Prediction 743
| Modelo | Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state CE.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-11 | 453.54 | - | 442.96 | - | - | - | - | 464.29 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 387.90 | - | 378.63 | - | - | - | - | 397.34 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 339.14 | - | 330.85 | - | - | - | - | 347.59 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 314.48 | - | 306.68 | - | - | - | - | 322.43 | - |
| 2023-07-09 | 277.66 | - | 270.61 | - | - | - | - | 284.86 | - |
| 2023-07-16 | 248.11 | - | 241.65 | - | - | - | - | 254.70 | - |
| 2023-07-23 | 222.02 | - | 216.10 | - | - | - | - | 228.06 | - |
| 2023-07-30 | 212.08 | - | 206.36 | - | - | - | - | 217.91 | - |
| 2023-08-06 | 190.05 | - | 184.79 | - | - | - | - | 195.42 | - |
| 2023-08-13 | 172.07 | - | 167.18 | - | - | - | - | 177.06 | - |
| 2023-08-20 | 146.50 | - | 142.16 | - | - | - | - | 150.94 | - |
| 2023-08-27 | 121.00 | - | 117.20 | - | - | - | - | 124.88 | - |
| 2023-09-03 | 112.28 | - | 108.67 | - | - | - | - | 115.96 | - |
| 2023-09-10 | 101.95 | - | 98.58 | - | - | - | - | 105.41 | - |
| 2023-09-17 | 99.50 | - | 96.19 | - | - | - | - | 102.90 | - |
| 2023-09-24 | 91.32 | - | 88.20 | - | - | - | - | 94.53 | - |
| 2023-10-01 | 83.20 | - | 80.26 | - | - | - | - | 86.22 | - |
| 2023-10-08 | 79.31 | - | 76.46 | - | - | - | - | 82.23 | - |
| 2023-10-15 | 68.21 | - | 65.63 | - | - | - | - | 70.87 | - |
| 2023-10-22 | 61.93 | - | 59.51 | - | - | - | - | 64.43 | - |
| 2023-10-29 | 65.57 | - | 63.05 | - | - | - | - | 68.16 | - |
| 2023-11-05 | 74.53 | - | 71.79 | - | - | - | - | 77.34 | - |
| 2023-11-12 | 75.98 | - | 73.21 | - | - | - | - | 78.82 | - |
| 2023-11-19 | 79.16 | - | 76.32 | - | - | - | - | 82.08 | - |
| 2023-11-26 | 85.90 | - | 82.89 | - | - | - | - | 88.98 | - |
| 2023-12-03 | 87.60 | - | 84.56 | - | - | - | - | 90.73 | - |
| 2023-12-10 | 76.30 | - | 73.53 | - | - | - | - | 79.16 | - |
| 2023-12-17 | 67.04 | - | 64.49 | - | - | - | - | 69.67 | - |
| 2023-12-24 | 64.67 | - | 62.24 | - | - | - | - | 67.17 | - |
| 2023-12-31 | 143.82 | - | 26.88 | - | - | - | - | 458.42 | - |
| 2024-01-07 | 162.43 | - | 30.36 | - | - | - | - | 517.70 | - |
| 2024-01-14 | 197.40 | - | 36.90 | - | - | - | - | 629.16 | - |
| 2024-01-21 | 231.37 | - | 43.25 | - | - | - | - | 737.40 | - |
| 2024-01-28 | 287.73 | - | 53.79 | - | - | - | - | 917.03 | - |
| 2024-02-04 | 312.53 | - | 58.42 | - | - | - | - | 996.08 | - |
| 2024-02-11 | 348.48 | - | 65.14 | - | - | - | - | 1110.63 | - |
| 2024-02-18 | 373.46 | - | 69.81 | - | - | - | - | 1190.25 | - |
| 2024-02-25 | 436.82 | - | 81.66 | - | - | - | - | 1392.16 | - |
| 2024-03-03 | 500.77 | - | 93.62 | - | - | - | - | 1595.97 | - |
| 2024-03-10 | 541.29 | - | 101.19 | - | - | - | - | 1725.10 | - |
| 2024-03-17 | 566.68 | - | 105.94 | - | - | - | - | 1806.00 | - |
| 2024-03-24 | 638.50 | - | 119.36 | - | - | - | - | 2034.89 | - |
| 2024-03-31 | 780.83 | - | 145.97 | - | - | - | - | 2488.47 | - |
| 2024-04-07 | 850.13 | - | 158.93 | - | - | - | - | 2709.34 | - |
| 2024-04-14 | 867.65 | - | 162.21 | - | - | - | - | 2765.16 | - |
| 2024-04-21 | 881.50 | - | 164.79 | - | - | - | - | 2809.29 | - |
| 2024-04-28 | 925.70 | - | 173.06 | - | - | - | - | 2950.16 | - |
| 2024-05-05 | 991.56 | - | 185.37 | - | - | - | - | 3160.06 | - |
| 2024-05-12 | 975.79 | - | 182.42 | - | - | - | - | 3109.79 | - |
| 2024-05-19 | 815.85 | - | 152.52 | - | - | - | - | 2600.09 | - |
| 2024-05-26 | 707.44 | - | 132.25 | - | - | - | - | 2254.58 | - |
| 2024-06-02 | 653.99 | - | 122.26 | - | - | - | - | 2084.27 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 587.55 | - | 109.84 | - | - | - | - | 1872.52 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 502.52 | - | 93.94 | - | - | - | - | 1601.55 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 439.36 | - | 82.13 | - | - | - | - | 1400.25 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 407.41 | - | 76.16 | - | - | - | - | 1298.43 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 359.71 | - | 67.24 | - | - | - | - | 1146.42 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 321.42 | - | 60.08 | - | - | - | - | 1024.41 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 287.62 | - | 53.76 | - | - | - | - | 916.69 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 274.74 | - | 51.36 | - | - | - | - | 875.63 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 246.21 | - | 46.02 | - | - | - | - | 784.70 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 222.91 | - | 41.67 | - | - | - | - | 710.47 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 189.79 | - | 35.47 | - | - | - | - | 604.91 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 156.75 | - | 29.30 | - | - | - | - | 499.60 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 145.45 | - | 27.18 | - | - | - | - | 463.60 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 132.08 | - | 24.68 | - | - | - | - | 420.98 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 128.90 | - | 24.09 | - | - | - | - | 410.87 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 118.31 | - | 22.11 | - | - | - | - | 377.10 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 107.79 | - | 20.14 | - | - | - | - | 343.58 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
