Prediction 756
Modelo | Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components |
---|---|
Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state MG.
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date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-06-11 | 4408.60 | - | 4358.00 | - | - | - | - | 4459.65 | - |
2023-06-18 | 3048.52 | - | 3007.09 | - | - | - | - | 3090.37 | - |
2023-06-25 | 2349.59 | - | 2313.53 | - | - | - | - | 2386.05 | - |
2023-07-02 | 1805.84 | - | 1774.46 | - | - | - | - | 1837.62 | - |
2023-07-09 | 1329.56 | - | 1302.83 | - | - | - | - | 1356.69 | - |
2023-07-16 | 1048.01 | - | 1024.40 | - | - | - | - | 1072.03 | - |
2023-07-23 | 885.72 | - | 864.08 | - | - | - | - | 907.76 | - |
2023-07-30 | 789.82 | - | 769.43 | - | - | - | - | 810.61 | - |
2023-08-06 | 723.71 | - | 704.23 | - | - | - | - | 743.59 | - |
2023-08-13 | 690.64 | - | 671.63 | - | - | - | - | 710.06 | - |
2023-08-20 | 688.88 | - | 669.88 | - | - | - | - | 708.27 | - |
2023-08-27 | 653.58 | - | 635.10 | - | - | - | - | 672.46 | - |
2023-09-03 | 676.12 | - | 657.30 | - | - | - | - | 695.32 | - |
2023-09-10 | 783.54 | - | 763.23 | - | - | - | - | 804.24 | - |
2023-09-17 | 775.48 | - | 755.29 | - | - | - | - | 796.08 | - |
2023-09-24 | 746.71 | - | 726.91 | - | - | - | - | 766.91 | - |
2023-10-01 | 752.50 | - | 732.62 | - | - | - | - | 772.78 | - |
2023-10-08 | 763.17 | - | 743.14 | - | - | - | - | 783.60 | - |
2023-10-15 | 895.56 | - | 873.79 | - | - | - | - | 917.72 | - |
2023-10-22 | 876.20 | - | 854.69 | - | - | - | - | 898.12 | - |
2023-10-29 | 882.28 | - | 860.68 | - | - | - | - | 904.27 | - |
2023-11-05 | 1008.87 | - | 985.71 | - | - | - | - | 1032.42 | - |
2023-11-12 | 1086.38 | - | 1062.32 | - | - | - | - | 1110.85 | - |
2023-11-19 | 1352.23 | - | 1325.26 | - | - | - | - | 1379.60 | - |
2023-11-26 | 1508.15 | - | 1479.60 | - | - | - | - | 1537.11 | - |
2023-12-03 | 1814.98 | - | 1783.52 | - | - | - | - | 1846.85 | - |
2023-12-10 | 2032.59 | - | 1999.20 | - | - | - | - | 2066.40 | - |
2023-12-17 | 2197.26 | - | 2162.47 | - | - | - | - | 2232.47 | - |
2023-12-24 | 2595.58 | - | 2558.60 | - | - | - | - | 2632.95 | - |
2023-12-31 | 16809.22 | - | 210.78 | - | - | - | - | 99289.96 | - |
2024-01-07 | 21414.99 | - | 268.54 | - | - | - | - | 126495.55 | - |
2024-01-14 | 25347.93 | - | 317.86 | - | - | - | - | 149726.99 | - |
2024-01-21 | 29595.63 | - | 371.12 | - | - | - | - | 174817.50 | - |
2024-01-28 | 35365.48 | - | 443.48 | - | - | - | - | 208899.20 | - |
2024-02-04 | 40963.28 | - | 513.67 | - | - | - | - | 241964.69 | - |
2024-02-11 | 51335.75 | - | 643.74 | - | - | - | - | 303233.31 | - |
2024-02-18 | 59589.90 | - | 747.25 | - | - | - | - | 351989.37 | - |
2024-02-25 | 65345.56 | - | 819.43 | - | - | - | - | 385987.22 | - |
2024-03-03 | 70539.13 | - | 884.56 | - | - | - | - | 416664.92 | - |
2024-03-10 | 79906.07 | - | 1002.02 | - | - | - | - | 471994.09 | - |
2024-03-17 | 83300.05 | - | 1044.58 | - | - | - | - | 492041.89 | - |
2024-03-24 | 86245.17 | - | 1081.51 | - | - | - | - | 509438.30 | - |
2024-03-31 | 96063.03 | - | 1204.63 | - | - | - | - | 567431.00 | - |
2024-04-07 | 95608.64 | - | 1198.93 | - | - | - | - | 564746.99 | - |
2024-04-14 | 87806.27 | - | 1101.09 | - | - | - | - | 518659.46 | - |
2024-04-21 | 84472.08 | - | 1059.27 | - | - | - | - | 498964.87 | - |
2024-04-28 | 75558.31 | - | 947.50 | - | - | - | - | 446312.52 | - |
2024-05-05 | 65538.73 | - | 821.85 | - | - | - | - | 387128.25 | - |
2024-05-12 | 53296.27 | - | 668.33 | - | - | - | - | 314813.76 | - |
2024-05-19 | 40325.35 | - | 505.67 | - | - | - | - | 238196.51 | - |
2024-05-26 | 30380.53 | - | 380.97 | - | - | - | - | 179453.81 | - |
2024-06-02 | 22800.59 | - | 285.91 | - | - | - | - | 134680.09 | - |
2024-06-09 | 16457.72 | - | 206.37 | - | - | - | - | 97213.77 | - |
2024-06-16 | 11380.40 | - | 142.70 | - | - | - | - | 67222.74 | - |
2024-06-23 | 8771.22 | - | 109.98 | - | - | - | - | 51810.64 | - |
2024-06-30 | 6741.35 | - | 84.53 | - | - | - | - | 39820.50 | - |
2024-07-07 | 4963.37 | - | 62.23 | - | - | - | - | 29318.21 | - |
2024-07-14 | 3912.33 | - | 49.05 | - | - | - | - | 23109.90 | - |
2024-07-21 | 3306.47 | - | 41.46 | - | - | - | - | 19531.13 | - |
2024-07-28 | 2948.48 | - | 36.97 | - | - | - | - | 17416.55 | - |
2024-08-04 | 2701.69 | - | 33.87 | - | - | - | - | 15958.79 | - |
2024-08-11 | 2578.24 | - | 32.32 | - | - | - | - | 15229.61 | - |
2024-08-18 | 2571.65 | - | 32.24 | - | - | - | - | 15190.65 | - |
2024-08-25 | 2439.88 | - | 30.59 | - | - | - | - | 14412.33 | - |
2024-09-01 | 2524.00 | - | 31.64 | - | - | - | - | 14909.22 | - |
2024-09-08 | 2925.01 | - | 36.67 | - | - | - | - | 17277.93 | - |
2024-09-15 | 2894.95 | - | 36.30 | - | - | - | - | 17100.35 | - |
2024-09-22 | 2787.54 | - | 34.95 | - | - | - | - | 16465.91 | - |
2024-09-29 | 2809.17 | - | 35.22 | - | - | - | - | 16593.65 | - |