Prediction 77
| Modelo | Random Forest model with uncertainty computed with conformal prediction |
|---|---|
| Autor | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
Descrição:
Forecast de novos casos para o geocode 3304557 entre 2022-01-01 e 2023-01-01 usando os dados de todos as cidades clusterizadas com 3304557 como input
Mostrar Tabela
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-02 | 61.29 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1729.22 | - |
| 2022-01-09 | 27.06 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1535.87 | - |
| 2022-01-16 | 26.88 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 673.94 | - |
| 2022-01-23 | 30.44 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1149.22 | - |
| 2022-01-30 | 29.76 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1054.85 | - |
| 2022-02-06 | 29.34 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1053.31 | - |
| 2022-02-13 | 34.61 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1012.95 | - |
| 2022-02-20 | 39.01 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1235.46 | - |
| 2022-02-27 | 43.28 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1478.62 | - |
| 2022-03-06 | 32.32 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1933.38 | - |
| 2022-03-13 | 44.08 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1698.11 | - |
| 2022-03-20 | 74.21 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1583.55 | - |
| 2022-03-27 | 91.20 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1376.35 | - |
| 2022-04-03 | 98.79 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 723.57 | - |
| 2022-04-10 | 176.98 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1567.96 | - |
| 2022-04-17 | 216.42 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2335.97 | - |
| 2022-04-24 | 345.06 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 3022.00 | - |
| 2022-05-01 | 313.83 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 3249.41 | - |
| 2022-05-08 | 512.02 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 3762.70 | - |
| 2022-05-15 | 382.19 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2690.58 | - |
| 2022-05-22 | 318.17 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1889.38 | - |
| 2022-05-29 | 663.35 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2355.17 | - |
| 2022-06-05 | 1012.57 | - | 244.02 | - | - | - | - | 1781.12 | - |
| 2022-06-12 | 902.92 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2020.94 | - |
| 2022-06-19 | 766.88 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2229.10 | - |
| 2022-06-26 | 396.46 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2184.44 | - |
| 2022-07-03 | 333.08 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2367.81 | - |
| 2022-07-10 | 203.22 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1614.48 | - |
| 2022-07-17 | 210.92 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1624.56 | - |
| 2022-07-24 | 205.35 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1947.76 | - |
| 2022-07-31 | 155.79 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1396.39 | - |
| 2022-08-07 | 161.74 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1267.47 | - |
| 2022-08-14 | 153.51 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1237.78 | - |
| 2022-08-21 | 176.64 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1297.49 | - |
| 2022-08-28 | 179.13 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1478.62 | - |
| 2022-09-04 | 146.43 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1566.34 | - |
| 2022-09-11 | 119.06 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1064.74 | - |
| 2022-09-18 | 89.66 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 524.13 | - |
| 2022-09-25 | 88.07 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1116.90 | - |
| 2022-10-02 | 92.84 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 967.04 | - |
| 2022-10-09 | 130.70 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1671.42 | - |
| 2022-10-16 | 126.37 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1783.01 | - |
| 2022-10-23 | 88.54 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2455.89 | - |
| 2022-10-30 | 90.18 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2482.21 | - |
| 2022-11-06 | 138.54 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2753.49 | - |
| 2022-11-13 | 111.15 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2114.95 | - |
| 2022-11-20 | 262.42 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1560.39 | - |
| 2022-11-27 | 130.46 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1275.92 | - |
| 2022-12-04 | 138.95 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 968.91 | - |
| 2022-12-11 | 281.55 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1260.63 | - |
| 2022-12-18 | 121.26 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1588.66 | - |
| 2022-12-25 | 129.22 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1872.34 | - |
| 2023-01-01 | 124.70 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1809.56 | - |
| 2023-01-08 | 127.23 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1793.81 | - |
| 2023-01-15 | 155.21 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1268.89 | - |
| 2023-01-22 | 198.84 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1195.34 | - |
| 2023-01-29 | 345.27 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1518.12 | - |
| 2023-02-05 | 462.34 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1445.43 | - |
| 2023-02-12 | 481.60 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1893.98 | - |
| 2023-02-19 | 481.56 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1965.88 | - |
| 2023-02-26 | 574.30 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2019.82 | - |
| 2023-03-05 | 908.59 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2793.94 | - |
| 2023-03-12 | 1098.33 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 3565.28 | - |
| 2023-03-19 | 1255.02 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 4202.47 | - |
| 2023-03-26 | 903.32 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 3760.90 | - |
| 2023-04-02 | 2084.83 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 4512.34 | - |
| 2023-04-09 | 1451.20 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2937.01 | - |
| 2023-04-16 | 1680.13 | - | 591.80 | - | - | - | - | 2768.46 | - |
| 2023-04-23 | 1944.43 | - | 650.13 | - | - | - | - | 3238.73 | - |
| 2023-04-30 | 1575.31 | - | 227.62 | - | - | - | - | 2923.00 | - |
| 2023-05-07 | 1426.24 | - | 206.77 | - | - | - | - | 2645.71 | - |
| 2023-05-14 | 1939.85 | - | 769.22 | - | - | - | - | 3110.48 | - |
| 2023-05-21 | 1454.24 | - | 359.77 | - | - | - | - | 2548.71 | - |
| 2023-05-28 | 1134.07 | - | 343.09 | - | - | - | - | 1925.05 | - |
| 2023-06-04 | 2243.41 | - | 1319.52 | - | - | - | - | 3167.30 | - |
| 2023-06-11 | 2239.65 | - | 1112.82 | - | - | - | - | 3366.48 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 1068.35 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 2215.13 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 624.00 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1599.32 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
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Limites do Intervalo
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