Prediction 747
| Modelo | Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state PB.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-11 | 217.62 | - | 209.59 | - | - | - | - | 225.87 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 194.39 | - | 187.05 | - | - | - | - | 201.94 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 192.18 | - | 184.91 | - | - | - | - | 199.67 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 186.73 | - | 179.62 | - | - | - | - | 194.05 | - |
| 2023-07-09 | 172.03 | - | 165.35 | - | - | - | - | 178.89 | - |
| 2023-07-16 | 161.63 | - | 155.27 | - | - | - | - | 168.18 | - |
| 2023-07-23 | 137.39 | - | 131.77 | - | - | - | - | 143.18 | - |
| 2023-07-30 | 126.26 | - | 120.98 | - | - | - | - | 131.71 | - |
| 2023-08-06 | 117.00 | - | 112.01 | - | - | - | - | 122.15 | - |
| 2023-08-13 | 114.39 | - | 109.48 | - | - | - | - | 119.46 | - |
| 2023-08-20 | 93.20 | - | 88.96 | - | - | - | - | 97.58 | - |
| 2023-08-27 | 90.23 | - | 86.10 | - | - | - | - | 94.52 | - |
| 2023-09-03 | 81.13 | - | 77.29 | - | - | - | - | 85.11 | - |
| 2023-09-10 | 72.77 | - | 69.21 | - | - | - | - | 76.46 | - |
| 2023-09-17 | 66.04 | - | 62.70 | - | - | - | - | 69.50 | - |
| 2023-09-24 | 56.89 | - | 53.87 | - | - | - | - | 60.02 | - |
| 2023-10-01 | 57.43 | - | 54.40 | - | - | - | - | 60.58 | - |
| 2023-10-08 | 52.01 | - | 49.18 | - | - | - | - | 54.97 | - |
| 2023-10-15 | 48.65 | - | 45.93 | - | - | - | - | 51.48 | - |
| 2023-10-22 | 41.63 | - | 39.18 | - | - | - | - | 44.19 | - |
| 2023-10-29 | 40.36 | - | 37.95 | - | - | - | - | 42.87 | - |
| 2023-11-05 | 40.02 | - | 37.63 | - | - | - | - | 42.51 | - |
| 2023-11-12 | 40.45 | - | 38.04 | - | - | - | - | 42.96 | - |
| 2023-11-19 | 40.37 | - | 37.96 | - | - | - | - | 42.88 | - |
| 2023-11-26 | 46.33 | - | 43.70 | - | - | - | - | 49.08 | - |
| 2023-12-03 | 60.08 | - | 56.95 | - | - | - | - | 63.34 | - |
| 2023-12-10 | 56.82 | - | 53.81 | - | - | - | - | 59.95 | - |
| 2023-12-17 | 54.55 | - | 51.62 | - | - | - | - | 57.60 | - |
| 2023-12-24 | 44.26 | - | 41.73 | - | - | - | - | 46.90 | - |
| 2023-12-31 | 108.83 | - | 8.36 | - | - | - | - | 481.97 | - |
| 2024-01-07 | 119.35 | - | 9.16 | - | - | - | - | 528.54 | - |
| 2024-01-14 | 147.05 | - | 11.29 | - | - | - | - | 651.20 | - |
| 2024-01-21 | 174.45 | - | 13.40 | - | - | - | - | 772.50 | - |
| 2024-01-28 | 204.95 | - | 15.74 | - | - | - | - | 907.53 | - |
| 2024-02-04 | 224.14 | - | 17.22 | - | - | - | - | 992.52 | - |
| 2024-02-11 | 279.49 | - | 21.47 | - | - | - | - | 1237.56 | - |
| 2024-02-18 | 282.28 | - | 21.68 | - | - | - | - | 1249.93 | - |
| 2024-02-25 | 353.40 | - | 27.15 | - | - | - | - | 1564.82 | - |
| 2024-03-03 | 387.27 | - | 29.75 | - | - | - | - | 1714.80 | - |
| 2024-03-10 | 398.65 | - | 30.62 | - | - | - | - | 1765.17 | - |
| 2024-03-17 | 389.75 | - | 29.94 | - | - | - | - | 1725.78 | - |
| 2024-03-24 | 406.82 | - | 31.25 | - | - | - | - | 1801.34 | - |
| 2024-03-31 | 439.63 | - | 33.77 | - | - | - | - | 1946.62 | - |
| 2024-04-07 | 455.22 | - | 34.97 | - | - | - | - | 2015.65 | - |
| 2024-04-14 | 453.52 | - | 34.84 | - | - | - | - | 2008.10 | - |
| 2024-04-21 | 448.81 | - | 34.48 | - | - | - | - | 1987.25 | - |
| 2024-04-28 | 512.54 | - | 39.37 | - | - | - | - | 2269.44 | - |
| 2024-05-05 | 540.09 | - | 41.49 | - | - | - | - | 2391.40 | - |
| 2024-05-12 | 554.92 | - | 42.63 | - | - | - | - | 2457.09 | - |
| 2024-05-19 | 478.32 | - | 36.74 | - | - | - | - | 2117.92 | - |
| 2024-05-26 | 469.80 | - | 36.09 | - | - | - | - | 2080.20 | - |
| 2024-06-02 | 428.99 | - | 32.95 | - | - | - | - | 1899.50 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 373.09 | - | 28.66 | - | - | - | - | 1652.00 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 333.26 | - | 25.60 | - | - | - | - | 1475.67 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 329.48 | - | 25.31 | - | - | - | - | 1458.94 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 320.14 | - | 24.59 | - | - | - | - | 1417.58 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 294.93 | - | 22.65 | - | - | - | - | 1305.93 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 277.10 | - | 21.28 | - | - | - | - | 1226.99 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 235.54 | - | 18.09 | - | - | - | - | 1042.99 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 216.47 | - | 16.62 | - | - | - | - | 958.54 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 200.59 | - | 15.40 | - | - | - | - | 888.22 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 196.11 | - | 15.06 | - | - | - | - | 868.38 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 159.79 | - | 12.27 | - | - | - | - | 707.57 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 154.70 | - | 11.88 | - | - | - | - | 685.05 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 139.09 | - | 10.68 | - | - | - | - | 615.94 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 124.75 | - | 9.58 | - | - | - | - | 552.47 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 113.21 | - | 8.69 | - | - | - | - | 501.36 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 97.53 | - | 7.49 | - | - | - | - | 431.93 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 98.46 | - | 7.56 | - | - | - | - | 436.02 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
