Prediction 939

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Bahia

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 147.85 21.05 28.82 41.37 75.65 288.84 527.68 756.80 1034.68
2022-10-16 135.89 18.11 25.06 36.42 67.98 271.57 506.32 735.06 1015.64
2022-10-23 150.90 18.88 26.39 38.80 73.86 308.20 586.01 860.79 1201.53
2022-10-30 181.37 21.35 30.13 44.81 86.92 378.32 733.12 1089.22 1535.46
2022-11-06 212.39 23.56 33.57 50.48 99.72 452.21 892.66 1341.00 1908.63
2022-11-13 217.65 22.77 32.76 49.79 100.17 472.78 950.25 1443.00 2073.11
2022-11-20 230.60 22.79 33.09 50.83 104.07 510.80 1044.90 1603.52 2324.87
2022-11-27 248.76 23.26 34.07 52.88 110.15 561.67 1168.87 1812.33 2651.18
2022-12-04 244.89 21.68 32.04 50.23 106.42 563.35 1192.27 1867.33 2755.60
2022-12-11 220.49 18.50 27.58 43.67 94.07 516.62 1111.55 1758.15 2616.77
2022-12-18 162.71 12.93 19.45 31.13 68.17 388.17 848.79 1355.59 2034.58
2022-12-25 93.59 7.02 10.68 17.28 38.50 227.30 504.99 814.19 1232.10
2023-01-01 381.76 27.52 42.03 68.45 154.55 942.80 2126.95 3461.07 5279.71
2023-01-08 445.18 30.56 47.04 77.31 177.21 1118.13 2561.14 4205.69 6466.45
2023-01-15 468.91 30.68 47.59 78.91 183.59 1197.43 2784.04 4612.75 7147.50
2023-01-22 547.68 34.18 53.43 89.36 210.97 1421.53 3353.91 5605.93 8752.83
2023-01-29 703.37 41.92 66.00 111.35 266.65 1855.07 4440.30 7486.10 11776.26
2023-02-05 799.57 45.53 72.21 122.85 298.39 2142.27 5201.00 8843.36 14014.14
2023-02-12 928.71 50.56 80.77 138.56 341.25 2527.15 6221.63 10667.50 17027.83
2023-02-19 1042.95 54.32 87.40 151.16 377.43 2881.68 7192.64 12434.26 19990.11
2023-02-26 1301.43 64.91 105.14 183.32 463.95 3650.36 9235.46 16095.69 26059.02
2023-03-05 1390.76 66.44 108.37 190.46 488.49 3959.17 10151.39 17833.88 29073.94
2023-03-12 1443.17 66.07 108.52 192.22 499.55 4168.91 10830.77 19177.91 31479.41
2023-03-19 1484.11 65.15 107.74 192.33 506.36 4349.47 11447.55 20428.15 33758.37
2023-03-26 1798.68 75.78 126.13 226.89 605.02 5346.90 14254.18 25632.36 42641.19
2023-04-02 2054.05 83.08 139.19 252.29 681.29 6192.43 16718.35 30291.92 50724.61
2023-04-09 2086.50 81.06 136.69 249.60 682.51 6378.14 17436.14 31829.49 53645.95
2023-04-16 2152.36 80.35 136.37 250.86 694.48 6670.29 18461.11 33950.28 57587.92
2023-04-23 2199.72 78.95 134.84 249.87 700.21 6909.98 19359.01 35862.15 61217.00
2023-04-30 2273.46 78.48 134.88 251.76 714.06 7237.84 20523.27 38293.99 65778.17
2023-05-07 2126.74 70.64 122.16 229.66 659.20 6860.95 19687.64 36997.53 63945.25
2023-05-14 1901.59 60.79 105.79 200.29 581.74 6215.41 18046.52 34153.32 59391.32
2023-05-21 1581.88 48.69 85.25 162.56 477.70 5237.81 15386.24 29322.38 51299.69
2023-05-28 1427.94 42.33 74.58 143.20 425.72 4789.03 14230.97 27308.38 48062.78
2023-06-04 1173.20 33.50 59.39 114.84 345.36 3984.88 11977.18 23140.86 40969.70
2023-06-11 907.66 24.97 44.54 86.73 263.84 3121.90 9489.89 18459.48 32873.56
2023-06-18 749.99 19.88 35.69 69.98 215.31 2611.84 8028.64 15721.86 28161.09
2023-06-25 761.86 18.78 34.11 67.79 213.32 2720.28 8551.99 16973.40 30759.53
2023-07-02 637.63 14.67 26.95 54.26 174.42 2330.30 7480.97 15034.91 27544.25
2023-07-09 521.46 11.21 20.84 42.49 139.44 1949.33 6386.45 12992.28 24054.53
2023-07-16 422.07 8.47 15.94 32.93 110.34 1613.79 5395.46 11110.22 20787.60
2023-07-23 384.33 7.21 13.72 28.71 98.20 1503.35 5130.30 10694.59 20223.93
2023-07-30 322.04 5.63 10.85 23.00 80.39 1289.16 4491.81 9480.81 18123.11
2023-08-06 266.25 4.32 8.45 18.17 64.92 1091.09 3882.41 8298.27 16036.56
2023-08-13 243.74 3.68 7.29 15.90 58.04 1022.57 3716.23 8044.04 15716.52
2023-08-20 226.41 3.18 6.39 14.12 52.66 972.35 3608.94 7910.84 15626.09
2023-08-27 194.01 2.53 5.15 11.56 44.08 852.82 3232.05 7173.75 14324.46
2023-09-03 190.36 2.31 4.77 10.85 42.27 856.13 3312.13 7442.62 15021.01
2023-09-10 182.91 2.07 4.33 9.98 39.70 841.37 3321.60 7554.93 15408.83
2023-09-17 178.33 1.89 4.00 9.33 37.86 838.64 3377.38 7773.81 16019.86
2023-09-24 182.46 1.81 3.87 9.15 37.90 876.91 3601.17 8386.43 17458.52
2023-10-01 144.51 1.32 2.89 6.94 29.37 709.59 2970.64 6998.07 14714.31
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