Prediction 948

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Pará

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 50.41 14.12 17.34 21.95 32.56 78.03 115.59 146.22 179.29
2022-10-16 54.68 15.04 18.51 23.53 35.09 85.18 126.92 161.11 198.15
2022-10-23 57.27 15.47 19.10 24.35 36.52 89.77 134.51 171.33 211.33
2022-10-30 85.76 22.79 28.21 36.07 54.37 135.22 203.69 260.27 321.93
2022-11-06 90.79 23.72 29.44 37.77 57.23 144.00 218.07 279.54 346.71
2022-11-13 137.38 35.33 43.96 56.55 86.12 219.13 333.54 428.88 533.36
2022-11-20 130.65 33.05 41.23 53.21 81.44 209.57 320.63 413.52 515.62
2022-11-27 176.50 43.96 54.98 71.15 109.42 284.66 437.65 566.12 707.72
2022-12-04 167.52 41.07 51.49 66.83 103.29 271.66 419.70 544.49 682.40
2022-12-11 125.73 30.33 38.13 49.64 77.10 204.99 318.23 414.05 520.22
2022-12-18 87.62 20.79 26.21 34.23 53.44 143.62 224.04 292.33 368.20
2022-12-25 46.73 10.89 13.77 18.05 28.34 77.03 120.75 158.01 199.51
2023-01-01 206.32 47.62 60.29 79.12 124.60 341.60 537.74 705.49 892.82
2023-01-08 268.30 61.05 77.46 101.93 161.23 446.43 705.93 928.66 1178.00
2023-01-15 290.54 65.17 82.88 109.35 173.73 485.85 771.69 1017.88 1294.19
2023-01-22 253.65 56.07 71.49 94.57 150.92 426.25 680.05 899.37 1146.14
2023-01-29 322.17 70.24 89.75 119.03 190.78 544.02 871.71 1155.87 1476.34
2023-02-05 303.89 65.33 83.66 111.25 179.08 515.61 829.78 1103.12 1412.13
2023-02-12 261.06 55.34 71.03 94.70 153.11 445.06 719.32 958.73 1230.02
2023-02-19 222.95 46.61 59.96 80.15 130.14 381.90 619.87 828.27 1065.00
2023-02-26 307.32 63.41 81.74 109.53 178.57 528.85 861.97 1154.66 1487.89
2023-03-05 293.06 59.66 77.07 103.53 169.49 506.65 829.22 1113.56 1438.03
2023-03-12 241.89 48.58 62.89 84.70 139.25 420.12 690.45 929.49 1202.90
2023-03-19 205.48 40.71 52.83 71.32 117.75 358.52 591.63 798.41 1035.46
2023-03-26 188.82 36.92 48.01 64.98 107.72 330.95 548.35 741.80 964.07
2023-04-02 192.26 37.11 48.35 65.60 109.19 338.47 563.07 763.56 994.41
2023-04-09 187.45 35.71 46.63 63.42 105.98 331.46 553.62 752.52 982.07
2023-04-16 193.78 36.45 47.70 65.02 109.09 344.17 577.11 786.32 1028.27
2023-04-23 197.16 36.62 48.02 65.61 110.51 351.70 592.04 808.55 1059.50
2023-04-30 212.60 39.00 51.24 70.18 118.65 380.88 643.66 881.09 1156.88
2023-05-07 170.94 30.95 40.76 55.95 94.98 307.57 521.80 715.94 941.93
2023-05-14 162.10 28.99 38.24 52.63 89.69 292.92 498.85 686.02 904.37
2023-05-21 120.63 21.29 28.15 38.83 66.45 218.91 374.26 515.87 681.41
2023-05-28 96.70 16.84 22.32 30.87 53.04 176.26 302.48 417.88 553.07
2023-06-04 82.66 14.21 18.87 26.17 45.14 151.30 260.65 360.90 478.58
2023-06-11 85.70 14.56 19.37 26.92 46.61 157.52 272.36 377.96 502.17
2023-06-18 75.94 12.74 16.99 23.66 41.12 140.16 243.25 338.31 450.37
2023-06-25 58.98 9.27 12.49 17.62 31.25 111.25 196.88 277.03 372.54
2023-07-02 49.75 7.52 10.20 14.50 26.02 95.06 170.17 241.09 326.12
2023-07-09 49.45 7.23 9.86 14.10 25.57 95.57 172.85 246.39 335.08
2023-07-16 48.59 6.88 9.44 13.57 24.86 94.91 173.30 248.45 339.56
2023-07-23 43.69 6.00 8.27 11.97 22.12 86.19 158.80 228.88 314.27
2023-07-30 51.68 6.92 9.58 13.92 25.93 102.91 191.19 276.95 381.93
2023-08-06 57.39 7.49 10.41 15.20 28.55 115.28 215.89 314.23 435.15
2023-08-13 55.80 7.10 9.91 14.54 27.51 113.04 213.33 311.95 433.70
2023-08-20 59.81 7.44 10.42 15.35 29.26 122.17 232.26 341.12 476.08
2023-08-27 39.73 4.80 6.76 10.02 19.26 81.83 156.72 231.18 323.85
2023-09-03 39.20 4.63 6.54 9.74 18.86 81.37 156.91 232.42 326.77
2023-09-10 40.91 4.72 6.71 10.02 19.54 85.56 166.11 247.03 348.52
2023-09-17 42.25 4.78 6.80 10.21 20.03 89.01 173.94 259.70 367.65
2023-09-24 44.20 4.90 7.00 10.53 20.81 93.77 184.43 276.43 392.64
2023-10-01 37.74 4.08 5.86 8.86 17.63 80.66 159.65 240.20 342.32
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