Prediction 941

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Distrito Federal

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 191.22 28.53 38.75 55.15 99.41 367.76 662.44 942.08 1278.61
2022-10-16 198.67 27.67 38.01 54.79 100.88 391.18 719.71 1036.58 1422.42
2022-10-23 231.65 30.20 41.92 61.17 114.97 466.66 876.45 1277.98 1772.53
2022-10-30 232.39 28.39 39.83 58.82 112.79 478.71 917.29 1353.69 1897.19
2022-11-06 258.70 29.67 42.05 62.83 122.86 544.60 1064.15 1588.90 2249.54
2022-11-13 280.74 30.28 43.34 65.50 130.54 603.65 1202.23 1815.68 2596.19
2022-11-20 303.09 30.78 44.49 67.99 138.04 665.32 1349.94 2061.60 2976.44
2022-11-27 391.90 37.55 54.77 84.62 174.94 877.81 1813.76 2800.23 4081.19
2022-12-04 437.17 39.56 58.23 90.92 191.33 998.72 2100.60 3277.78 4821.50
2022-12-11 453.83 38.82 57.67 90.98 194.82 1057.04 2262.28 3567.02 5294.57
2022-12-18 426.84 34.54 51.78 82.54 179.79 1013.18 2205.69 3513.45 5261.38
2022-12-25 369.79 28.34 42.86 69.02 152.89 894.22 1979.51 3184.83 4810.79
2023-01-01 757.00 55.11 84.01 136.56 307.39 1863.99 4194.24 6814.47 10381.27
2023-01-08 880.96 60.91 93.62 153.63 351.41 2208.26 5049.31 8282.95 12724.00
2023-01-15 984.47 64.69 100.25 166.07 385.89 2511.31 5833.50 9660.05 14961.38
2023-01-22 1170.33 73.17 114.29 191.08 450.92 3037.22 7165.20 11975.77 18697.64
2023-01-29 1413.37 84.14 132.46 223.48 535.45 3730.49 8935.66 15071.52 23717.63
2023-02-05 1531.58 86.88 137.84 234.65 570.66 4110.25 9993.75 17007.82 26973.46
2023-02-12 1728.91 93.52 149.52 256.78 633.74 4716.35 11637.50 19980.50 31931.05
2023-02-19 1879.61 97.03 156.30 270.76 677.98 5210.64 13044.83 22591.82 36376.84
2023-02-26 2232.20 110.06 178.59 312.02 792.51 6286.96 15965.56 27887.24 45237.24
2023-03-05 2415.71 113.82 186.05 327.80 844.37 6910.91 17798.51 31351.52 51229.26
2023-03-12 2488.23 112.11 184.58 327.91 856.44 7228.79 18876.91 33527.92 55180.96
2023-03-19 2640.50 113.84 188.76 338.09 895.16 7788.47 20618.11 36921.10 61197.88
2023-03-26 2975.93 122.85 205.12 370.36 993.89 8910.19 23907.50 43157.98 72037.69
2023-04-02 3397.00 134.35 225.87 411.07 1117.90 10322.22 28066.77 51070.95 85835.88
2023-04-09 3399.09 128.85 218.11 400.09 1102.40 10480.20 28872.63 52951.39 89604.47
2023-04-16 3629.32 131.95 224.85 415.67 1160.25 11352.24 31682.74 58557.16 99758.97
2023-04-23 3628.75 126.58 217.16 404.53 1143.70 11512.92 32544.82 60612.70 103948.71
2023-04-30 3469.68 116.19 200.64 376.61 1078.31 11163.89 31959.49 59974.39 103530.88
2023-05-07 3291.71 105.86 184.01 347.99 1008.90 10739.24 31130.12 58856.20 102261.26
2023-05-14 3001.37 92.74 162.25 309.12 907.38 9927.22 29133.66 55489.96 97032.15
2023-05-21 2685.40 79.76 140.43 269.53 800.91 9003.40 26746.94 51317.45 90306.13
2023-05-28 2263.43 64.64 114.54 221.45 666.06 7691.15 23125.98 44691.78 79140.79
2023-06-04 1911.69 52.51 93.65 182.37 555.13 6582.68 20030.73 38987.65 69468.96
2023-06-11 1471.79 38.89 69.80 136.92 421.80 5134.94 15811.02 30992.74 55563.09
2023-06-18 1172.63 29.82 53.86 106.41 331.71 4144.74 12912.18 25488.13 45972.62
2023-06-25 927.14 22.20 40.51 80.94 256.99 3344.14 10609.73 21172.90 38552.34
2023-07-02 690.79 15.69 28.89 58.30 188.13 2535.84 8173.45 16466.02 30228.79
2023-07-09 601.94 12.98 24.12 49.14 161.10 2248.33 7360.67 14967.65 27701.37
2023-07-16 460.28 9.41 17.65 36.33 121.05 1749.36 5817.32 11940.41 22278.61
2023-07-23 389.37 7.55 14.29 29.72 100.63 1505.84 5086.45 10538.39 19822.89
2023-07-30 320.87 5.90 11.27 23.68 81.48 1262.70 4332.33 9060.25 17181.20
2023-08-06 330.69 5.78 11.13 23.61 82.54 1324.04 4614.07 9739.77 18619.66
2023-08-13 278.22 4.60 8.96 19.21 68.24 1133.33 4011.22 8546.17 16469.86
2023-08-20 243.20 3.81 7.50 16.24 58.63 1007.85 3622.57 7789.68 15132.61
2023-08-27 287.89 4.31 8.53 18.63 68.24 1213.46 4428.88 9611.20 18820.23
2023-09-03 296.52 4.22 8.43 18.58 69.11 1271.16 4710.54 10315.92 20360.31
2023-09-10 281.74 3.81 7.68 17.09 64.57 1228.24 4620.73 10211.08 20311.91
2023-09-17 287.12 3.70 7.51 16.87 64.71 1272.67 4860.13 10836.77 21724.73
2023-09-24 314.60 3.87 7.91 17.92 69.75 1417.63 5494.65 12360.89 24971.86
2023-10-01 284.32 3.32 6.86 15.69 62.01 1302.37 5122.77 11626.29 23667.92
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