Prediction 744

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Modelo Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components
Autor Marcio Maciel Bastos

Descrição:

This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state AL.


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date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-06-11 146.66 - 140.01 - - - - 153.54 -
2023-06-18 133.13 - 127.04 - - - - 139.44 -
2023-06-25 123.79 - 118.08 - - - - 129.70 -
2023-07-02 120.25 - 114.69 - - - - 126.01 -
2023-07-09 115.85 - 110.47 - - - - 121.42 -
2023-07-16 105.83 - 100.87 - - - - 110.97 -
2023-07-23 96.58 - 92.00 - - - - 101.33 -
2023-07-30 89.45 - 85.17 - - - - 93.90 -
2023-08-06 82.73 - 78.72 - - - - 86.88 -
2023-08-13 77.60 - 73.81 - - - - 81.53 -
2023-08-20 65.77 - 62.47 - - - - 69.19 -
2023-08-27 62.04 - 58.90 - - - - 65.30 -
2023-09-03 58.35 - 55.36 - - - - 61.44 -
2023-09-10 50.72 - 48.06 - - - - 53.48 -
2023-09-17 52.25 - 49.53 - - - - 55.08 -
2023-09-24 47.46 - 44.95 - - - - 50.08 -
2023-10-01 42.58 - 40.27 - - - - 44.99 -
2023-10-08 40.68 - 38.46 - - - - 43.00 -
2023-10-15 43.52 - 41.17 - - - - 45.97 -
2023-10-22 40.41 - 38.20 - - - - 42.72 -
2023-10-29 40.45 - 38.23 - - - - 42.76 -
2023-11-05 47.22 - 44.71 - - - - 49.83 -
2023-11-12 47.31 - 44.79 - - - - 49.92 -
2023-11-19 38.13 - 36.01 - - - - 40.33 -
2023-11-26 35.83 - 33.81 - - - - 37.93 -
2023-12-03 33.87 - 31.94 - - - - 35.88 -
2023-12-10 32.41 - 30.54 - - - - 34.36 -
2023-12-17 24.66 - 23.14 - - - - 26.25 -
2023-12-24 23.21 - 21.78 - - - - 24.71 -
2023-12-31 89.56 - 1.86 - - - - 509.39 -
2024-01-07 103.81 - 2.16 - - - - 590.45 -
2024-01-14 109.68 - 2.28 - - - - 623.82 -
2024-01-21 114.36 - 2.38 - - - - 650.44 -
2024-01-28 126.83 - 2.64 - - - - 721.38 -
2024-02-04 142.09 - 2.96 - - - - 808.14 -
2024-02-11 158.31 - 3.30 - - - - 900.40 -
2024-02-18 173.70 - 3.62 - - - - 987.93 -
2024-02-25 210.96 - 4.39 - - - - 1199.85 -
2024-03-03 247.42 - 5.15 - - - - 1407.23 -
2024-03-10 260.42 - 5.42 - - - - 1481.15 -
2024-03-17 306.88 - 6.39 - - - - 1745.36 -
2024-03-24 319.66 - 6.66 - - - - 1818.06 -
2024-03-31 342.78 - 7.14 - - - - 1949.55 -
2024-04-07 355.31 - 7.40 - - - - 2020.80 -
2024-04-14 368.79 - 7.68 - - - - 2097.51 -
2024-04-21 384.74 - 8.01 - - - - 2188.22 -
2024-04-28 444.92 - 9.27 - - - - 2530.49 -
2024-05-05 475.87 - 9.91 - - - - 2706.51 -
2024-05-12 488.65 - 10.18 - - - - 2779.17 -
2024-05-19 461.64 - 9.62 - - - - 2625.56 -
2024-05-26 455.90 - 9.50 - - - - 2592.93 -
2024-06-02 439.31 - 9.15 - - - - 2498.55 -
2024-06-09 425.69 - 8.87 - - - - 2421.11 -
2024-06-16 386.43 - 8.05 - - - - 2197.83 -
2024-06-23 359.32 - 7.48 - - - - 2043.63 -
2024-06-30 349.04 - 7.27 - - - - 1985.17 -
2024-07-07 336.28 - 7.00 - - - - 1912.59 -
2024-07-14 307.19 - 6.40 - - - - 1747.15 -
2024-07-21 280.34 - 5.84 - - - - 1594.42 -
2024-07-28 259.66 - 5.41 - - - - 1476.80 -
2024-08-04 240.13 - 5.00 - - - - 1365.77 -
2024-08-11 225.24 - 4.69 - - - - 1281.05 -
2024-08-18 190.90 - 3.98 - - - - 1085.79 -
2024-08-25 180.09 - 3.75 - - - - 1024.27 -
2024-09-01 169.36 - 3.53 - - - - 963.24 -
2024-09-08 147.22 - 3.07 - - - - 837.32 -
2024-09-15 151.66 - 3.16 - - - - 862.61 -
2024-09-22 137.77 - 2.87 - - - - 783.59 -
2024-09-29 123.60 - 2.57 - - - - 702.98 -
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