | 385.42 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1813.48 | - |
| 2022-05-15 | 299.57 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1778.42 | - |
| 2022-05-22 | 485.65 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1640.61 | - |
| 2022-05-29 | 576.60 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2471.85 | - |
| 2022-06-05 | 809.49 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 3021.04 | - |
| 2022-06-12 | 401.56 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2738.34 | - |
| 2022-06-19 | 355.19 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 3212.27 | - |
| 2022-06-26 | 195.36 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 3211.80 | - |
| 2022-07-03 | 230.18 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2438.18 | - |
| 2022-07-10 | 184.50 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2137.17 | - |
| 2022-07-17 | 194.43 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1898.14 | - |
| 2022-07-24 | 169.45 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1323.21 | - |
| 2022-07-31 | 165.06 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1261.71 | - |
| 2022-08-07 | 156.72 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 912.58 | - |
| 2022-08-14 | 150.82 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 777.34 | - |
| 2022-08-21 | 162.83 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 794.11 | - |
| 2022-08-28 | 150.83 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 736.85 | - |
| 2022-09-04 | 166.42 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1343.85 | - |
| 2022-09-11 | 130.86 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1739.28 | - |
| 2022-09-18 | 131.98 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2009.43 | - |
| 2022-09-25 | 134.39 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1904.41 | - |
| 2022-10-02 | 131.63 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1955.98 | - |
| 2022-10-09 | 169.44 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2014.98 | - |
| 2022-10-16 | 153.71 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1614.34 | - |
| 2022-10-23 | 176.46 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1821.32 | - |
| 2022-10-30 | 205.20 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2408.40 | - |
| 2022-11-06 | 220.80 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2949.36 | - |
| 2022-11-13 | 247.40 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2228.29 | - |
| 2022-11-20 | 225.23 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2898.12 | - |
| 2022-11-27 | 227.41 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2300.44 | - |
| 2022-12-04 | 237.61 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2484.36 | - |
| 2022-12-11 | 259.74 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 3046.73 | - |
| 2022-12-18 | 241.96 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2627.80 | - |
| 2022-12-25 | 311.52 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 3000.90 | - |
| 2023-01-01 | 217.36 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2514.56 | - |
| 2023-01-08 | 237.09 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2446.96 | - |
| 2023-01-15 | 238.84 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2333.71 | - |
| 2023-01-22 | 275.27 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2449.75 | - |
| 2023-01-29 | 425.66 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2348.91 | - |
| 2023-02-05 | 678.27 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2534.07 | - |
| 2023-02-12 | 974.45 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 3333.79 | - |
| 2023-02-19 | 2332.09 | - | 291.52 | - | - | - | - | 4372.66 | - |
| 2023-02-26 | 2622.21 | - | 557.35 | - | - | - | - | 4687.07 | - |
| 2023-03-05 | 3217.30 | - | 1294.98 | - | - | - | - | 5139.62 | - |
| 2023-03-12 | 2868.49 | - | 1728.13 | - | - | - | - | 4008.85 | - |
| 2023-03-19 | 2649.49 | - | 1765.80 | - | - | - | - | 3533.18 | - |
| 2023-03-26 | 3845.26 | - | 2964.22 | - | - | - | - | 4726.30 | - |
| 2023-04-02 | 6206.90 | - | 5543.80 | - | - | - | - | 6870.00 | - |
| 2023-04-09 | 7456.82 | - | 6507.69 | - | - | - | - | 8405.95 | - |
| 2023-04-16 | 7112.69 | - | 6170.43 | - | - | - | - | 8054.95 | - |
| 2023-04-23 | 9228.53 | - | 7849.97 | - | - | - | - | 10607.09 | - |
| 2023-04-30 | 9175.65 | - | 7016.53 | - | - | - | - | 11334.77 | - |
| 2023-05-07 | 5647.76 | - | 3241.10 | - | - | - | - | 8054.42 | - |
| 2023-05-14 | 6321.04 | - | 3571.71 | - | - | - | - | 9070.37 | - |
| 2023-05-21 | 3268.12 | - | 5.92 | - | - | - | - | 6530.32 | - |
| 2023-05-28 | 3197.04 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 7286.11 | - |
| 2023-06-04 | 1722.93 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 5724.27 | - |
| 2023-06-11 | 1156.91 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 4357.67 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 1016.49 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 3621.85 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 668.40 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 3344.15 | - |
Welcome to Mosqlimate Predictions Dashboard
Confidence Interval
To toggle the Prediction's Confidence Interval bounds of the in the chart, click in the Prediction's legend
or line
Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
