Prediction 950

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Paraná

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 849.52 52.92 82.72 138.40 326.95 2207.06 5211.79 8715.89 13614.83
2022-10-16 848.46 47.96 76.15 129.73 315.82 2279.10 5545.96 9442.93 14982.23
2022-10-23 951.41 48.97 78.94 136.83 342.91 2639.37 6611.75 11454.85 18450.21
2022-10-30 1118.24 52.57 85.98 151.57 390.66 3200.59 8246.19 14528.86 23745.45
2022-11-06 1300.21 55.98 92.86 166.38 440.67 3835.90 10156.35 18188.88 30151.19
2022-11-13 1710.16 67.60 113.69 206.94 562.80 5196.19 14127.72 25705.96 43202.73
2022-11-20 1863.97 67.79 115.54 213.58 596.07 5828.37 16261.16 30048.73 51183.05
2022-11-27 2316.82 77.69 134.15 251.74 720.45 7449.95 21315.53 39986.86 69007.40
2022-12-04 2579.52 79.90 139.73 266.11 780.52 8524.48 24997.27 47589.00 83182.06
2022-12-11 2393.41 68.58 121.46 234.67 705.10 8123.60 24401.46 47128.03 83410.90
2022-12-18 2562.39 68.05 122.00 239.07 735.41 8927.52 27454.69 53776.85 96348.10
2022-12-25 2965.96 73.13 132.68 263.59 829.73 10601.55 33362.86 66257.00 120136.43
2023-01-01 3861.73 88.54 162.51 327.24 1053.56 14154.18 45560.59 91712.67 168253.85
2023-01-08 4781.15 102.06 189.49 386.65 1272.68 17960.89 59109.48 120575.01 223763.44
2023-01-15 6064.84 120.70 226.63 468.46 1575.84 23340.60 78503.75 162235.35 304496.39
2023-01-22 7056.52 131.08 248.86 521.02 1790.49 27809.70 95555.81 200017.28 379596.84
2023-01-29 8469.11 147.01 282.16 598.20 2099.34 34164.97 119885.42 254119.19 487560.95
2023-02-05 9716.36 157.79 306.09 657.01 2353.85 40106.78 143673.77 308332.57 597956.03
2023-02-12 11255.41 171.17 335.58 729.11 2665.79 47521.20 173731.41 377403.13 739672.52
2023-02-19 12846.92 183.15 362.81 797.77 2975.80 55460.71 206857.48 454780.64 900635.98
2023-02-26 14957.18 200.10 400.44 890.95 3389.53 66001.17 251074.21 558545.37 1117510.21
2023-03-05 17442.81 219.17 443.04 997.26 3868.39 78649.45 305060.64 686583.84 1387610.79
2023-03-12 18369.81 216.97 442.98 1008.63 3988.17 84611.41 334533.95 761600.56 1554606.45
2023-03-19 19420.98 215.81 444.96 1024.64 4128.79 91350.99 368070.44 847479.51 1746956.76
2023-03-26 21069.75 220.45 458.96 1068.74 4387.48 101180.61 415347.45 967064.22 2012848.15
2023-04-02 21403.60 211.02 443.55 1044.30 4366.81 104906.78 438640.71 1032607.00 2169895.16
2023-04-09 19488.54 181.18 384.45 915.08 3896.63 97468.02 415008.69 987654.29 2095096.13
2023-04-16 16808.13 147.45 315.83 759.87 3294.35 85755.06 371746.42 894247.48 1914702.56
2023-04-23 14733.00 122.04 263.84 641.58 2831.31 76662.80 338274.72 822407.93 1777160.32
2023-04-30 12646.02 98.98 215.95 530.69 2383.39 67096.46 301294.69 740221.48 1614171.15
2023-05-07 9885.42 73.14 161.05 399.93 1827.59 53468.26 244290.89 606425.52 1334345.89
2023-05-14 6910.45 48.34 107.45 269.62 1253.49 38095.07 177057.65 444052.30 985789.27
2023-05-21 4102.59 27.13 60.89 154.41 730.27 23045.86 108941.01 276001.07 618125.93
2023-05-28 3345.72 20.94 47.43 121.53 584.55 19147.21 92039.79 235530.21 532092.58
2023-06-04 2836.81 16.81 38.43 99.48 486.59 16536.36 80816.95 208870.79 475939.34
2023-06-11 2135.37 11.97 27.64 72.31 359.64 12676.34 62975.76 164364.33 377724.68
2023-06-18 1872.16 9.94 23.18 61.25 309.66 11316.16 57138.50 150585.17 348987.17
2023-06-25 1390.93 6.92 16.33 43.70 225.27 8585.77 44178.38 117752.62 275584.16
2023-07-02 1122.49 5.24 12.51 33.89 178.06 7073.42 37079.47 99936.79 236156.14
2023-07-09 860.28 3.75 9.08 24.93 133.62 5535.67 29569.26 80597.01 192322.95
2023-07-16 826.20 3.38 8.28 23.00 125.65 5429.38 29555.56 81477.22 196342.52
2023-07-23 774.89 2.97 7.37 20.72 115.39 5200.41 28849.95 80437.81 195751.12
2023-07-30 735.47 2.64 6.63 18.89 107.24 5040.26 28493.27 80344.10 197444.47
2023-08-06 680.95 2.29 5.83 16.80 97.24 4764.73 27444.34 78257.63 194193.59
2023-08-13 684.93 2.16 5.57 16.25 95.82 4892.35 28706.98 82771.81 207382.58
2023-08-20 712.44 2.12 5.51 16.26 97.65 5193.83 31041.29 90492.28 228899.33
2023-08-27 610.75 1.69 4.48 13.39 82.02 4543.56 27653.80 81500.05 208110.69
2023-09-03 582.89 1.51 4.06 12.30 76.72 4424.07 27416.30 81676.42 210521.60
2023-09-10 804.19 2.00 5.37 16.37 103.80 6225.66 39275.29 118261.94 307657.58
2023-09-17 829.07 1.95 5.28 16.26 104.94 6545.39 42027.94 127894.84 335781.07
2023-09-24 809.37 1.79 4.91 15.29 100.48 6514.48 42563.01 130877.67 346727.10
2023-10-01 979.21 2.06 5.68 17.86 119.27 8034.23 53407.60 165931.52 443555.39
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