Prediction 949

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Paraíba

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 404.79 48.38 68.09 100.96 194.94 840.45 1622.00 2403.96 3381.70
2022-10-16 400.41 44.52 63.40 95.27 188.10 852.24 1681.86 2526.18 3595.03
2022-10-23 415.77 43.10 62.08 94.50 190.67 906.46 1828.00 2781.50 4003.09
2022-10-30 350.77 33.95 49.45 76.25 157.13 782.88 1612.43 2484.62 3615.16
2022-11-06 342.74 31.04 45.70 71.34 150.07 782.60 1645.25 2566.50 3774.26
2022-11-13 366.67 31.13 46.31 73.16 157.02 856.03 1835.96 2898.48 4306.95
2022-11-20 310.72 24.75 37.20 59.48 130.20 741.34 1621.33 2589.71 3887.31
2022-11-27 282.40 21.14 32.10 51.92 115.85 688.22 1534.15 2478.58 3757.51
2022-12-04 305.34 21.52 33.00 53.97 122.69 759.68 1725.29 2818.66 4314.60
2022-12-11 277.13 18.40 28.49 47.12 109.11 703.63 1627.42 2687.96 4153.69
2022-12-18 209.91 13.13 20.54 34.35 81.01 543.68 1280.18 2137.17 3333.34
2022-12-25 114.55 6.73 10.64 18.02 43.33 302.60 725.17 1223.40 1925.58
2023-01-01 290.53 16.27 25.90 44.21 107.90 782.01 1906.30 3249.17 5159.77
2023-01-08 276.38 14.65 23.53 40.58 100.73 757.99 1879.16 3235.39 5183.05
2023-01-15 330.80 16.63 26.94 46.91 118.38 924.06 2329.10 4049.96 6543.97
2023-01-22 383.59 18.31 29.90 52.57 134.82 1091.04 2795.05 4907.73 7997.21
2023-01-29 467.89 21.22 34.94 62.01 161.57 1354.65 3526.28 6251.22 10271.36
2023-02-05 517.43 22.31 37.03 66.34 175.58 1524.48 4031.30 7214.11 11950.69
2023-02-12 583.15 23.93 40.02 72.37 194.51 1747.89 4694.21 8478.63 14158.84
2023-02-19 611.64 23.89 40.28 73.50 200.59 1864.63 5084.69 9268.11 15600.24
2023-02-26 676.37 25.17 42.77 78.74 218.15 2096.65 5803.93 10674.66 18108.45
2023-03-05 715.19 25.37 43.45 80.70 226.91 2253.73 6331.82 11749.21 20085.10
2023-03-12 730.14 24.71 42.63 79.89 227.92 2338.49 6666.56 12478.92 21494.82
2023-03-19 581.34 18.76 32.62 61.68 178.58 1891.99 5471.96 10331.46 17929.38
2023-03-26 673.54 20.77 36.38 69.36 203.67 2226.89 6532.69 12439.49 21747.48
2023-04-02 838.71 24.73 43.63 83.87 249.71 2816.47 8378.88 16089.45 28334.05
2023-04-09 945.28 26.66 47.37 91.81 277.15 3223.55 9723.61 18827.00 33394.12
2023-04-16 1271.42 34.34 61.43 120.00 367.17 4402.04 13461.18 26277.90 46942.06
2023-04-23 1288.18 33.31 60.00 118.17 366.47 4527.53 14033.25 27617.06 49681.49
2023-04-30 1437.42 35.60 64.57 128.20 402.91 5127.52 16106.52 31951.47 57878.56
2023-05-07 1673.44 39.73 72.55 145.16 462.25 6057.59 19280.82 38551.80 70314.77
2023-05-14 1691.52 38.50 70.78 142.74 460.51 6212.45 20033.45 40370.71 74132.74
2023-05-21 1710.75 37.35 69.12 140.48 459.12 6373.83 20820.83 42282.72 78165.63
2023-05-28 1742.29 36.50 68.00 139.26 460.99 6584.04 21783.84 44577.66 82956.06
2023-06-04 1621.68 32.60 61.16 126.20 423.10 6214.89 20823.87 42936.59 80427.77
2023-06-11 1502.70 29.00 54.77 113.89 386.64 5839.49 19812.19 41157.40 77596.94
2023-06-18 1460.79 27.08 51.48 107.85 370.72 5755.24 19769.48 41373.93 78507.86
2023-06-25 1703.66 29.53 56.75 120.36 422.44 6869.81 24096.64 51064.89 97954.00
2023-07-02 1774.51 28.94 56.15 120.47 430.86 7307.38 26120.60 55983.79 108448.54
2023-07-09 1678.72 25.64 50.28 109.19 398.54 7069.96 25788.02 55943.71 109514.06
2023-07-16 1579.24 22.66 44.89 98.64 367.01 6794.30 25262.59 55436.69 109607.56
2023-07-23 1328.02 17.86 35.77 79.55 301.93 5840.03 22146.66 49175.68 98228.31
2023-07-30 1280.52 16.18 32.74 73.66 285.01 5752.13 22234.53 49939.11 100748.49
2023-08-06 1269.85 15.07 30.81 70.13 276.64 5827.63 22964.66 52177.27 106322.04
2023-08-13 1101.04 12.27 25.36 58.41 234.87 5160.16 20722.27 47617.79 97987.42
2023-08-20 1034.93 10.84 22.64 52.75 216.18 4953.08 20269.33 47105.60 97886.92
2023-08-27 1001.26 9.87 20.82 49.07 204.87 4891.85 20394.10 47925.40 100555.39
2023-09-03 845.78 7.84 16.71 39.85 169.53 4217.89 17911.95 42559.92 90157.32
2023-09-10 850.00 7.42 15.98 38.53 166.96 4325.63 18707.28 44937.03 96097.50
2023-09-17 724.41 5.95 12.95 31.59 139.45 3761.33 16563.35 40219.54 86819.43
2023-09-24 751.80 5.82 12.81 31.57 141.88 3981.74 17849.82 43808.95 95448.14
2023-10-01 749.62 5.48 12.17 30.32 138.72 4048.95 18474.88 45825.43 100762.14
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