Prediction 945

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Mato Grosso

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 92.36 14.14 19.14 27.11 48.47 175.90 314.05 444.25 600.16
2022-10-16 96.17 13.75 18.81 26.99 49.29 187.53 341.99 489.96 669.24
2022-10-23 117.57 15.74 21.76 31.61 58.91 234.53 436.55 633.14 874.06
2022-10-30 160.15 20.13 28.12 41.31 78.51 326.56 620.03 909.99 1269.26
2022-11-06 180.58 21.33 30.10 44.73 86.66 376.17 728.11 1080.99 1522.93
2022-11-13 243.38 27.09 38.58 57.97 114.41 517.63 1020.82 1532.63 2180.28
2022-11-20 273.16 28.67 41.22 62.61 125.83 592.83 1190.59 1807.13 2595.20
2022-11-27 379.80 37.67 54.64 83.88 171.56 840.66 1718.53 2636.29 3821.00
2022-12-04 464.74 43.60 63.81 98.96 205.93 1048.62 2181.11 3380.78 4944.31
2022-12-11 396.46 35.20 51.98 81.44 172.39 911.57 1928.42 3019.55 4455.01
2022-12-18 306.63 25.78 38.41 60.81 130.89 718.14 1544.62 2442.69 3635.02
2022-12-25 141.60 11.25 16.93 27.09 59.33 337.73 738.35 1179.04 1769.41
2023-01-01 720.00 54.68 82.79 133.52 296.65 1747.29 3880.53 6255.59 9465.33
2023-01-08 770.41 55.65 84.93 138.26 311.98 1902.25 4290.94 6981.93 10650.05
2023-01-15 820.09 56.38 86.74 142.50 326.51 2059.55 4717.25 7746.07 11909.70
2023-01-22 873.30 57.21 88.70 147.02 341.96 2230.04 5184.91 8590.75 13311.63
2023-01-29 944.61 59.00 92.19 154.16 363.87 2451.93 5785.43 9670.64 15100.00
2023-02-05 919.73 54.82 86.30 145.57 348.63 2426.09 5808.00 9792.89 15406.31
2023-02-12 948.26 53.97 85.60 145.64 353.80 2541.25 6171.01 10494.08 16631.98
2023-02-19 835.91 45.46 72.63 124.63 307.05 2275.37 5603.40 9609.16 15340.76
2023-02-26 1009.55 52.52 84.51 146.21 365.20 2790.50 6967.50 12047.57 19371.97
2023-03-05 1004.82 50.02 81.07 141.40 358.03 2819.72 7136.90 12441.36 20146.95
2023-03-12 1013.71 48.33 78.87 138.66 355.86 2887.35 7406.73 13015.75 21224.29
2023-03-19 967.10 44.17 72.58 128.64 334.54 2795.37 7266.22 12870.26 21131.56
2023-03-26 1029.73 45.09 74.60 133.26 351.09 3019.83 7952.69 14196.52 23467.42
2023-04-02 1039.81 43.68 72.75 130.95 349.49 3093.29 8251.62 14844.01 24702.17
2023-04-09 1070.16 43.15 72.34 131.21 354.65 3228.81 8723.19 15812.04 26487.12
2023-04-16 1089.34 42.17 71.18 130.07 356.01 3332.78 9117.71 16651.64 28075.70
2023-04-23 1065.24 39.62 67.30 123.91 343.37 3304.21 9152.19 16838.98 28574.66
2023-04-30 954.93 34.13 58.35 108.23 303.65 3002.63 8419.28 15604.35 26648.31
2023-05-07 913.57 31.39 54.02 100.93 286.62 2911.44 8262.91 15425.78 26509.23
2023-05-14 795.51 26.28 45.52 85.68 246.28 2569.12 7379.08 13874.70 23992.12
2023-05-21 651.91 20.71 36.11 68.47 199.17 2133.25 6200.05 11740.57 20426.75
2023-05-28 580.71 17.75 31.15 59.49 175.12 1925.14 5661.01 10795.11 18896.12
2023-06-04 500.79 14.73 26.02 50.05 149.08 1681.69 5002.69 9606.00 16915.92
2023-06-11 391.26 11.07 19.68 38.15 114.99 1330.75 4004.33 7741.85 13714.44
2023-06-18 348.10 9.48 16.97 33.13 101.01 1198.96 3648.86 7102.58 12656.19
2023-06-25 281.53 7.06 12.81 25.41 79.47 996.67 3109.02 6141.77 11085.15
2023-07-02 227.70 5.34 9.81 19.71 62.90 823.63 2619.41 5234.78 9543.39
2023-07-09 182.25 3.99 7.44 15.13 49.27 673.39 2182.81 4412.26 8123.78
2023-07-16 172.58 3.53 6.66 13.73 45.63 651.92 2155.65 4409.54 8203.02
2023-07-23 137.37 2.61 4.99 10.44 35.48 531.06 1792.85 3713.21 6982.41
2023-07-30 99.71 1.73 3.39 7.22 25.13 394.80 1361.60 2856.24 5430.68
2023-08-06 101.36 1.64 3.24 7.01 24.94 411.05 1448.54 3078.11 5918.43
2023-08-13 97.01 1.45 2.92 6.40 23.30 403.02 1451.30 3124.15 6074.75
2023-08-20 83.73 1.15 2.36 5.26 19.62 356.29 1311.00 2858.74 5621.17
2023-08-27 71.36 0.89 1.88 4.27 16.31 311.01 1169.09 2582.08 5133.73
2023-09-03 69.34 0.80 1.72 3.96 15.48 309.40 1187.87 2656.89 5340.66
2023-09-10 71.52 0.77 1.67 3.91 15.60 326.58 1280.22 2899.39 5891.50
2023-09-17 70.13 0.70 1.54 3.66 14.95 327.63 1311.02 3005.90 6173.47
2023-09-24 71.13 0.66 1.48 3.56 14.82 339.88 1387.88 3220.99 6685.23
2023-10-01 68.90 0.59 1.35 3.29 14.04 336.63 1402.39 3293.88 6907.90
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