Prediction 946

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Mato Grosso do Sul

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 150.32 10.97 16.73 27.21 61.18 369.17 828.58 1344.11 2044.84
2022-10-16 153.59 10.16 15.75 26.08 60.44 390.07 902.30 1490.39 2303.18
2022-10-23 162.91 9.80 15.43 26.00 62.06 427.40 1018.04 1711.29 2685.06
2022-10-30 238.96 13.14 20.98 35.94 88.22 646.99 1585.47 2710.84 4316.64
2022-11-06 260.83 13.12 21.25 37.01 93.38 728.24 1834.64 3189.23 5151.86
2022-11-13 349.92 16.15 26.52 46.93 121.60 1006.58 2605.02 4601.98 7538.65
2022-11-20 372.04 15.77 26.26 47.20 125.57 1101.89 2927.54 5253.61 8724.17
2022-11-27 466.98 18.24 30.77 56.15 153.21 1422.94 3878.52 7067.68 11893.66
2022-12-04 492.20 17.73 30.30 56.14 157.06 1542.06 4309.62 7971.64 13590.14
2022-12-11 381.36 12.67 21.95 41.28 118.41 1227.74 3516.13 6599.77 11395.01
2022-12-18 275.65 8.45 14.84 28.34 83.32 911.38 2673.31 5090.12 8898.25
2022-12-25 151.90 4.27 7.63 14.82 44.71 515.56 1548.18 2989.45 5289.89
2023-01-01 661.66 17.56 31.52 61.80 190.06 2302.87 7074.97 13849.79 24800.72
2023-01-08 928.68 22.95 41.66 82.75 260.20 3313.86 10412.41 20659.15 37428.45
2023-01-15 1116.82 25.71 47.20 94.99 305.35 4084.06 13118.65 26374.47 48333.24
2023-01-22 1307.19 28.07 52.11 106.23 348.91 4896.58 16072.89 32735.38 60668.30
2023-01-29 1494.55 29.97 56.25 116.13 389.61 5732.29 19220.65 39647.98 74295.33
2023-02-05 1742.90 32.68 61.99 129.59 443.93 6841.94 23426.16 48931.57 92692.34
2023-02-12 1705.93 29.92 57.38 121.44 424.69 6851.60 23946.71 50638.30 96954.99
2023-02-19 1864.25 30.63 59.36 127.17 453.79 7657.67 27311.07 58456.34 113105.72
2023-02-26 2375.20 36.61 71.67 155.37 565.53 9974.79 36290.81 78608.08 153677.76
2023-03-05 2483.21 35.93 71.05 155.84 578.49 10658.21 39545.60 86669.90 171173.01
2023-03-12 2543.03 34.56 69.05 153.21 579.84 11151.93 42185.21 93530.91 186586.58
2023-03-19 2593.32 33.14 66.87 150.08 578.92 11615.84 44785.47 100435.00 202351.50
2023-03-26 2690.08 32.35 65.92 149.62 588.11 12303.46 48336.50 109624.48 223031.04
2023-04-02 2687.36 30.43 62.62 143.73 575.53 12546.80 50214.82 115154.94 236548.15
2023-04-09 2604.05 27.79 57.74 133.99 546.47 12407.53 50574.26 117256.03 243162.37
2023-04-16 2515.98 25.32 53.11 124.61 517.49 12230.88 50762.79 118972.07 249044.82
2023-04-23 2652.43 25.20 53.35 126.52 534.85 13152.25 55569.03 131633.85 278112.43
2023-04-30 2510.41 22.52 48.13 115.36 496.40 12694.08 54586.47 130676.77 278626.54
2023-05-07 1957.85 16.58 35.78 86.70 379.70 10093.44 44165.50 106836.75 229862.82
2023-05-14 1320.10 10.54 22.99 56.34 251.14 6937.08 30881.15 75474.91 163843.42
2023-05-21 1030.45 7.76 17.11 42.40 192.35 5518.38 24987.12 61694.43 135115.93
2023-05-28 986.79 7.03 15.65 39.18 180.79 5384.30 24793.50 61835.66 136612.67
2023-06-04 804.79 5.41 12.18 30.83 144.73 4473.24 20943.87 52757.22 117566.63
2023-06-11 719.12 4.57 10.39 26.60 126.96 4070.83 19376.11 49291.18 110785.18
2023-06-18 581.09 3.48 8.01 20.74 100.74 3349.67 16205.42 41629.02 94358.31
2023-06-25 420.74 2.27 5.36 14.15 70.74 2500.07 12429.54 32454.75 74612.07
2023-07-02 378.72 1.87 4.49 12.08 61.94 2312.97 11786.52 31233.40 72729.40
2023-07-09 327.17 1.47 3.61 9.88 52.04 2053.92 10728.84 28854.97 68060.02
2023-07-16 339.47 1.41 3.50 9.72 52.52 2191.26 11736.43 32041.43 76564.59
2023-07-23 208.20 0.75 1.96 5.61 31.29 1382.31 7593.05 21045.11 50951.37
2023-07-30 214.60 0.71 1.88 5.48 31.35 1465.44 8256.05 23232.06 56990.19
2023-08-06 224.26 0.68 1.84 5.43 31.86 1575.10 9101.41 26001.91 64628.73
2023-08-13 208.74 0.57 1.58 4.78 28.82 1507.85 8935.69 25917.22 65268.25
2023-08-20 219.13 0.55 1.55 4.76 29.42 1627.68 9891.32 29123.76 74306.59
2023-08-27 169.70 0.36 1.09 3.47 22.14 1296.15 8075.95 24136.81 62386.57
2023-09-03 216.74 0.44 1.33 4.23 27.53 1701.55 10867.89 32966.63 86312.72
2023-09-10 193.96 0.35 1.09 3.58 23.96 1564.92 10244.05 31534.91 83624.69
2023-09-17 216.10 0.36 1.15 3.79 25.99 1791.32 12015.23 37530.48 100790.53
2023-09-24 201.79 0.30 0.99 3.35 23.62 1718.26 11806.75 37415.81 101749.31
2023-10-01 210.06 0.29 0.96 3.32 23.95 1836.74 12926.04 41552.92 114410.30
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