Prediction 751
| Model | Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Sergipe |
Description:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state SE.
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-11 | 74.91 | - | 69.88 | - | - | - | - | 80.20 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 72.75 | - | 67.83 | - | - | - | - | 77.92 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 76.13 | - | 71.03 | - | - | - | - | 81.49 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 87.33 | - | 81.64 | - | - | - | - | 93.31 | - |
| 2023-07-09 | 82.45 | - | 77.02 | - | - | - | - | 88.16 | - |
| 2023-07-16 | 78.45 | - | 73.23 | - | - | - | - | 83.94 | - |
| 2023-07-23 | 81.71 | - | 76.31 | - | - | - | - | 87.38 | - |
| 2023-07-30 | 76.64 | - | 71.52 | - | - | - | - | 82.03 | - |
| 2023-08-06 | 67.82 | - | 63.16 | - | - | - | - | 72.72 | - |
| 2023-08-13 | 65.75 | - | 61.21 | - | - | - | - | 70.54 | - |
| 2023-08-20 | 59.57 | - | 55.37 | - | - | - | - | 64.01 | - |
| 2023-08-27 | 52.51 | - | 48.68 | - | - | - | - | 56.55 | - |
| 2023-09-03 | 56.91 | - | 52.85 | - | - | - | - | 61.20 | - |
| 2023-09-10 | 58.83 | - | 54.67 | - | - | - | - | 63.23 | - |
| 2023-09-17 | 58.10 | - | 53.97 | - | - | - | - | 62.46 | - |
| 2023-09-24 | 47.64 | - | 44.08 | - | - | - | - | 51.40 | - |
| 2023-10-01 | 47.53 | - | 43.99 | - | - | - | - | 51.28 | - |
| 2023-10-08 | 41.43 | - | 38.23 | - | - | - | - | 44.82 | - |
| 2023-10-15 | 41.27 | - | 38.08 | - | - | - | - | 44.65 | - |
| 2023-10-22 | 40.51 | - | 37.36 | - | - | - | - | 43.84 | - |
| 2023-10-29 | 45.90 | - | 42.45 | - | - | - | - | 49.55 | - |
| 2023-11-05 | 53.32 | - | 49.46 | - | - | - | - | 57.42 | - |
| 2023-11-12 | 49.37 | - | 45.71 | - | - | - | - | 53.23 | - |
| 2023-11-19 | 58.16 | - | 54.02 | - | - | - | - | 62.53 | - |
| 2023-11-26 | 53.77 | - | 49.89 | - | - | - | - | 57.89 | - |
| 2023-12-03 | 44.77 | - | 41.38 | - | - | - | - | 48.35 | - |
| 2023-12-10 | 41.39 | - | 38.19 | - | - | - | - | 44.78 | - |
| 2023-12-17 | 30.62 | - | 28.05 | - | - | - | - | 33.35 | - |
| 2023-12-24 | 26.62 | - | 24.30 | - | - | - | - | 29.07 | - |
| 2023-12-31 | 100.76 | - | 2.55 | - | - | - | - | 560.24 | - |
| 2024-01-07 | 98.11 | - | 2.48 | - | - | - | - | 545.50 | - |
| 2024-01-14 | 108.75 | - | 2.75 | - | - | - | - | 604.66 | - |
| 2024-01-21 | 128.19 | - | 3.25 | - | - | - | - | 712.76 | - |
| 2024-01-28 | 134.83 | - | 3.41 | - | - | - | - | 749.65 | - |
| 2024-02-04 | 162.61 | - | 4.12 | - | - | - | - | 904.11 | - |
| 2024-02-11 | 161.27 | - | 4.08 | - | - | - | - | 896.64 | - |
| 2024-02-18 | 177.57 | - | 4.50 | - | - | - | - | 987.28 | - |
| 2024-02-25 | 181.76 | - | 4.60 | - | - | - | - | 1010.53 | - |
| 2024-03-03 | 170.38 | - | 4.31 | - | - | - | - | 947.27 | - |
| 2024-03-10 | 195.93 | - | 4.96 | - | - | - | - | 1089.29 | - |
| 2024-03-17 | 200.39 | - | 5.08 | - | - | - | - | 1114.10 | - |
| 2024-03-24 | 195.26 | - | 4.95 | - | - | - | - | 1085.58 | - |
| 2024-03-31 | 224.22 | - | 5.68 | - | - | - | - | 1246.61 | - |
| 2024-04-07 | 228.53 | - | 5.79 | - | - | - | - | 1270.53 | - |
| 2024-04-14 | 207.04 | - | 5.24 | - | - | - | - | 1151.10 | - |
| 2024-04-21 | 182.41 | - | 4.62 | - | - | - | - | 1014.16 | - |
| 2024-04-28 | 215.18 | - | 5.45 | - | - | - | - | 1196.34 | - |
| 2024-05-05 | 215.30 | - | 5.45 | - | - | - | - | 1197.02 | - |
| 2024-05-12 | 223.58 | - | 5.66 | - | - | - | - | 1243.04 | - |
| 2024-05-19 | 214.01 | - | 5.42 | - | - | - | - | 1189.86 | - |
| 2024-05-26 | 215.56 | - | 5.46 | - | - | - | - | 1198.44 | - |
| 2024-06-02 | 212.44 | - | 5.38 | - | - | - | - | 1181.12 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 199.15 | - | 5.04 | - | - | - | - | 1107.26 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 193.40 | - | 4.90 | - | - | - | - | 1075.27 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 202.39 | - | 5.13 | - | - | - | - | 1125.25 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 232.17 | - | 5.88 | - | - | - | - | 1290.81 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 219.20 | - | 5.55 | - | - | - | - | 1218.71 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 208.57 | - | 5.28 | - | - | - | - | 1159.59 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 217.22 | - | 5.50 | - | - | - | - | 1207.72 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 203.76 | - | 5.16 | - | - | - | - | 1132.85 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 180.30 | - | 4.57 | - | - | - | - | 1002.42 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 174.80 | - | 4.43 | - | - | - | - | 971.87 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 158.38 | - | 4.01 | - | - | - | - | 880.57 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 139.59 | - | 3.53 | - | - | - | - | 776.15 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 151.31 | - | 3.83 | - | - | - | - | 841.26 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 156.41 | - | 3.96 | - | - | - | - | 869.62 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 154.46 | - | 3.91 | - | - | - | - | 858.80 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 126.65 | - | 3.21 | - | - | - | - | 704.19 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 126.36 | - | 3.20 | - | - | - | - | 702.59 | - |
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Interval Bounds
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