Prediction 947
Model | 2025 sprint test - Sarima |
---|---|
Author | Richard Elias Soares Viana |
ADM 1 | Minas Gerais |
Description:
2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 290.13 | 34.32 | 48.39 | 71.89 | 139.24 | 604.41 | 1169.96 | 1737.10 | 2447.40 |
2022-10-16 | 306.70 | 33.36 | 47.69 | 71.95 | 143.02 | 657.55 | 1306.19 | 1969.63 | 2812.53 |
2022-10-23 | 342.09 | 34.33 | 49.71 | 76.13 | 155.16 | 754.10 | 1535.91 | 2350.95 | 3400.89 |
2022-10-30 | 402.40 | 37.35 | 54.76 | 85.10 | 177.67 | 911.21 | 1901.37 | 2952.81 | 4325.57 |
2022-11-06 | 438.31 | 37.72 | 55.97 | 88.21 | 188.55 | 1018.75 | 2176.25 | 3427.52 | 5082.53 |
2022-11-13 | 504.92 | 40.37 | 60.62 | 96.85 | 211.77 | 1203.67 | 2630.56 | 4199.96 | 6302.10 |
2022-11-20 | 546.72 | 40.69 | 61.82 | 100.07 | 223.73 | 1335.81 | 2984.81 | 4829.20 | 7330.18 |
2022-11-27 | 634.57 | 44.06 | 67.68 | 110.99 | 253.53 | 1588.09 | 3625.95 | 5942.83 | 9122.21 |
2022-12-04 | 676.39 | 43.87 | 68.14 | 113.16 | 263.99 | 1732.81 | 4040.56 | 6706.32 | 10407.27 |
2022-12-11 | 646.64 | 39.24 | 61.60 | 103.58 | 246.67 | 1694.85 | 4034.09 | 6778.45 | 10632.02 |
2022-12-18 | 407.06 | 23.11 | 36.69 | 62.46 | 151.83 | 1091.04 | 2649.63 | 4505.99 | 7141.74 |
2022-12-25 | 185.43 | 9.83 | 15.80 | 27.25 | 67.64 | 508.08 | 1258.45 | 2165.47 | 3467.35 |
2023-01-01 | 1072.02 | 53.81 | 87.09 | 151.67 | 383.05 | 2999.88 | 7573.77 | 13183.02 | 21320.02 |
2023-01-08 | 1283.56 | 60.64 | 99.10 | 174.53 | 449.15 | 3667.76 | 9436.00 | 16610.63 | 27127.20 |
2023-01-15 | 1431.30 | 63.71 | 105.12 | 187.18 | 490.68 | 4174.70 | 10940.41 | 19472.96 | 32108.10 |
2023-01-22 | 1471.04 | 61.76 | 102.86 | 185.15 | 494.25 | 4377.87 | 11682.66 | 21020.86 | 34987.96 |
2023-01-29 | 1701.07 | 67.43 | 113.35 | 206.22 | 560.36 | 5163.54 | 14026.66 | 25508.69 | 42851.70 |
2023-02-05 | 1839.44 | 68.92 | 116.90 | 214.92 | 594.28 | 5693.07 | 15737.88 | 28921.74 | 49028.18 |
2023-02-12 | 1953.02 | 69.22 | 118.47 | 220.06 | 619.04 | 6161.12 | 17327.06 | 32171.46 | 55025.91 |
2023-02-19 | 2217.29 | 74.42 | 128.49 | 241.08 | 689.73 | 7127.44 | 20386.44 | 38236.83 | 65976.62 |
2023-02-26 | 3136.95 | 99.82 | 173.80 | 329.33 | 957.96 | 10271.77 | 29873.03 | 56590.64 | 98492.72 |
2023-03-05 | 3650.49 | 110.18 | 193.48 | 370.22 | 1094.68 | 12172.90 | 35986.86 | 68844.30 | 120842.98 |
2023-03-12 | 3999.83 | 114.60 | 202.93 | 392.07 | 1178.12 | 13579.15 | 40797.44 | 78804.74 | 139490.51 |
2023-03-19 | 4530.90 | 123.32 | 220.18 | 429.46 | 1311.17 | 15656.40 | 47792.62 | 93199.82 | 166338.84 |
2023-03-26 | 5128.18 | 132.69 | 238.84 | 470.25 | 1458.39 | 18031.76 | 55913.78 | 110065.12 | 198045.16 |
2023-04-02 | 5836.46 | 143.67 | 260.68 | 518.01 | 1631.53 | 20878.00 | 65748.89 | 130629.19 | 236942.15 |
2023-04-09 | 6328.47 | 148.29 | 271.21 | 543.87 | 1739.32 | 23025.22 | 73626.24 | 147622.28 | 269895.21 |
2023-04-16 | 6163.76 | 137.57 | 253.57 | 513.13 | 1665.93 | 22804.55 | 74027.66 | 149771.56 | 275974.67 |
2023-04-23 | 5775.37 | 122.85 | 228.20 | 465.92 | 1535.36 | 21723.72 | 71576.04 | 146106.52 | 271308.36 |
2023-04-30 | 5683.57 | 115.29 | 215.80 | 444.51 | 1486.48 | 21730.29 | 72657.45 | 149623.92 | 279967.07 |
2023-05-07 | 5103.03 | 98.76 | 186.27 | 387.05 | 1313.29 | 19827.95 | 67266.24 | 139730.45 | 263432.59 |
2023-05-14 | 3825.25 | 70.65 | 134.28 | 281.45 | 968.86 | 15102.01 | 51973.87 | 108894.94 | 206833.21 |
2023-05-21 | 2607.84 | 45.97 | 88.06 | 186.19 | 650.16 | 10459.29 | 36510.06 | 77147.41 | 147615.16 |
2023-05-28 | 2408.10 | 40.56 | 78.27 | 166.90 | 591.08 | 9809.90 | 34726.82 | 73997.72 | 142622.85 |
2023-06-04 | 2005.00 | 32.27 | 62.75 | 134.94 | 484.59 | 8294.64 | 29772.93 | 63970.49 | 124187.22 |
2023-06-11 | 1515.74 | 23.31 | 45.68 | 99.07 | 360.78 | 6366.98 | 23169.52 | 50192.78 | 98136.70 |
2023-06-18 | 1268.33 | 18.65 | 36.82 | 80.54 | 297.36 | 5408.74 | 19951.53 | 43574.15 | 85798.47 |
2023-06-25 | 1078.27 | 14.55 | 29.14 | 64.76 | 245.52 | 4734.38 | 17928.48 | 39775.70 | 79393.56 |
2023-07-02 | 805.20 | 10.00 | 20.32 | 45.87 | 178.35 | 3634.04 | 14106.43 | 31763.10 | 64219.69 |
2023-07-09 | 670.43 | 7.65 | 15.78 | 36.19 | 144.38 | 3111.92 | 12388.50 | 28319.44 | 58012.27 |
2023-07-16 | 597.10 | 6.24 | 13.07 | 30.49 | 124.89 | 2853.29 | 11659.92 | 27074.39 | 56219.80 |
2023-07-23 | 485.56 | 4.63 | 9.86 | 23.40 | 98.55 | 2390.90 | 10037.40 | 23686.00 | 49876.95 |
2023-07-30 | 402.36 | 3.49 | 7.56 | 18.27 | 79.19 | 2042.83 | 8815.48 | 21148.02 | 45173.35 |
2023-08-06 | 489.75 | 3.89 | 8.54 | 20.99 | 93.46 | 2564.54 | 11379.18 | 27756.82 | 60153.08 |
2023-08-13 | 445.88 | 3.22 | 7.20 | 18.00 | 82.48 | 2408.50 | 10989.78 | 27259.21 | 59938.12 |
2023-08-20 | 427.63 | 2.81 | 6.39 | 16.26 | 76.68 | 2382.73 | 11179.97 | 28198.11 | 62907.47 |
2023-08-27 | 387.28 | 2.31 | 5.35 | 13.88 | 67.32 | 2225.53 | 10736.35 | 27532.86 | 62314.93 |
2023-09-03 | 462.81 | 2.53 | 5.94 | 15.66 | 78.04 | 2742.11 | 13597.64 | 35449.80 | 81388.11 |
2023-09-10 | 448.75 | 2.24 | 5.34 | 14.33 | 73.41 | 2740.52 | 13965.16 | 37006.59 | 86172.70 |
2023-09-17 | 424.47 | 1.93 | 4.69 | 12.79 | 67.38 | 2671.08 | 13983.00 | 37656.08 | 88919.80 |
2023-09-24 | 430.34 | 1.79 | 4.42 | 12.26 | 66.32 | 2789.21 | 14995.08 | 41029.70 | 98233.47 |
2023-10-01 | 406.11 | 1.54 | 3.87 | 10.93 | 60.78 | 2710.18 | 14957.94 | 41576.45 | 100908.83 |