Prediction 759
Modelo | Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components |
---|---|
Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state PR.
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date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-06-11 | 2131.44 | - | 2090.88 | - | - | - | - | 2172.59 | - |
2023-06-18 | 1751.60 | - | 1715.08 | - | - | - | - | 1788.68 | - |
2023-06-25 | 1513.65 | - | 1479.87 | - | - | - | - | 1548.00 | - |
2023-07-02 | 1142.85 | - | 1113.74 | - | - | - | - | 1172.51 | - |
2023-07-09 | 1002.45 | - | 975.29 | - | - | - | - | 1030.16 | - |
2023-07-16 | 881.88 | - | 856.49 | - | - | - | - | 907.82 | - |
2023-07-23 | 835.48 | - | 810.80 | - | - | - | - | 860.71 | - |
2023-07-30 | 753.36 | - | 729.99 | - | - | - | - | 777.28 | - |
2023-08-06 | 709.47 | - | 686.83 | - | - | - | - | 732.66 | - |
2023-08-13 | 674.59 | - | 652.54 | - | - | - | - | 697.18 | - |
2023-08-20 | 702.88 | - | 680.35 | - | - | - | - | 725.96 | - |
2023-08-27 | 689.06 | - | 666.77 | - | - | - | - | 711.91 | - |
2023-09-03 | 670.88 | - | 648.88 | - | - | - | - | 693.41 | - |
2023-09-10 | 818.38 | - | 793.96 | - | - | - | - | 843.35 | - |
2023-09-17 | 769.04 | - | 745.42 | - | - | - | - | 793.21 | - |
2023-09-24 | 752.01 | - | 728.66 | - | - | - | - | 775.90 | - |
2023-10-01 | 835.69 | - | 811.01 | - | - | - | - | 860.92 | - |
2023-10-08 | 886.09 | - | 860.63 | - | - | - | - | 912.09 | - |
2023-10-15 | 1010.57 | - | 983.29 | - | - | - | - | 1038.40 | - |
2023-10-22 | 1012.61 | - | 985.31 | - | - | - | - | 1040.47 | - |
2023-10-29 | 1080.94 | - | 1052.67 | - | - | - | - | 1109.75 | - |
2023-11-05 | 1220.18 | - | 1190.05 | - | - | - | - | 1250.87 | - |
2023-11-12 | 1338.36 | - | 1306.72 | - | - | - | - | 1370.57 | - |
2023-11-19 | 1652.20 | - | 1616.81 | - | - | - | - | 1688.16 | - |
2023-11-26 | 1806.80 | - | 1769.68 | - | - | - | - | 1844.50 | - |
2023-12-03 | 2036.77 | - | 1997.18 | - | - | - | - | 2076.93 | - |
2023-12-10 | 2220.47 | - | 2178.99 | - | - | - | - | 2262.52 | - |
2023-12-17 | 2037.14 | - | 1997.55 | - | - | - | - | 2077.32 | - |
2023-12-24 | 1518.05 | - | 1487.74 | - | - | - | - | 1548.82 | - |
2023-12-31 | 4825.69 | - | 218.91 | - | - | - | - | 24341.58 | - |
2024-01-07 | 6052.40 | - | 274.56 | - | - | - | - | 30529.19 | - |
2024-01-14 | 7584.63 | - | 344.07 | - | - | - | - | 38257.82 | - |
2024-01-21 | 9167.17 | - | 415.86 | - | - | - | - | 46240.27 | - |
2024-01-28 | 10859.93 | - | 492.66 | - | - | - | - | 54778.67 | - |
2024-02-04 | 13782.96 | - | 625.27 | - | - | - | - | 69522.58 | - |
2024-02-11 | 16882.46 | - | 765.88 | - | - | - | - | 85156.65 | - |
2024-02-18 | 17771.88 | - | 806.23 | - | - | - | - | 89642.98 | - |
2024-02-25 | 20717.40 | - | 939.86 | - | - | - | - | 104500.37 | - |
2024-03-03 | 23556.25 | - | 1068.65 | - | - | - | - | 118819.72 | - |
2024-03-10 | 25039.52 | - | 1135.94 | - | - | - | - | 126301.38 | - |
2024-03-17 | 27332.24 | - | 1239.95 | - | - | - | - | 137866.01 | - |
2024-03-24 | 28566.56 | - | 1295.95 | - | - | - | - | 144091.98 | - |
2024-03-31 | 29644.74 | - | 1344.87 | - | - | - | - | 149530.40 | - |
2024-04-07 | 30143.59 | - | 1367.50 | - | - | - | - | 152046.63 | - |
2024-04-14 | 27369.86 | - | 1241.66 | - | - | - | - | 138055.78 | - |
2024-04-21 | 23636.68 | - | 1072.30 | - | - | - | - | 119225.40 | - |
2024-04-28 | 22571.11 | - | 1023.96 | - | - | - | - | 113850.60 | - |
2024-05-05 | 19229.62 | - | 872.37 | - | - | - | - | 96995.91 | - |
2024-05-12 | 14432.59 | - | 654.74 | - | - | - | - | 72799.37 | - |
2024-05-19 | 10081.59 | - | 457.35 | - | - | - | - | 50852.65 | - |
2024-05-26 | 7390.60 | - | 335.27 | - | - | - | - | 37279.14 | - |
2024-06-02 | 5652.68 | - | 256.42 | - | - | - | - | 28512.94 | - |
2024-06-09 | 4503.73 | - | 204.30 | - | - | - | - | 22717.67 | - |
2024-06-16 | 3701.11 | - | 167.88 | - | - | - | - | 18669.24 | - |
2024-06-23 | 3198.34 | - | 145.07 | - | - | - | - | 16133.20 | - |
2024-06-30 | 2414.83 | - | 109.53 | - | - | - | - | 12181.12 | - |
2024-07-07 | 2118.16 | - | 96.07 | - | - | - | - | 10684.73 | - |
2024-07-14 | 1863.40 | - | 84.51 | - | - | - | - | 9399.71 | - |
2024-07-21 | 1765.36 | - | 80.07 | - | - | - | - | 8905.18 | - |
2024-07-28 | 1591.84 | - | 72.19 | - | - | - | - | 8029.93 | - |
2024-08-04 | 1499.11 | - | 67.99 | - | - | - | - | 7562.20 | - |
2024-08-11 | 1425.40 | - | 64.64 | - | - | - | - | 7190.37 | - |
2024-08-18 | 1485.18 | - | 67.35 | - | - | - | - | 7491.91 | - |
2024-08-25 | 1455.99 | - | 66.03 | - | - | - | - | 7344.68 | - |
2024-09-01 | 1417.56 | - | 64.29 | - | - | - | - | 7150.84 | - |
2024-09-08 | 1729.23 | - | 78.43 | - | - | - | - | 8722.90 | - |
2024-09-15 | 1624.98 | - | 73.70 | - | - | - | - | 8197.09 | - |
2024-09-22 | 1588.99 | - | 72.06 | - | - | - | - | 8015.53 | - |
2024-09-29 | 1765.81 | - | 80.09 | - | - | - | - | 8907.43 | - |