Prediction 944

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Maranhão

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 79.97 8.62 12.36 18.69 37.24 171.61 341.11 514.53 734.91
2022-10-16 46.55 4.69 6.80 10.43 21.21 102.02 206.60 315.13 454.47
2022-10-23 72.90 6.97 10.19 15.76 32.58 162.94 335.92 517.91 753.90
2022-10-30 88.05 7.96 11.74 18.35 38.60 200.66 421.02 655.96 963.60
2022-11-06 54.94 4.66 6.96 11.01 23.61 127.68 272.58 429.10 636.01
2022-11-13 79.25 6.40 9.62 15.36 33.45 187.59 407.20 647.48 968.07
2022-11-20 80.51 6.17 9.35 15.07 33.36 194.07 428.26 687.69 1037.01
2022-11-27 81.07 5.89 9.01 14.66 33.00 198.95 446.17 723.39 1100.00
2022-12-04 67.92 4.67 7.21 11.87 27.16 169.67 386.57 632.72 970.05
2022-12-11 53.64 3.48 5.44 9.05 21.06 136.35 315.53 521.27 805.65
2022-12-18 59.08 3.66 5.75 9.66 22.82 152.73 358.86 598.27 931.99
2022-12-25 40.68 2.37 3.77 6.41 15.43 106.96 255.14 429.20 673.83
2023-01-01 220.18 12.61 20.01 34.02 82.44 587.80 1422.24 2413.32 3817.61
2023-01-08 366.41 20.08 32.07 54.96 135.04 993.88 2439.72 4175.74 6655.28
2023-01-15 368.04 19.26 30.99 53.57 133.51 1014.21 2525.31 4359.20 6999.16
2023-01-22 335.93 16.79 27.22 47.46 119.98 940.28 2374.25 4132.96 6684.35
2023-01-29 413.58 19.79 32.30 56.77 145.47 1175.47 3009.33 5281.88 8603.94
2023-02-05 587.83 26.95 44.28 78.43 203.69 1696.08 4401.55 7788.57 12777.07
2023-02-12 570.60 25.05 41.44 74.00 194.79 1671.07 4395.18 7839.98 12951.24
2023-02-19 504.68 21.21 35.35 63.64 169.77 1499.93 3997.62 7187.49 11955.16
2023-02-26 537.94 21.68 36.37 65.99 178.35 1622.11 4380.02 7936.76 13291.17
2023-03-05 549.34 21.24 35.87 65.58 179.54 1680.35 4596.11 8392.77 14149.10
2023-03-12 457.35 16.95 28.83 53.14 147.37 1418.91 3930.72 7232.58 12273.94
2023-03-19 403.05 14.33 24.54 45.59 128.06 1268.05 3557.22 6594.73 11264.71
2023-03-26 480.66 16.43 28.32 52.98 150.64 1533.20 4354.70 8133.36 13982.67
2023-04-02 453.87 14.90 25.86 48.74 140.32 1467.62 4219.88 7939.61 13736.76
2023-04-09 490.20 15.48 27.03 51.31 149.52 1606.55 4675.69 8861.25 15428.11
2023-04-16 493.62 14.99 26.34 50.38 148.57 1639.46 4828.99 9217.67 16148.84
2023-04-23 491.66 14.37 25.41 48.93 146.04 1654.60 4931.72 9480.79 16712.34
2023-04-30 460.35 12.95 23.04 44.69 134.97 1569.59 4733.55 9163.93 16252.44
2023-05-07 385.86 10.43 18.69 36.53 111.67 1332.73 4066.16 7926.77 14143.27
2023-05-14 417.32 10.88 19.60 38.57 119.24 1459.86 4505.48 8843.77 15873.77
2023-05-21 281.37 7.03 12.78 25.36 79.37 996.90 3111.92 6150.10 11104.24
2023-05-28 277.10 6.68 12.21 24.38 77.19 994.13 3138.41 6244.39 11340.56
2023-06-04 254.09 5.89 10.85 21.83 69.90 922.97 2946.44 5901.67 10780.35
2023-06-11 228.40 5.10 9.45 19.16 62.06 839.89 2711.01 5466.13 10042.15
2023-06-18 185.24 3.97 7.42 15.16 49.71 689.57 2250.34 4567.10 8438.29
2023-06-25 144.46 2.86 5.43 11.27 37.82 551.04 1838.01 3779.35 7062.43
2023-07-02 151.57 2.85 5.45 11.43 38.98 588.60 1995.16 4142.24 7805.56
2023-07-09 175.04 3.14 6.06 12.80 44.28 691.02 2377.42 4980.03 9457.07
2023-07-16 110.44 1.84 3.62 7.77 27.42 443.86 1551.59 3281.18 6282.49
2023-07-23 108.05 1.71 3.39 7.36 26.37 441.80 1568.49 3347.80 6461.77
2023-07-30 109.25 1.64 3.29 7.20 26.22 454.28 1637.41 3526.72 6860.87
2023-08-06 113.23 1.62 3.27 7.23 26.72 478.78 1751.87 3807.39 7464.95
2023-08-13 121.94 1.67 3.39 7.55 28.31 524.17 1946.67 4268.58 8434.06
2023-08-20 92.88 1.18 2.45 5.55 21.19 405.89 1529.78 3384.11 6737.71
2023-08-27 105.17 1.29 2.68 6.10 23.62 467.04 1786.01 3985.43 7995.02
2023-09-03 104.73 1.22 2.56 5.89 23.15 472.62 1833.51 4126.80 8340.68
2023-09-10 100.87 1.11 2.37 5.50 21.94 462.44 1819.75 4130.88 8410.83
2023-09-17 78.62 0.80 1.75 4.14 16.82 366.19 1461.52 3345.81 6862.37
2023-09-24 80.75 0.79 1.73 4.13 17.01 382.00 1546.02 3568.89 7373.10
2023-10-01 84.20 0.78 1.74 4.18 17.47 404.45 1659.60 3862.86 8037.82
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