Prediction 940

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Ceará

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 233.17 49.50 63.51 84.66 136.82 397.33 641.89 855.29 1097.06
2022-10-16 234.17 47.58 61.48 82.62 135.35 405.10 663.38 891.13 1151.11
2022-10-23 250.99 48.87 63.59 86.13 142.97 440.58 731.03 989.77 1287.29
2022-10-30 288.17 53.85 70.53 96.26 161.83 513.07 862.26 1176.42 1540.22
2022-11-06 249.29 44.73 58.98 81.10 138.07 450.04 765.81 1052.64 1387.11
2022-11-13 231.54 39.94 53.00 73.42 126.52 423.68 729.76 1010.41 1339.87
2022-11-20 236.70 39.30 52.47 73.20 127.64 438.86 764.92 1066.62 1423.13
2022-11-27 257.89 41.25 55.40 77.83 137.29 484.33 853.99 1199.10 1609.53
2022-12-04 260.71 40.20 54.31 76.82 137.06 495.84 884.25 1250.03 1687.80
2022-12-11 232.40 34.56 46.97 66.88 120.67 447.49 806.94 1148.34 1559.46
2022-12-18 141.19 20.24 27.67 39.68 72.41 275.20 501.72 718.67 981.50
2022-12-25 71.41 9.84 13.56 19.59 36.17 140.91 259.69 374.39 514.17
2023-01-01 207.73 27.84 38.48 55.86 104.08 414.50 771.79 1119.59 1545.91
2023-01-08 223.09 28.92 40.19 58.70 110.51 450.27 847.07 1236.39 1716.33
2023-01-15 241.81 30.35 42.39 62.29 118.45 493.57 937.97 1377.39 1922.14
2023-01-22 249.18 30.28 42.51 62.85 120.71 514.25 987.06 1458.15 2045.39
2023-01-29 438.25 51.66 72.87 108.32 210.04 914.30 1772.16 2633.31 3712.65
2023-02-05 568.57 64.98 92.11 137.72 269.60 1198.94 2346.40 3506.79 4969.00
2023-02-12 763.13 84.60 120.51 181.19 358.07 1626.29 3213.15 4829.62 6877.28
2023-02-19 910.78 97.97 140.23 212.01 422.92 1961.26 3911.49 5912.38 8460.21
2023-02-26 1116.65 116.59 167.69 254.92 513.23 2429.41 4890.19 7432.78 10687.02
2023-03-05 1257.86 127.53 184.28 281.68 572.30 2764.54 5615.82 8582.46 12398.70
2023-03-12 1154.46 113.68 165.04 253.65 520.01 2562.83 5253.24 8071.78 11715.63
2023-03-19 1151.29 110.15 160.66 248.24 513.48 2581.18 5338.16 8246.06 12024.01
2023-03-26 1509.50 140.41 205.72 319.51 666.71 3417.47 7130.06 11072.17 16218.74
2023-04-02 1964.99 177.75 261.59 408.39 859.57 4491.79 9453.20 14756.23 21712.89
2023-04-09 2131.19 187.51 277.20 434.98 923.43 4918.39 10440.23 16380.90 24211.13
2023-04-16 2409.16 206.25 306.24 482.99 1034.09 5612.58 12015.30 18948.19 28129.24
2023-04-23 2417.92 201.47 300.44 476.23 1028.21 5685.74 12274.50 19454.41 29006.83
2023-04-30 2758.11 223.74 335.10 533.81 1162.12 6545.77 14248.94 22696.25 33986.58
2023-05-07 2822.53 222.98 335.38 536.89 1178.46 6760.07 14836.76 23748.99 35714.93
2023-05-14 2873.46 221.12 333.99 537.28 1188.94 6944.47 15365.84 24715.79 37325.97
2023-05-21 2548.76 191.09 289.85 468.53 1045.20 6215.05 13862.97 22406.04 33979.37
2023-05-28 2735.05 199.86 304.40 494.40 1111.71 6728.58 15128.40 24568.12 37412.54
2023-06-04 2500.52 178.12 272.41 444.53 1007.51 6205.75 14063.35 22946.54 35086.52
2023-06-11 2452.33 170.33 261.56 428.84 979.56 6139.21 14021.66 22985.70 35289.16
2023-06-18 2199.24 148.97 229.69 378.34 870.94 5553.16 12781.67 21050.23 32447.76
2023-06-25 2146.58 135.78 211.67 353.11 830.29 5549.37 13046.61 21760.90 33914.37
2023-07-02 1909.25 114.08 179.49 302.61 724.19 5033.27 12043.28 20300.01 31927.79
2023-07-09 1746.63 98.30 156.15 266.21 649.01 4700.29 11456.69 19526.41 31007.62
2023-07-16 1542.07 82.05 131.53 226.59 562.07 4230.39 10491.42 18067.46 28949.81
2023-07-23 1402.15 70.56 114.13 198.66 501.38 3920.91 9892.86 17213.20 27828.74
2023-07-30 1337.87 63.79 104.09 183.00 469.62 3811.02 9777.05 17182.07 28019.51
2023-08-06 1105.11 49.96 82.23 146.01 380.92 3205.79 8360.07 14836.49 24400.91
2023-08-13 966.35 41.47 68.84 123.43 327.22 2853.52 7561.32 13547.94 22467.31
2023-08-20 779.82 31.79 53.22 96.34 259.48 2343.22 6307.33 11407.71 19072.72
2023-08-27 650.69 25.22 42.58 77.80 212.83 1988.97 5436.79 9924.16 16725.37
2023-09-03 570.46 21.04 35.81 66.05 183.47 1773.25 4920.96 9064.19 15396.34
2023-09-10 535.35 18.81 32.27 60.06 169.35 1691.82 4765.22 8855.69 15158.59
2023-09-17 432.37 14.47 25.03 47.02 134.56 1388.79 3969.30 7441.35 12834.59
2023-09-24 387.89 12.38 21.59 40.91 118.80 1266.03 3670.86 6941.34 12061.90
2023-10-01 307.89 9.36 16.47 31.49 92.81 1020.89 3002.36 5725.60 10022.76
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