Prediction 952

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model 2025 sprint test - Sarima
Author Richard Elias Soares Viana
ADM 1 Piauí

Description:

2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 111.54 13.62 19.12 28.25 54.16 229.59 439.57 648.37 908.27
2022-10-16 48.08 5.49 7.81 11.68 22.86 101.00 196.88 293.52 415.01
2022-10-23 92.54 10.07 14.41 21.75 43.21 198.04 392.69 591.48 843.77
2022-10-30 84.54 8.70 12.56 19.16 38.74 184.35 371.75 565.61 813.95
2022-11-06 116.04 11.35 16.52 25.43 52.23 257.67 528.17 811.52 1177.81
2022-11-13 114.71 10.65 15.63 24.30 50.72 259.31 540.16 837.96 1226.37
2022-11-20 68.93 6.04 8.96 14.09 29.92 158.62 335.70 525.72 775.73
2022-11-27 191.98 16.16 24.09 38.13 82.03 449.17 965.14 1525.36 2268.71
2022-12-04 206.14 16.53 24.83 39.65 86.61 490.43 1069.81 1706.12 2557.53
2022-12-11 178.97 13.67 20.69 33.36 73.96 432.89 958.41 1542.07 2329.46
2022-12-18 26.06 1.82 2.82 4.64 10.54 64.18 144.28 234.22 356.54
2022-12-25 0.57 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.17 1.58 3.72 6.16 9.49
2023-01-01 384.78 25.66 39.69 65.59 151.67 975.92 2255.12 3722.66 5749.90
2023-01-08 558.92 35.69 55.57 92.56 216.99 1439.43 3372.37 5613.15 8732.22
2023-01-15 553.45 33.82 53.04 89.06 211.64 1447.04 3436.56 5766.69 9034.57
2023-01-22 535.44 31.33 49.48 83.76 201.73 1420.91 3419.95 5784.95 9126.33
2023-01-29 936.56 52.57 83.57 142.55 347.77 2521.89 6150.29 10485.70 16655.71
2023-02-05 1196.95 64.45 103.13 177.27 438.11 3269.83 8078.51 13880.58 22197.30
2023-02-12 1579.62 81.64 131.49 227.73 570.03 4376.99 10953.13 18964.48 30529.45
2023-02-19 1348.63 66.90 108.47 189.30 479.89 3789.74 9604.09 16754.83 27149.65
2023-02-26 1674.27 79.80 130.21 228.93 587.59 4770.33 12240.61 21514.13 35087.75
2023-03-05 2388.48 109.45 179.70 318.26 826.90 6898.77 17921.05 31730.64 52081.26
2023-03-12 2966.28 130.72 215.98 385.27 1013.19 8683.92 22833.78 40723.71 67264.49
2023-03-19 3764.14 159.60 265.33 476.70 1268.72 11167.35 29717.83 53382.83 88724.19
2023-03-26 4548.19 185.63 310.49 561.79 1512.96 13672.14 36816.73 66605.06 111382.50
2023-04-02 5226.62 205.42 345.68 629.85 1716.19 15917.08 43366.44 79005.43 132924.32
2023-04-09 5340.21 202.19 342.30 628.01 1731.10 16473.37 45404.18 83292.36 140980.80
2023-04-16 7104.19 259.25 441.50 815.55 2273.87 22195.00 61877.77 114292.06 194602.67
2023-04-23 6920.40 243.49 417.09 775.71 2187.38 21894.21 61733.42 114799.80 196618.06
2023-04-30 5849.65 198.49 342.01 640.37 1826.09 18738.16 53428.98 100024.29 172309.72
2023-05-07 5633.75 184.45 319.65 602.48 1737.19 18269.88 52673.62 99265.59 171988.09
2023-05-14 4931.14 155.82 271.59 515.28 1502.13 16187.23 47183.24 89503.62 155958.77
2023-05-21 3806.46 116.12 203.55 388.73 1145.63 12646.81 37265.41 71150.38 124678.34
2023-05-28 4589.17 135.24 238.39 458.17 1364.83 15430.24 45957.87 88312.36 155616.42
2023-06-04 3501.22 99.67 176.68 341.78 1029.03 11912.16 35858.77 69345.82 122871.43
2023-06-11 3427.33 94.30 168.09 327.20 995.59 11797.99 35891.03 69846.97 124437.69
2023-06-18 3295.48 87.67 157.11 307.76 946.26 11476.35 35278.66 69085.17 123748.72
2023-06-25 2422.18 54.56 100.45 202.95 656.93 8930.10 28896.83 58352.53 107345.32
2023-07-02 2512.86 51.42 96.15 197.75 659.42 9575.03 31917.17 65606.73 122564.02
2023-07-09 2650.07 50.18 95.00 198.23 677.08 10371.36 35413.37 73848.82 139695.10
2023-07-16 2051.78 35.91 68.88 145.83 510.34 8248.04 28850.72 61038.12 116916.38
2023-07-23 3343.67 54.02 104.92 225.44 808.86 13821.13 49572.82 106465.40 206603.79
2023-07-30 2918.33 43.41 85.46 186.47 686.30 12408.53 45651.91 99547.37 195744.38
2023-08-06 2807.44 38.50 76.79 170.11 642.04 12274.92 46309.24 102510.36 204216.29
2023-08-13 2399.44 30.37 61.38 138.01 533.93 10781.67 41688.41 93649.87 188961.62
2023-08-20 1792.71 20.96 42.94 97.98 388.37 8273.80 32770.92 74685.52 152590.98
2023-08-27 1126.08 12.16 25.26 58.51 237.60 5335.45 21637.81 50014.92 103446.55
2023-09-03 1120.41 11.22 23.59 55.43 230.38 5447.34 22610.48 52994.46 110938.16
2023-09-10 767.80 7.10 15.16 36.16 153.89 3829.07 16260.93 38637.18 81847.85
2023-09-17 807.02 6.94 14.99 36.25 157.76 4126.53 17922.89 43163.43 92510.24
2023-09-24 686.54 5.48 11.99 29.41 130.93 3598.08 15977.90 38993.10 84539.11
2023-10-01 605.22 4.48 9.95 24.74 112.64 3249.81 14749.96 36469.91 79970.05
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