Prediction 757
Modelo | Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components |
---|---|
Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state SP.
Mostrar Tabela
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-06-11 | 4039.84 | - | 4001.73 | - | - | - | - | 4078.22 | - |
2023-06-18 | 3164.95 | - | 3131.79 | - | - | - | - | 3198.37 | - |
2023-06-25 | 2664.77 | - | 2634.65 | - | - | - | - | 2695.14 | - |
2023-07-02 | 1965.73 | - | 1940.25 | - | - | - | - | 1991.46 | - |
2023-07-09 | 1679.82 | - | 1656.42 | - | - | - | - | 1703.47 | - |
2023-07-16 | 1449.64 | - | 1428.02 | - | - | - | - | 1471.51 | - |
2023-07-23 | 1326.96 | - | 1306.33 | - | - | - | - | 1347.83 | - |
2023-07-30 | 1192.05 | - | 1172.56 | - | - | - | - | 1211.77 | - |
2023-08-06 | 1149.37 | - | 1130.25 | - | - | - | - | 1168.72 | - |
2023-08-13 | 1041.69 | - | 1023.55 | - | - | - | - | 1060.08 | - |
2023-08-20 | 1028.83 | - | 1010.80 | - | - | - | - | 1047.10 | - |
2023-08-27 | 1004.73 | - | 986.93 | - | - | - | - | 1022.78 | - |
2023-09-03 | 1027.08 | - | 1009.06 | - | - | - | - | 1045.33 | - |
2023-09-10 | 1223.58 | - | 1203.82 | - | - | - | - | 1243.58 | - |
2023-09-17 | 1254.13 | - | 1234.11 | - | - | - | - | 1274.39 | - |
2023-09-24 | 1213.58 | - | 1193.91 | - | - | - | - | 1233.50 | - |
2023-10-01 | 1291.70 | - | 1271.36 | - | - | - | - | 1312.28 | - |
2023-10-08 | 1336.85 | - | 1316.14 | - | - | - | - | 1357.80 | - |
2023-10-15 | 1450.73 | - | 1429.09 | - | - | - | - | 1472.61 | - |
2023-10-22 | 1365.44 | - | 1344.49 | - | - | - | - | 1386.63 | - |
2023-10-29 | 1460.12 | - | 1438.41 | - | - | - | - | 1482.07 | - |
2023-11-05 | 1562.33 | - | 1539.82 | - | - | - | - | 1585.09 | - |
2023-11-12 | 1597.69 | - | 1574.90 | - | - | - | - | 1620.72 | - |
2023-11-19 | 1809.76 | - | 1785.40 | - | - | - | - | 1834.37 | - |
2023-11-26 | 1990.62 | - | 1964.97 | - | - | - | - | 2016.53 | - |
2023-12-03 | 2206.61 | - | 2179.47 | - | - | - | - | 2234.00 | - |
2023-12-10 | 2330.91 | - | 2302.94 | - | - | - | - | 2359.13 | - |
2023-12-17 | 2170.43 | - | 2143.53 | - | - | - | - | 2197.57 | - |
2023-12-24 | 2158.19 | - | 2132.82 | - | - | - | - | 2183.78 | - |
2023-12-31 | 6488.43 | - | 483.32 | - | - | - | - | 28986.42 | - |
2024-01-07 | 7764.21 | - | 578.35 | - | - | - | - | 34685.78 | - |
2024-01-14 | 10073.47 | - | 750.37 | - | - | - | - | 45002.12 | - |
2024-01-21 | 12650.26 | - | 942.32 | - | - | - | - | 56513.58 | - |
2024-01-28 | 15452.06 | - | 1151.03 | - | - | - | - | 69030.28 | - |
2024-02-04 | 18234.03 | - | 1358.26 | - | - | - | - | 81458.30 | - |
2024-02-11 | 21223.17 | - | 1580.92 | - | - | - | - | 94811.86 | - |
2024-02-18 | 24057.88 | - | 1792.08 | - | - | - | - | 107475.54 | - |
2024-02-25 | 27933.44 | - | 2080.78 | - | - | - | - | 124789.05 | - |
2024-03-03 | 30933.63 | - | 2304.26 | - | - | - | - | 138192.00 | - |
2024-03-10 | 34146.79 | - | 2543.62 | - | - | - | - | 152546.30 | - |
2024-03-17 | 34155.63 | - | 2544.27 | - | - | - | - | 152585.84 | - |
2024-03-24 | 34349.70 | - | 2558.73 | - | - | - | - | 153452.80 | - |
2024-03-31 | 37569.52 | - | 2798.58 | - | - | - | - | 167836.92 | - |
2024-04-07 | 37438.45 | - | 2788.82 | - | - | - | - | 167251.37 | - |
2024-04-14 | 36072.06 | - | 2687.03 | - | - | - | - | 161147.23 | - |
2024-04-21 | 33612.35 | - | 2503.80 | - | - | - | - | 150158.80 | - |
2024-04-28 | 29893.39 | - | 2226.78 | - | - | - | - | 133544.85 | - |
2024-05-05 | 25449.14 | - | 1895.72 | - | - | - | - | 113690.78 | - |
2024-05-12 | 20765.40 | - | 1546.82 | - | - | - | - | 92766.83 | - |
2024-05-19 | 14969.62 | - | 1115.09 | - | - | - | - | 66875.03 | - |
2024-05-26 | 11157.52 | - | 831.12 | - | - | - | - | 49844.96 | - |
2024-06-02 | 8518.26 | - | 634.52 | - | - | - | - | 38054.40 | - |
2024-06-09 | 7002.81 | - | 521.63 | - | - | - | - | 31284.35 | - |
2024-06-16 | 5486.23 | - | 408.66 | - | - | - | - | 24509.25 | - |
2024-06-23 | 4619.21 | - | 344.07 | - | - | - | - | 20635.93 | - |
2024-06-30 | 3407.47 | - | 253.81 | - | - | - | - | 15222.67 | - |
2024-07-07 | 2911.86 | - | 216.89 | - | - | - | - | 13008.61 | - |
2024-07-14 | 2512.86 | - | 187.17 | - | - | - | - | 11226.13 | - |
2024-07-21 | 2300.20 | - | 171.33 | - | - | - | - | 10276.10 | - |
2024-07-28 | 2066.33 | - | 153.91 | - | - | - | - | 9231.31 | - |
2024-08-04 | 1992.36 | - | 148.40 | - | - | - | - | 8900.83 | - |
2024-08-11 | 1805.71 | - | 134.49 | - | - | - | - | 8067.01 | - |
2024-08-18 | 1783.41 | - | 132.83 | - | - | - | - | 7967.41 | - |
2024-08-25 | 1741.64 | - | 129.72 | - | - | - | - | 7780.81 | - |
2024-09-01 | 1780.37 | - | 132.61 | - | - | - | - | 7953.82 | - |
2024-09-08 | 2121.01 | - | 157.98 | - | - | - | - | 9475.56 | - |
2024-09-15 | 2173.96 | - | 161.93 | - | - | - | - | 9712.11 | - |
2024-09-22 | 2103.67 | - | 156.69 | - | - | - | - | 9398.10 | - |
2024-09-29 | 2239.08 | - | 166.78 | - | - | - | - | 10003.03 | - |