Prediction 936

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Alagoas

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 666.37 90.59 124.87 180.78 335.39 1323.87 2455.61 3554.11 4897.80
2022-10-16 605.54 76.41 106.60 156.48 297.08 1234.17 2342.50 3437.39 4793.85
2022-10-23 487.07 57.18 80.71 120.07 233.11 1017.58 1974.88 2936.79 4143.28
2022-10-30 477.46 52.28 74.62 112.46 223.10 1021.69 2026.06 3052.02 4354.30
2022-11-06 439.31 44.94 64.87 98.99 200.55 962.17 1948.36 2971.96 4286.37
2022-11-13 403.86 38.68 56.42 87.17 180.25 904.76 1869.74 2886.94 4207.92
2022-11-20 286.40 25.70 37.89 59.26 125.02 655.90 1382.57 2160.17 3181.12
2022-11-27 345.96 29.18 43.46 68.74 147.83 809.43 1739.40 2749.22 4089.27
2022-12-04 331.03 26.27 39.51 63.21 138.53 790.88 1731.81 2768.22 4157.92
2022-12-11 282.93 21.14 32.11 51.96 115.99 689.92 1538.77 2486.85 3771.10
2022-12-18 215.11 15.14 23.23 38.01 86.43 535.15 1215.24 1985.22 3038.64
2022-12-25 97.04 6.40 9.94 16.47 38.20 246.26 569.19 939.71 1451.56
2023-01-01 322.46 20.32 31.72 52.97 124.68 833.77 1960.31 3269.73 5095.92
2023-01-08 392.98 23.46 36.94 62.31 149.13 1035.30 2475.53 4171.00 6557.75
2023-01-15 351.75 19.89 31.60 53.85 131.04 943.91 2294.71 3904.84 6192.29
2023-01-22 282.74 15.15 24.29 41.80 103.43 772.59 1909.03 3280.32 5246.01
2023-01-29 418.36 21.33 34.45 59.84 150.38 1163.55 2921.29 5067.85 8172.13
2023-02-05 369.85 17.91 29.17 51.16 130.64 1046.75 2669.61 4674.97 7600.27
2023-02-12 421.31 19.41 31.88 56.42 146.29 1213.00 3141.72 5552.77 9099.95
2023-02-19 405.53 17.79 29.44 52.59 138.45 1187.45 3122.65 5569.46 9199.57
2023-02-26 466.14 19.49 32.51 58.58 156.53 1387.76 3704.38 6666.40 11097.29
2023-03-05 497.61 19.84 33.35 60.62 164.39 1505.90 4079.35 7406.21 12423.46
2023-03-12 384.91 14.62 24.78 45.46 125.10 1183.83 3253.83 5959.01 10071.50
2023-03-19 351.91 12.75 21.78 40.31 112.57 1099.68 3066.13 5663.57 9643.54
2023-03-26 457.45 15.86 27.27 50.88 144.07 1452.04 4106.05 7648.76 13119.52
2023-04-02 768.78 25.54 44.19 83.09 238.44 2478.15 7105.83 13347.46 23060.25
2023-04-09 1009.70 32.11 55.94 106.04 308.44 3304.77 9607.15 18194.90 31660.15
2023-04-16 1109.52 33.77 59.26 113.24 333.87 3686.65 10863.68 20742.38 36348.02
2023-04-23 1339.29 39.06 69.00 132.89 397.07 4516.82 13489.52 25963.34 45814.57
2023-04-30 1657.99 46.35 82.42 160.00 484.39 5674.44 17172.57 33315.02 59192.58
2023-05-07 1737.07 46.55 83.35 163.06 500.17 6032.11 18495.37 36163.29 64691.06
2023-05-14 2091.03 53.76 96.89 191.02 593.52 7366.32 22880.17 45084.26 81192.58
2023-05-21 2037.04 50.25 91.17 181.13 570.03 7278.81 22899.27 45468.47 82429.74
2023-05-28 2220.01 52.57 96.02 192.20 612.57 8044.81 25631.16 51279.44 93576.59
2023-06-04 2477.34 56.35 103.59 208.90 674.15 9102.91 29367.34 59195.72 108726.13
2023-06-11 2481.11 54.22 100.32 203.82 665.96 9242.99 30190.55 61307.46 113330.49
2023-06-18 2456.56 51.60 96.08 196.65 650.45 9276.90 30674.74 62748.93 116734.92
2023-06-25 2609.96 51.20 96.39 199.81 675.03 10090.53 34078.11 70598.78 132788.00
2023-07-02 2853.57 53.05 100.74 210.91 724.50 11238.45 38592.50 80752.24 153204.61
2023-07-09 2685.88 47.40 90.77 191.88 669.84 10768.75 37579.12 79392.29 151887.19
2023-07-16 2240.82 37.49 72.42 154.62 548.74 9149.53 32456.48 69245.98 133608.31
2023-07-23 1955.63 30.97 60.37 130.23 470.04 8135.60 29348.73 63248.41 123105.17
2023-07-30 2088.35 31.30 61.55 134.13 492.49 8854.33 32492.45 70743.65 138921.44
2023-08-06 1846.64 26.16 51.93 114.35 427.20 7981.24 29798.65 65552.54 129886.49
2023-08-13 1716.59 22.98 46.04 102.47 389.54 7563.34 28731.85 63864.41 127684.59
2023-08-20 1227.47 15.51 31.39 70.62 273.22 5513.32 21309.67 47859.51 96548.91
2023-08-27 1314.08 15.71 32.07 72.90 286.96 6016.32 23657.61 53683.00 109268.98
2023-09-03 1344.01 15.20 31.31 71.92 287.97 6271.32 25085.55 57508.65 118099.35
2023-09-10 1219.91 13.05 27.13 62.97 256.50 5800.54 23599.20 54652.93 113226.95
2023-09-17 1194.75 12.09 25.39 59.52 246.56 5787.95 23946.85 56018.34 117072.06
2023-09-24 1071.11 10.26 21.74 51.50 216.99 5285.79 22236.05 52536.66 110747.75
2023-10-01 909.35 8.24 17.63 42.22 180.86 4570.43 19545.89 46637.95 99156.99
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