Prediction 935

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Acre

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 60.79 4.19 6.47 10.64 24.34 151.62 344.97 564.15 864.30
2022-10-16 82.61 5.22 8.17 13.65 32.06 212.58 497.52 827.52 1286.55
2022-10-23 86.69 5.01 7.95 13.51 32.64 229.98 553.23 935.43 1475.19
2022-10-30 105.73 5.61 9.03 15.59 38.65 288.91 713.72 1226.18 1960.65
2022-11-06 119.50 5.84 9.52 16.69 42.45 336.05 851.96 1486.55 2409.14
2022-11-13 142.30 6.42 10.60 18.85 49.16 411.49 1069.84 1895.10 3111.71
2022-11-20 144.55 6.01 10.07 18.18 48.60 429.60 1144.70 2057.75 3422.17
2022-11-27 205.26 7.93 13.43 24.57 67.21 626.40 1709.55 3117.54 5249.60
2022-12-04 200.57 7.18 12.30 22.84 63.98 628.23 1755.19 3245.98 5532.76
2022-12-11 197.51 6.56 11.38 21.42 61.42 634.63 1814.16 3401.34 5866.93
2022-12-18 133.16 4.07 7.19 13.74 40.37 438.72 1282.64 2437.33 4253.36
2022-12-25 47.44 1.29 2.35 4.62 13.99 160.33 479.29 922.87 1629.01
2023-01-01 250.74 6.73 12.09 23.67 72.48 866.84 2646.77 5162.06 9213.94
2023-01-08 250.07 6.26 11.38 22.57 70.61 885.05 2760.07 5451.53 9837.92
2023-01-15 249.79 5.84 10.74 21.58 68.92 904.66 2880.37 5760.22 10507.51
2023-01-22 204.21 4.45 8.29 16.88 55.07 756.58 2458.53 4976.95 9175.27
2023-01-29 201.99 4.12 7.76 16.00 53.27 765.22 2536.92 5197.59 9682.20
2023-02-05 210.68 4.03 7.67 16.01 54.35 815.79 2758.37 5718.31 10761.70
2023-02-12 166.43 2.96 5.72 12.11 42.01 658.55 2270.37 4761.60 9051.87
2023-02-19 145.02 2.41 4.72 10.12 35.82 586.18 2059.83 4369.70 8389.60
2023-02-26 156.40 2.45 4.84 10.50 37.84 645.50 2311.31 4958.68 9613.77
2023-03-05 139.35 2.04 4.09 8.98 33.02 587.13 2141.67 4645.97 9094.57
2023-03-12 105.33 1.42 2.91 6.50 24.43 452.96 1682.79 3690.67 7293.42
2023-03-19 94.11 1.18 2.46 5.58 21.39 412.92 1561.96 3462.83 6907.49
2023-03-26 71.65 0.82 1.76 4.07 15.95 320.76 1235.15 2767.62 5571.92
2023-04-02 68.83 0.74 1.60 3.76 15.02 314.20 1231.32 2788.15 5664.62
2023-04-09 76.66 0.78 1.71 4.04 16.41 356.69 1422.24 3254.02 6670.80
2023-04-16 65.97 0.62 1.39 3.34 13.85 312.89 1269.17 2933.71 6067.84
2023-04-23 78.27 0.71 1.59 3.84 16.14 378.24 1560.36 3643.43 7602.14
2023-04-30 75.67 0.64 1.46 3.57 15.31 372.52 1562.64 3685.41 7756.72
2023-05-07 78.26 0.63 1.44 3.57 15.54 392.41 1673.48 3986.01 8461.58
2023-05-14 69.44 0.51 1.21 3.05 13.53 354.60 1537.13 3697.21 7915.31
2023-05-21 57.33 0.38 0.93 2.41 10.96 298.14 1313.48 3189.97 6886.87
2023-05-28 49.82 0.30 0.76 2.01 9.34 263.79 1180.92 2895.58 6303.37
2023-06-04 42.36 0.22 0.60 1.64 7.79 228.32 1038.43 2570.42 5641.62
2023-06-11 33.57 0.14 0.43 1.23 6.05 184.23 851.20 2126.82 4706.07
2023-06-18 27.86 0.09 0.32 0.97 4.92 155.61 730.26 1841.65 4107.96
2023-06-25 31.77 0.10 0.35 1.05 5.44 183.29 885.79 2273.62 5149.74
2023-07-02 28.64 0.06 0.28 0.88 4.77 169.58 838.84 2183.25 5004.99
2023-07-09 25.17 0.03 0.21 0.72 4.07 153.01 774.58 2044.07 4742.48
2023-07-16 24.49 0.02 0.19 0.66 3.85 152.85 792.24 2120.35 4979.97
2023-07-23 26.58 0.02 0.19 0.69 4.08 170.30 903.96 2454.16 5835.85
2023-07-30 23.81 0.00 0.14 0.57 3.55 156.71 852.08 2346.82 5650.62
2023-08-06 24.08 0.00 0.13 0.54 3.49 162.77 906.57 2533.05 6175.55
2023-08-13 21.70 0.00 0.09 0.45 3.05 150.70 859.69 2436.75 6015.07
2023-08-20 22.41 0.00 0.09 0.44 3.07 159.80 933.54 2683.98 6707.66
2023-08-27 25.31 0.00 0.10 0.48 3.38 185.18 1107.54 3229.48 8170.36
2023-09-03 30.67 0.00 0.13 0.57 4.01 230.16 1409.03 4166.42 10669.35
2023-09-10 28.12 0.00 0.10 0.49 3.58 216.61 1357.11 4068.85 10545.40
2023-09-17 31.20 0.00 0.10 0.52 3.87 246.44 1579.71 4801.56 12593.09
2023-09-24 38.97 0.00 0.14 0.64 4.74 315.49 2068.47 6372.85 16911.63
2023-10-01 48.32 0.00 0.18 0.77 5.75 400.85 2687.44 8391.48 22528.73
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