Prediction 760
Modelo | Model 2 - Weekly and yearly (rw1) components |
---|---|
Autor | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
Descrição:
This upload represents the epidemic prediction for validation test 2 in the state RS.
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date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-06-11 | 216.05 | - | 199.97 | - | - | - | - | 233.05 | - |
2023-06-18 | 155.17 | - | 141.78 | - | - | - | - | 169.47 | - |
2023-06-25 | 140.45 | - | 127.79 | - | - | - | - | 154.02 | - |
2023-07-02 | 113.53 | - | 102.28 | - | - | - | - | 125.66 | - |
2023-07-09 | 90.23 | - | 80.35 | - | - | - | - | 100.98 | - |
2023-07-16 | 76.92 | - | 67.90 | - | - | - | - | 86.79 | - |
2023-07-23 | 71.07 | - | 62.45 | - | - | - | - | 80.53 | - |
2023-07-30 | 73.55 | - | 64.77 | - | - | - | - | 83.19 | - |
2023-08-06 | 71.64 | - | 62.98 | - | - | - | - | 81.15 | - |
2023-08-13 | 58.29 | - | 50.62 | - | - | - | - | 66.79 | - |
2023-08-20 | 55.99 | - | 48.49 | - | - | - | - | 64.31 | - |
2023-08-27 | 45.38 | - | 38.77 | - | - | - | - | 52.79 | - |
2023-09-03 | 41.56 | - | 35.29 | - | - | - | - | 48.61 | - |
2023-09-10 | 38.95 | - | 32.91 | - | - | - | - | 45.74 | - |
2023-09-17 | 43.32 | - | 36.89 | - | - | - | - | 50.54 | - |
2023-09-24 | 50.22 | - | 43.20 | - | - | - | - | 58.07 | - |
2023-10-01 | 48.34 | - | 41.47 | - | - | - | - | 56.01 | - |
2023-10-08 | 52.01 | - | 44.84 | - | - | - | - | 60.00 | - |
2023-10-15 | 54.50 | - | 47.12 | - | - | - | - | 62.69 | - |
2023-10-22 | 57.33 | - | 49.73 | - | - | - | - | 65.75 | - |
2023-10-29 | 58.38 | - | 50.70 | - | - | - | - | 66.89 | - |
2023-11-05 | 71.42 | - | 62.78 | - | - | - | - | 80.90 | - |
2023-11-12 | 91.64 | - | 81.67 | - | - | - | - | 102.48 | - |
2023-11-19 | 104.20 | - | 93.48 | - | - | - | - | 115.80 | - |
2023-11-26 | 117.01 | - | 105.57 | - | - | - | - | 129.34 | - |
2023-12-03 | 132.94 | - | 120.66 | - | - | - | - | 146.13 | - |
2023-12-10 | 139.73 | - | 127.11 | - | - | - | - | 153.27 | - |
2023-12-17 | 138.96 | - | 126.37 | - | - | - | - | 152.45 | - |
2023-12-24 | 119.39 | - | 108.01 | - | - | - | - | 131.61 | - |
2023-12-31 | 315.04 | - | 13.46 | - | - | - | - | 1608.44 | - |
2024-01-07 | 338.61 | - | 14.47 | - | - | - | - | 1728.75 | - |
2024-01-14 | 361.78 | - | 15.46 | - | - | - | - | 1846.99 | - |
2024-01-21 | 338.02 | - | 14.44 | - | - | - | - | 1725.77 | - |
2024-01-28 | 411.34 | - | 17.58 | - | - | - | - | 2099.94 | - |
2024-02-04 | 539.23 | - | 23.06 | - | - | - | - | 2752.61 | - |
2024-02-11 | 847.49 | - | 36.25 | - | - | - | - | 4325.79 | - |
2024-02-18 | 1361.16 | - | 58.25 | - | - | - | - | 6947.19 | - |
2024-02-25 | 2263.56 | - | 96.88 | - | - | - | - | 11552.45 | - |
2024-03-03 | 3247.44 | - | 139.00 | - | - | - | - | 16573.57 | - |
2024-03-10 | 4205.99 | - | 180.04 | - | - | - | - | 21465.39 | - |
2024-03-17 | 5478.51 | - | 234.52 | - | - | - | - | 27959.50 | - |
2024-03-24 | 6187.74 | - | 264.89 | - | - | - | - | 31578.94 | - |
2024-03-31 | 6682.79 | - | 286.08 | - | - | - | - | 34105.35 | - |
2024-04-07 | 7684.78 | - | 328.98 | - | - | - | - | 39218.86 | - |
2024-04-14 | 7817.11 | - | 334.64 | - | - | - | - | 39894.18 | - |
2024-04-21 | 6944.45 | - | 297.28 | - | - | - | - | 35440.69 | - |
2024-04-28 | 6160.14 | - | 263.70 | - | - | - | - | 31438.09 | - |
2024-05-05 | 4480.70 | - | 191.80 | - | - | - | - | 22867.30 | - |
2024-05-12 | 3826.89 | - | 163.81 | - | - | - | - | 19530.71 | - |
2024-05-19 | 2471.71 | - | 105.79 | - | - | - | - | 12614.72 | - |
2024-05-26 | 1888.85 | - | 80.84 | - | - | - | - | 9640.19 | - |
2024-06-02 | 1083.48 | - | 46.36 | - | - | - | - | 5530.12 | - |
2024-06-09 | 464.39 | - | 19.84 | - | - | - | - | 2370.92 | - |
2024-06-16 | 333.54 | - | 14.24 | - | - | - | - | 1703.14 | - |
2024-06-23 | 301.89 | - | 12.89 | - | - | - | - | 1541.59 | - |
2024-06-30 | 244.02 | - | 10.41 | - | - | - | - | 1246.25 | - |
2024-07-07 | 193.95 | - | 8.27 | - | - | - | - | 990.73 | - |
2024-07-14 | 165.34 | - | 7.04 | - | - | - | - | 844.70 | - |
2024-07-21 | 152.76 | - | 6.51 | - | - | - | - | 780.50 | - |
2024-07-28 | 158.10 | - | 6.73 | - | - | - | - | 807.73 | - |
2024-08-04 | 153.98 | - | 6.56 | - | - | - | - | 786.71 | - |
2024-08-11 | 125.30 | - | 5.33 | - | - | - | - | 640.33 | - |
2024-08-18 | 120.34 | - | 5.12 | - | - | - | - | 615.00 | - |
2024-08-25 | 97.55 | - | 4.14 | - | - | - | - | 498.68 | - |
2024-09-01 | 89.34 | - | 3.79 | - | - | - | - | 456.74 | - |
2024-09-08 | 83.71 | - | 3.55 | - | - | - | - | 428.04 | - |
2024-09-15 | 93.11 | - | 3.95 | - | - | - | - | 476.03 | - |
2024-09-22 | 107.95 | - | 4.59 | - | - | - | - | 551.77 | - |
2024-09-29 | 103.90 | - | 4.42 | - | - | - | - | 531.10 | - |