Prediction 745
| Modelo | Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state BA.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-11 | 865.08 | - | 848.34 | - | - | - | - | 882.06 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 670.67 | - | 656.55 | - | - | - | - | 685.01 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 619.51 | - | 606.10 | - | - | - | - | 633.13 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 644.57 | - | 630.81 | - | - | - | - | 658.55 | - |
| 2023-07-09 | 606.19 | - | 592.97 | - | - | - | - | 619.62 | - |
| 2023-07-16 | 520.27 | - | 508.28 | - | - | - | - | 532.46 | - |
| 2023-07-23 | 446.55 | - | 435.65 | - | - | - | - | 457.64 | - |
| 2023-07-30 | 405.37 | - | 395.11 | - | - | - | - | 415.83 | - |
| 2023-08-06 | 362.71 | - | 353.11 | - | - | - | - | 372.49 | - |
| 2023-08-13 | 315.69 | - | 306.87 | - | - | - | - | 324.70 | - |
| 2023-08-20 | 281.67 | - | 273.42 | - | - | - | - | 290.10 | - |
| 2023-08-27 | 263.14 | - | 255.22 | - | - | - | - | 271.25 | - |
| 2023-09-03 | 256.31 | - | 248.51 | - | - | - | - | 264.29 | - |
| 2023-09-10 | 244.87 | - | 237.28 | - | - | - | - | 252.65 | - |
| 2023-09-17 | 232.17 | - | 224.80 | - | - | - | - | 239.71 | - |
| 2023-09-24 | 221.80 | - | 214.63 | - | - | - | - | 229.15 | - |
| 2023-10-01 | 213.14 | - | 206.13 | - | - | - | - | 220.32 | - |
| 2023-10-08 | 201.21 | - | 194.43 | - | - | - | - | 208.16 | - |
| 2023-10-15 | 207.99 | - | 201.08 | - | - | - | - | 215.07 | - |
| 2023-10-22 | 192.75 | - | 186.14 | - | - | - | - | 199.54 | - |
| 2023-10-29 | 200.78 | - | 194.01 | - | - | - | - | 207.72 | - |
| 2023-11-05 | 217.32 | - | 210.23 | - | - | - | - | 224.58 | - |
| 2023-11-12 | 224.68 | - | 217.45 | - | - | - | - | 232.08 | - |
| 2023-11-19 | 251.56 | - | 243.85 | - | - | - | - | 259.46 | - |
| 2023-11-26 | 278.10 | - | 269.92 | - | - | - | - | 286.47 | - |
| 2023-12-03 | 297.00 | - | 288.49 | - | - | - | - | 305.70 | - |
| 2023-12-10 | 279.35 | - | 271.14 | - | - | - | - | 287.74 | - |
| 2023-12-17 | 246.48 | - | 238.85 | - | - | - | - | 254.28 | - |
| 2023-12-24 | 250.23 | - | 242.94 | - | - | - | - | 257.68 | - |
| 2023-12-31 | 684.83 | - | 78.69 | - | - | - | - | 2661.68 | - |
| 2024-01-07 | 829.38 | - | 95.30 | - | - | - | - | 3223.46 | - |
| 2024-01-14 | 917.93 | - | 105.48 | - | - | - | - | 3567.59 | - |
| 2024-01-21 | 1093.27 | - | 125.63 | - | - | - | - | 4249.04 | - |
| 2024-01-28 | 1308.63 | - | 150.38 | - | - | - | - | 5086.01 | - |
| 2024-02-04 | 1531.53 | - | 176.00 | - | - | - | - | 5952.28 | - |
| 2024-02-11 | 1870.25 | - | 214.93 | - | - | - | - | 7268.67 | - |
| 2024-02-18 | 2104.06 | - | 241.80 | - | - | - | - | 8177.33 | - |
| 2024-02-25 | 2275.20 | - | 261.47 | - | - | - | - | 8842.45 | - |
| 2024-03-03 | 2446.48 | - | 281.15 | - | - | - | - | 9508.12 | - |
| 2024-03-10 | 2549.55 | - | 293.00 | - | - | - | - | 9908.66 | - |
| 2024-03-17 | 2552.02 | - | 293.28 | - | - | - | - | 9918.27 | - |
| 2024-03-24 | 2384.55 | - | 274.03 | - | - | - | - | 9267.42 | - |
| 2024-03-31 | 2546.01 | - | 292.59 | - | - | - | - | 9894.90 | - |
| 2024-04-07 | 2513.62 | - | 288.87 | - | - | - | - | 9769.06 | - |
| 2024-04-14 | 2423.68 | - | 278.53 | - | - | - | - | 9419.49 | - |
| 2024-04-21 | 2385.06 | - | 274.09 | - | - | - | - | 9269.43 | - |
| 2024-04-28 | 2425.04 | - | 278.69 | - | - | - | - | 9424.81 | - |
| 2024-05-05 | 2399.06 | - | 275.70 | - | - | - | - | 9323.83 | - |
| 2024-05-12 | 2239.88 | - | 257.41 | - | - | - | - | 8705.18 | - |
| 2024-05-19 | 1986.56 | - | 228.29 | - | - | - | - | 7720.68 | - |
| 2024-05-26 | 1849.70 | - | 212.56 | - | - | - | - | 7188.78 | - |
| 2024-06-02 | 1629.22 | - | 187.23 | - | - | - | - | 6331.95 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 1294.41 | - | 148.75 | - | - | - | - | 5030.74 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 1003.52 | - | 115.32 | - | - | - | - | 3900.24 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 926.96 | - | 106.52 | - | - | - | - | 3602.72 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 964.46 | - | 110.83 | - | - | - | - | 3748.46 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 907.03 | - | 104.23 | - | - | - | - | 3525.25 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 778.47 | - | 89.45 | - | - | - | - | 3025.61 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 668.16 | - | 76.77 | - | - | - | - | 2596.92 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 606.56 | - | 69.69 | - | - | - | - | 2357.49 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 542.71 | - | 62.36 | - | - | - | - | 2109.37 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 472.37 | - | 54.27 | - | - | - | - | 1835.98 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 421.46 | - | 48.42 | - | - | - | - | 1638.13 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 393.74 | - | 45.24 | - | - | - | - | 1530.40 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 383.51 | - | 44.06 | - | - | - | - | 1490.66 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 366.40 | - | 42.09 | - | - | - | - | 1424.14 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 347.39 | - | 39.91 | - | - | - | - | 1350.27 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 331.88 | - | 38.13 | - | - | - | - | 1289.97 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 318.92 | - | 36.64 | - | - | - | - | 1239.60 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
