Prediction 753
| Modelo | Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components |
|---|---|
| Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state MT.
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| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-11 | 406.72 | - | 394.18 | - | - | - | - | 419.55 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 372.78 | - | 360.88 | - | - | - | - | 384.97 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 310.60 | - | 299.92 | - | - | - | - | 321.55 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 285.22 | - | 275.07 | - | - | - | - | 295.65 | - |
| 2023-07-09 | 232.23 | - | 223.23 | - | - | - | - | 241.51 | - |
| 2023-07-16 | 207.63 | - | 199.19 | - | - | - | - | 216.34 | - |
| 2023-07-23 | 182.76 | - | 174.91 | - | - | - | - | 190.87 | - |
| 2023-07-30 | 179.77 | - | 171.99 | - | - | - | - | 187.80 | - |
| 2023-08-06 | 166.59 | - | 159.14 | - | - | - | - | 174.29 | - |
| 2023-08-13 | 162.08 | - | 154.75 | - | - | - | - | 169.67 | - |
| 2023-08-20 | 140.02 | - | 133.27 | - | - | - | - | 147.02 | - |
| 2023-08-27 | 119.13 | - | 112.97 | - | - | - | - | 125.53 | - |
| 2023-09-03 | 119.75 | - | 113.57 | - | - | - | - | 126.17 | - |
| 2023-09-10 | 129.14 | - | 122.69 | - | - | - | - | 135.83 | - |
| 2023-09-17 | 130.94 | - | 124.44 | - | - | - | - | 137.68 | - |
| 2023-09-24 | 125.87 | - | 119.51 | - | - | - | - | 132.47 | - |
| 2023-10-01 | 134.60 | - | 128.00 | - | - | - | - | 141.45 | - |
| 2023-10-08 | 145.09 | - | 138.20 | - | - | - | - | 152.22 | - |
| 2023-10-15 | 166.82 | - | 159.37 | - | - | - | - | 174.53 | - |
| 2023-10-22 | 170.37 | - | 162.83 | - | - | - | - | 178.17 | - |
| 2023-10-29 | 201.89 | - | 193.58 | - | - | - | - | 210.46 | - |
| 2023-11-05 | 242.33 | - | 233.09 | - | - | - | - | 251.82 | - |
| 2023-11-12 | 282.82 | - | 272.72 | - | - | - | - | 293.20 | - |
| 2023-11-19 | 358.32 | - | 346.70 | - | - | - | - | 370.22 | - |
| 2023-11-26 | 446.02 | - | 432.75 | - | - | - | - | 459.58 | - |
| 2023-12-03 | 499.69 | - | 485.46 | - | - | - | - | 514.23 | - |
| 2023-12-10 | 477.98 | - | 464.14 | - | - | - | - | 492.13 | - |
| 2023-12-17 | 381.72 | - | 369.64 | - | - | - | - | 394.09 | - |
| 2023-12-24 | 445.42 | - | 432.74 | - | - | - | - | 458.36 | - |
| 2023-12-31 | 1423.26 | - | 202.78 | - | - | - | - | 5097.07 | - |
| 2024-01-07 | 1566.81 | - | 223.24 | - | - | - | - | 5611.19 | - |
| 2024-01-14 | 1614.90 | - | 230.09 | - | - | - | - | 5783.40 | - |
| 2024-01-21 | 1692.62 | - | 241.17 | - | - | - | - | 6061.74 | - |
| 2024-01-28 | 1741.88 | - | 248.19 | - | - | - | - | 6238.14 | - |
| 2024-02-04 | 1690.30 | - | 240.84 | - | - | - | - | 6053.42 | - |
| 2024-02-11 | 1691.39 | - | 240.99 | - | - | - | - | 6057.33 | - |
| 2024-02-18 | 1566.47 | - | 223.19 | - | - | - | - | 5609.98 | - |
| 2024-02-25 | 1644.00 | - | 234.24 | - | - | - | - | 5887.62 | - |
| 2024-03-03 | 1534.93 | - | 218.70 | - | - | - | - | 5497.03 | - |
| 2024-03-10 | 1532.59 | - | 218.36 | - | - | - | - | 5488.65 | - |
| 2024-03-17 | 1459.97 | - | 208.02 | - | - | - | - | 5228.57 | - |
| 2024-03-24 | 1353.00 | - | 192.77 | - | - | - | - | 4845.52 | - |
| 2024-03-31 | 1360.53 | - | 193.85 | - | - | - | - | 4872.46 | - |
| 2024-04-07 | 1389.34 | - | 197.95 | - | - | - | - | 4975.64 | - |
| 2024-04-14 | 1377.58 | - | 196.28 | - | - | - | - | 4933.54 | - |
| 2024-04-21 | 1256.66 | - | 179.04 | - | - | - | - | 4500.50 | - |
| 2024-04-28 | 1204.82 | - | 171.66 | - | - | - | - | 4314.85 | - |
| 2024-05-05 | 1120.54 | - | 159.65 | - | - | - | - | 4013.03 | - |
| 2024-05-12 | 1027.66 | - | 146.41 | - | - | - | - | 3680.42 | - |
| 2024-05-19 | 912.90 | - | 130.06 | - | - | - | - | 3269.47 | - |
| 2024-05-26 | 768.45 | - | 109.48 | - | - | - | - | 2752.16 | - |
| 2024-06-02 | 641.91 | - | 91.44 | - | - | - | - | 2298.99 | - |
| 2024-06-09 | 573.17 | - | 81.65 | - | - | - | - | 2052.88 | - |
| 2024-06-16 | 525.34 | - | 74.83 | - | - | - | - | 1881.59 | - |
| 2024-06-23 | 437.71 | - | 62.34 | - | - | - | - | 1567.75 | - |
| 2024-06-30 | 401.95 | - | 57.25 | - | - | - | - | 1439.71 | - |
| 2024-07-07 | 327.27 | - | 46.61 | - | - | - | - | 1172.28 | - |
| 2024-07-14 | 292.60 | - | 41.67 | - | - | - | - | 1048.11 | - |
| 2024-07-21 | 257.55 | - | 36.67 | - | - | - | - | 922.61 | - |
| 2024-07-28 | 253.34 | - | 36.07 | - | - | - | - | 907.50 | - |
| 2024-08-04 | 234.77 | - | 33.43 | - | - | - | - | 840.99 | - |
| 2024-08-11 | 228.42 | - | 32.52 | - | - | - | - | 818.26 | - |
| 2024-08-18 | 197.32 | - | 28.09 | - | - | - | - | 706.90 | - |
| 2024-08-25 | 167.88 | - | 23.90 | - | - | - | - | 601.48 | - |
| 2024-09-01 | 168.76 | - | 24.02 | - | - | - | - | 604.62 | - |
| 2024-09-08 | 181.99 | - | 25.91 | - | - | - | - | 651.99 | - |
| 2024-09-15 | 184.52 | - | 26.27 | - | - | - | - | 661.08 | - |
| 2024-09-22 | 177.38 | - | 25.25 | - | - | - | - | 635.49 | - |
| 2024-09-29 | 189.68 | - | 27.00 | - | - | - | - | 679.55 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
