Prediction 748
| Modelo | Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state PE.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-11 | 174.17 | - | 168.63 | - | - | - | - | 179.84 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 146.64 | - | 141.88 | - | - | - | - | 151.53 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 145.89 | - | 141.14 | - | - | - | - | 150.75 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 138.84 | - | 134.30 | - | - | - | - | 143.50 | - |
| 2023-07-09 | 125.32 | - | 121.15 | - | - | - | - | 129.59 | - |
| 2023-07-16 | 116.61 | - | 112.69 | - | - | - | - | 120.62 | - |
| 2023-07-23 | 97.85 | - | 94.46 | - | - | - | - | 101.32 | - |
| 2023-07-30 | 96.44 | - | 93.09 | - | - | - | - | 99.87 | - |
| 2023-08-06 | 92.20 | - | 88.98 | - | - | - | - | 95.51 | - |
| 2023-08-13 | 85.65 | - | 82.61 | - | - | - | - | 88.77 | - |
| 2023-08-20 | 82.81 | - | 79.86 | - | - | - | - | 85.85 | - |
| 2023-08-27 | 76.84 | - | 74.06 | - | - | - | - | 79.70 | - |
| 2023-09-03 | 74.21 | - | 71.50 | - | - | - | - | 76.99 | - |
| 2023-09-10 | 69.05 | - | 66.49 | - | - | - | - | 71.68 | - |
| 2023-09-17 | 61.70 | - | 59.36 | - | - | - | - | 64.12 | - |
| 2023-09-24 | 63.28 | - | 60.89 | - | - | - | - | 65.74 | - |
| 2023-10-01 | 62.25 | - | 59.89 | - | - | - | - | 64.68 | - |
| 2023-10-08 | 59.54 | - | 57.26 | - | - | - | - | 61.89 | - |
| 2023-10-15 | 63.11 | - | 60.72 | - | - | - | - | 65.56 | - |
| 2023-10-22 | 69.77 | - | 67.19 | - | - | - | - | 72.42 | - |
| 2023-10-29 | 84.77 | - | 81.75 | - | - | - | - | 87.86 | - |
| 2023-11-05 | 99.22 | - | 95.79 | - | - | - | - | 102.73 | - |
| 2023-11-12 | 107.87 | - | 104.20 | - | - | - | - | 111.64 | - |
| 2023-11-19 | 101.01 | - | 97.53 | - | - | - | - | 104.58 | - |
| 2023-11-26 | 120.08 | - | 116.06 | - | - | - | - | 124.20 | - |
| 2023-12-03 | 118.39 | - | 114.42 | - | - | - | - | 122.46 | - |
| 2023-12-10 | 113.41 | - | 109.58 | - | - | - | - | 117.34 | - |
| 2023-12-17 | 88.62 | - | 85.50 | - | - | - | - | 91.83 | - |
| 2023-12-24 | 75.19 | - | 72.48 | - | - | - | - | 77.98 | - |
| 2023-12-31 | 224.32 | - | 16.57 | - | - | - | - | 1004.52 | - |
| 2024-01-07 | 239.08 | - | 17.67 | - | - | - | - | 1070.62 | - |
| 2024-01-14 | 256.31 | - | 18.94 | - | - | - | - | 1147.77 | - |
| 2024-01-21 | 273.95 | - | 20.24 | - | - | - | - | 1226.77 | - |
| 2024-01-28 | 305.45 | - | 22.57 | - | - | - | - | 1367.82 | - |
| 2024-02-04 | 337.85 | - | 24.96 | - | - | - | - | 1512.88 | - |
| 2024-02-11 | 353.32 | - | 26.11 | - | - | - | - | 1582.18 | - |
| 2024-02-18 | 369.92 | - | 27.33 | - | - | - | - | 1656.49 | - |
| 2024-02-25 | 384.25 | - | 28.39 | - | - | - | - | 1720.64 | - |
| 2024-03-03 | 396.56 | - | 29.30 | - | - | - | - | 1775.78 | - |
| 2024-03-10 | 421.98 | - | 31.18 | - | - | - | - | 1889.63 | - |
| 2024-03-17 | 420.78 | - | 31.09 | - | - | - | - | 1884.25 | - |
| 2024-03-24 | 390.03 | - | 28.82 | - | - | - | - | 1746.57 | - |
| 2024-03-31 | 426.70 | - | 31.53 | - | - | - | - | 1910.75 | - |
| 2024-04-07 | 428.95 | - | 31.70 | - | - | - | - | 1920.81 | - |
| 2024-04-14 | 446.68 | - | 33.01 | - | - | - | - | 2000.21 | - |
| 2024-04-21 | 445.91 | - | 32.95 | - | - | - | - | 1996.78 | - |
| 2024-04-28 | 468.39 | - | 34.61 | - | - | - | - | 2097.45 | - |
| 2024-05-05 | 453.93 | - | 33.54 | - | - | - | - | 2032.71 | - |
| 2024-05-12 | 451.96 | - | 33.40 | - | - | - | - | 2023.86 | - |
| 2024-05-19 | 401.66 | - | 29.68 | - | - | - | - | 1798.61 | - |
| 2024-05-26 | 384.17 | - | 28.39 | - | - | - | - | 1720.31 | - |
| 2024-06-02 | 356.04 | - | 26.31 | - | - | - | - | 1594.36 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 302.97 | - | 22.39 | - | - | - | - | 1356.72 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 255.09 | - | 18.85 | - | - | - | - | 1142.29 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 253.77 | - | 18.75 | - | - | - | - | 1136.41 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 241.52 | - | 17.85 | - | - | - | - | 1081.54 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 217.99 | - | 16.11 | - | - | - | - | 976.18 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 202.84 | - | 14.99 | - | - | - | - | 908.31 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 170.20 | - | 12.58 | - | - | - | - | 762.18 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 167.75 | - | 12.39 | - | - | - | - | 751.21 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 160.39 | - | 11.85 | - | - | - | - | 718.24 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 148.98 | - | 11.01 | - | - | - | - | 667.17 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 144.05 | - | 10.64 | - | - | - | - | 645.10 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 133.67 | - | 9.88 | - | - | - | - | 598.60 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 129.09 | - | 9.54 | - | - | - | - | 578.08 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 120.11 | - | 8.87 | - | - | - | - | 537.89 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 107.33 | - | 7.93 | - | - | - | - | 480.66 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 110.08 | - | 8.13 | - | - | - | - | 492.95 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 108.29 | - | 8.00 | - | - | - | - | 484.95 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
