Prediction 938

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Amazonas

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 52.32 9.18 12.16 16.80 28.79 95.02 162.53 224.07 296.03
2022-10-16 67.81 11.36 15.16 21.12 36.71 125.17 217.27 302.20 402.31
2022-10-23 53.94 8.61 11.58 16.28 28.73 101.17 178.13 249.89 335.15
2022-10-30 59.78 9.12 12.36 17.53 31.36 113.89 203.36 287.68 388.64
2022-11-06 75.11 10.99 14.98 21.41 38.82 145.24 262.86 374.87 510.01
2022-11-13 107.16 15.05 20.65 29.72 54.58 210.27 385.65 554.38 759.47
2022-11-20 105.43 14.19 19.61 28.45 52.93 209.91 390.02 565.05 779.33
2022-11-27 109.06 14.08 19.59 28.64 53.98 220.23 414.47 605.09 840.12
2022-12-04 127.85 15.87 22.21 32.71 62.42 261.78 498.84 733.72 1025.33
2022-12-11 118.74 14.15 19.94 29.59 57.18 246.46 475.48 704.52 990.84
2022-12-18 88.95 10.17 14.44 21.59 42.25 187.14 365.43 545.40 771.86
2022-12-25 25.16 2.70 3.89 5.90 11.76 53.73 106.24 159.72 227.47
2023-01-01 111.05 11.78 16.92 25.67 51.40 239.79 479.34 725.52 1039.35
2023-01-08 111.17 11.37 16.42 25.08 50.80 243.13 491.61 749.20 1079.68
2023-01-15 90.57 8.91 12.96 19.94 40.86 200.61 410.24 629.44 912.41
2023-01-22 101.68 9.66 14.13 21.87 45.32 227.98 471.40 728.08 1061.49
2023-01-29 113.38 10.40 15.30 23.84 49.93 257.31 537.89 836.22 1226.07
2023-02-05 121.07 10.73 15.87 24.88 52.68 278.05 587.52 919.27 1355.39
2023-02-12 126.84 10.87 16.16 25.50 54.55 294.77 629.48 991.19 1469.50
2023-02-19 115.55 9.56 14.30 22.71 49.11 271.67 586.26 928.94 1384.71
2023-02-26 145.06 11.62 17.47 27.91 60.97 344.95 752.12 1199.10 1797.02
2023-03-05 143.67 11.14 16.83 27.05 59.70 345.54 761.10 1220.85 1839.31
2023-03-12 146.82 11.02 16.73 27.06 60.33 357.08 794.48 1282.08 1941.66
2023-03-19 117.57 8.52 13.02 21.21 47.77 289.15 649.77 1054.83 1605.77
2023-03-26 118.04 8.29 12.73 20.85 47.44 293.49 666.04 1087.60 1664.11
2023-04-02 100.86 6.85 10.58 17.44 40.09 253.52 580.95 954.19 1467.36
2023-04-09 96.87 6.37 9.90 16.41 38.09 246.11 569.41 940.61 1453.68
2023-04-16 89.52 5.70 8.90 14.86 34.83 229.84 536.84 891.86 1385.15
2023-04-23 83.71 5.16 8.11 13.61 32.23 217.20 512.10 855.54 1335.22
2023-04-30 83.99 5.02 7.93 13.39 32.00 220.18 523.96 880.24 1380.39
2023-05-07 87.42 5.08 8.06 13.67 32.97 231.51 556.00 939.19 1479.86
2023-05-14 78.07 4.39 7.01 11.97 29.14 208.86 506.18 859.70 1361.02
2023-05-21 70.90 3.86 6.20 10.66 26.20 191.61 468.58 800.14 1272.66
2023-05-28 65.98 3.48 5.62 9.72 24.13 180.08 444.34 762.81 1218.89
2023-06-04 60.47 3.09 5.02 8.74 21.90 166.70 414.96 716.13 1149.56
2023-06-11 64.65 3.22 5.25 9.18 23.19 179.94 451.83 783.84 1263.95
2023-06-18 45.44 2.17 3.57 6.31 16.12 127.76 323.63 564.38 914.17
2023-06-25 47.38 2.10 3.50 6.26 16.39 136.64 354.15 626.13 1026.34
2023-07-02 54.15 2.28 3.83 6.92 18.39 159.10 419.41 749.06 1238.71
2023-07-09 37.40 1.45 2.49 4.58 12.44 112.04 300.48 542.16 904.52
2023-07-16 46.72 1.75 3.01 5.55 15.29 142.32 387.53 705.67 1186.73
2023-07-23 33.34 1.15 2.02 3.81 10.70 103.44 286.24 526.22 892.29
2023-07-30 34.20 1.12 1.99 3.78 10.80 107.88 303.00 562.05 960.46
2023-08-06 35.28 1.10 1.97 3.78 10.95 113.17 322.74 604.14 1040.59
2023-08-13 34.62 1.03 1.85 3.59 10.57 112.89 326.68 616.89 1070.64
2023-08-20 34.07 0.96 1.75 3.42 10.23 112.92 331.63 631.79 1104.93
2023-08-27 32.12 0.85 1.58 3.12 9.49 108.18 322.28 619.26 1091.07
2023-09-03 33.82 0.86 1.60 3.19 9.83 115.74 349.78 677.87 1203.24
2023-09-10 30.33 0.72 1.37 2.76 8.67 105.43 323.10 631.41 1128.94
2023-09-17 40.67 0.95 1.79 3.63 11.48 143.51 445.89 878.64 1582.33
2023-09-24 39.76 0.88 1.68 3.44 11.05 142.46 448.71 891.45 1616.81
2023-10-01 47.57 1.02 1.95 4.01 13.03 172.94 552.14 1105.86 2019.84
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