Prediction 951

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Pernambuco

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 148.04 16.83 23.89 35.77 70.12 312.42 611.79 914.65 1296.38
2022-10-16 143.76 14.96 21.54 32.79 66.06 312.71 629.26 956.20 1374.55
2022-10-23 128.77 12.29 17.95 27.76 57.46 288.46 596.00 920.09 1340.90
2022-10-30 124.70 10.94 16.20 25.46 54.07 287.41 609.27 955.13 1410.62
2022-11-06 116.09 9.38 14.09 22.47 48.95 275.11 597.92 951.45 1423.50
2022-11-13 105.82 7.89 12.01 19.45 43.43 257.65 573.75 926.35 1403.54
2022-11-20 92.67 6.39 9.85 16.19 37.03 231.65 528.23 865.03 1326.83
2022-11-27 98.99 6.33 9.88 16.47 38.56 253.87 592.38 983.57 1526.82
2022-12-04 93.23 5.53 8.75 14.78 35.41 245.18 585.16 984.76 1546.65
2022-12-11 90.59 5.00 8.00 13.71 33.57 244.13 595.61 1015.63 1613.46
2022-12-18 54.48 2.76 4.50 7.84 19.69 150.44 375.07 647.87 1040.80
2022-12-25 18.14 0.79 1.35 2.44 6.36 51.39 130.95 229.11 372.15
2023-01-01 45.82 2.00 3.35 6.02 15.79 132.54 344.53 610.16 1001.64
2023-01-08 46.66 1.91 3.23 5.87 15.73 138.04 366.13 656.29 1088.73
2023-01-15 60.49 2.34 3.99 7.32 19.96 182.89 494.75 897.39 1504.04
2023-01-22 62.73 2.28 3.92 7.28 20.26 193.78 534.48 980.78 1660.45
2023-01-29 76.57 2.63 4.56 8.56 24.22 241.58 679.09 1260.44 2155.13
2023-02-05 89.06 2.89 5.05 9.58 27.60 286.87 821.62 1542.16 2662.59
2023-02-12 103.74 3.18 5.61 10.74 31.51 341.00 994.77 1887.83 3290.69
2023-02-19 100.67 2.90 5.18 10.02 29.96 337.64 1002.99 1924.17 3385.71
2023-02-26 138.72 3.80 6.83 13.33 40.51 474.49 1434.78 2782.00 4940.56
2023-03-05 149.82 3.88 7.03 13.88 42.90 522.51 1607.91 3150.57 5646.28
2023-03-12 131.58 3.21 5.88 11.74 36.96 467.84 1464.80 2900.00 5244.03
2023-03-19 138.16 3.19 5.90 11.89 38.08 500.61 1594.27 3188.63 5817.11
2023-03-26 168.27 3.69 6.88 13.99 45.53 621.11 2011.43 4063.54 7478.04
2023-04-02 194.56 4.05 7.61 15.63 51.70 731.42 2408.13 4913.33 9119.85
2023-04-09 247.32 4.91 9.28 19.22 64.56 946.68 3168.07 6527.23 12218.49
2023-04-16 309.20 5.85 11.12 23.25 79.30 1204.87 4097.47 8523.79 16089.76
2023-04-23 342.06 6.15 11.79 24.88 86.19 1356.63 4687.43 9844.21 18736.11
2023-04-30 418.00 7.16 13.83 29.42 103.52 1686.86 5920.56 12551.23 24083.59
2023-05-07 468.45 7.64 14.87 31.92 114.04 1923.26 6855.66 14668.99 28374.52
2023-05-14 430.18 6.66 13.09 28.37 102.95 1796.49 6502.61 14041.65 27377.78
2023-05-21 374.83 5.51 10.93 23.93 88.20 1591.93 5850.05 12747.43 25050.36
2023-05-28 377.03 5.28 10.55 23.32 87.25 1628.07 6073.04 13352.34 26443.59
2023-06-04 360.28 4.80 9.68 21.59 82.01 1581.54 5987.38 13281.03 26505.07
2023-06-11 341.99 4.34 8.82 19.86 76.59 1525.88 5861.79 13116.78 26376.80
2023-06-18 322.36 3.89 7.99 18.15 71.03 1461.62 5696.77 12858.40 26052.17
2023-06-25 343.97 3.83 7.97 18.38 73.74 1603.18 6405.46 14674.24 30116.52
2023-07-02 320.17 3.30 6.96 16.30 66.93 1530.12 6252.87 14519.13 30148.72
2023-07-09 289.09 2.75 5.89 14.00 58.89 1417.62 5928.93 13959.15 29336.63
2023-07-16 244.65 2.13 4.65 11.25 48.52 1231.83 5275.70 12598.91 26806.22
2023-07-23 216.16 1.73 3.84 9.43 41.73 1118.05 4905.45 11885.20 25606.56
2023-07-30 205.47 1.50 3.40 8.51 38.60 1091.95 4909.27 12069.43 26334.92
2023-08-06 180.05 1.20 2.77 7.06 32.90 983.39 4531.07 11304.47 24982.07
2023-08-13 163.24 0.99 2.34 6.07 29.01 916.29 4327.08 10955.61 24522.17
2023-08-20 160.19 0.89 2.14 5.64 27.70 924.07 4472.34 11491.11 26050.93
2023-08-27 141.46 0.70 1.75 4.72 23.79 838.59 4159.32 10844.63 24899.84
2023-09-03 144.11 0.66 1.66 4.56 23.59 877.75 4460.85 11801.62 27441.96
2023-09-10 135.88 0.56 1.46 4.08 21.65 850.22 4426.81 11882.41 27979.05
2023-09-17 127.53 0.47 1.27 3.63 19.77 819.56 4370.88 11902.09 28376.88
2023-09-24 106.95 0.35 0.98 2.87 16.13 705.81 3854.96 10647.86 25702.20
2023-10-01 102.53 0.30 0.87 2.61 15.06 694.62 3884.42 10881.72 26590.20
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