Prediction 954
Model | 2025 sprint test - Sarima |
---|---|
Author | Richard Elias Soares Viana |
ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Norte |
Description:
2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 692.64 | 70.96 | 102.37 | 156.18 | 316.30 | 1516.65 | 3070.55 | 4683.17 | 6753.74 |
2022-10-16 | 617.93 | 58.57 | 85.57 | 132.45 | 274.76 | 1389.58 | 2881.54 | 4458.39 | 6510.06 |
2022-10-23 | 526.42 | 46.28 | 68.44 | 107.42 | 228.10 | 1214.73 | 2578.13 | 4044.73 | 5977.63 |
2022-10-30 | 617.73 | 50.50 | 75.56 | 120.22 | 261.06 | 1461.54 | 3172.56 | 5044.83 | 7543.30 |
2022-11-06 | 578.88 | 44.09 | 66.72 | 107.56 | 238.76 | 1403.34 | 3113.63 | 5016.39 | 7586.46 |
2022-11-13 | 577.57 | 41.06 | 62.83 | 102.59 | 232.64 | 1433.70 | 3249.46 | 5302.39 | 8108.14 |
2022-11-20 | 693.97 | 46.14 | 71.38 | 117.99 | 273.16 | 1762.79 | 4079.14 | 6739.44 | 10417.23 |
2022-11-27 | 540.07 | 33.61 | 52.56 | 87.96 | 207.84 | 1403.13 | 3313.34 | 5540.99 | 8655.33 |
2022-12-04 | 540.86 | 31.57 | 49.88 | 84.48 | 203.61 | 1436.42 | 3459.76 | 5854.79 | 9239.94 |
2022-12-11 | 507.11 | 27.80 | 44.37 | 76.03 | 186.84 | 1376.07 | 3379.20 | 5785.10 | 9222.16 |
2022-12-18 | 398.74 | 20.53 | 33.12 | 57.42 | 143.84 | 1105.08 | 2765.67 | 4788.75 | 7709.33 |
2022-12-25 | 136.57 | 6.56 | 10.72 | 18.85 | 48.21 | 386.49 | 985.48 | 1725.48 | 2804.76 |
2023-01-01 | 420.77 | 19.24 | 31.63 | 56.06 | 145.70 | 1214.74 | 3153.97 | 5582.59 | 9160.47 |
2023-01-08 | 530.31 | 22.90 | 38.00 | 68.06 | 180.04 | 1561.62 | 4127.65 | 7384.53 | 12230.14 |
2023-01-15 | 537.58 | 21.93 | 36.73 | 66.48 | 178.99 | 1614.18 | 4342.06 | 7850.08 | 13120.09 |
2023-01-22 | 524.74 | 20.24 | 34.21 | 62.57 | 171.40 | 1606.11 | 4395.45 | 8029.00 | 13539.70 |
2023-01-29 | 630.98 | 23.06 | 39.30 | 72.61 | 202.27 | 1967.95 | 5477.72 | 10107.91 | 17196.04 |
2023-02-05 | 775.02 | 26.86 | 46.16 | 86.11 | 243.89 | 2462.31 | 6968.90 | 12988.45 | 22288.55 |
2023-02-12 | 801.09 | 26.33 | 45.63 | 85.98 | 247.54 | 2591.98 | 7457.22 | 14035.70 | 24291.65 |
2023-02-19 | 1024.63 | 31.98 | 55.89 | 106.30 | 311.00 | 3375.21 | 9868.72 | 18754.95 | 32732.59 |
2023-02-26 | 1326.04 | 39.34 | 69.30 | 133.05 | 395.45 | 4445.96 | 13207.93 | 25341.13 | 44594.16 |
2023-03-05 | 1636.61 | 46.17 | 81.99 | 158.88 | 479.65 | 5583.64 | 16849.94 | 32633.69 | 57896.75 |
2023-03-12 | 1795.53 | 48.19 | 86.26 | 168.71 | 517.27 | 6231.98 | 19099.57 | 37334.56 | 66770.65 |
2023-03-19 | 1392.86 | 35.56 | 64.18 | 126.71 | 394.50 | 4917.10 | 15301.48 | 30184.66 | 54412.67 |
2023-03-26 | 1650.65 | 40.15 | 73.03 | 145.47 | 459.77 | 5925.38 | 18718.75 | 37259.93 | 67693.86 |
2023-04-02 | 2182.38 | 50.63 | 92.78 | 186.42 | 597.95 | 7964.48 | 25537.00 | 51285.75 | 93897.37 |
2023-04-09 | 2768.46 | 61.27 | 113.12 | 229.29 | 746.28 | 10269.32 | 33413.77 | 67696.38 | 124890.55 |
2023-04-16 | 3911.04 | 82.64 | 153.69 | 314.20 | 1037.47 | 14742.96 | 48670.00 | 99464.37 | 184883.62 |
2023-04-23 | 4415.59 | 89.09 | 166.93 | 344.18 | 1152.83 | 16911.80 | 56634.90 | 116737.84 | 218610.10 |
2023-04-30 | 4719.51 | 90.97 | 171.71 | 357.05 | 1212.97 | 18362.24 | 62368.48 | 129649.36 | 244578.83 |
2023-05-07 | 4840.85 | 89.19 | 169.57 | 355.57 | 1224.97 | 19129.35 | 65889.29 | 138119.73 | 262456.65 |
2023-05-14 | 5300.03 | 93.39 | 178.83 | 378.10 | 1320.71 | 21268.19 | 74276.62 | 156995.79 | 300474.76 |
2023-05-21 | 5277.27 | 88.97 | 171.58 | 365.75 | 1295.20 | 21501.19 | 76124.68 | 162224.72 | 312695.08 |
2023-05-28 | 5737.87 | 92.60 | 179.84 | 386.48 | 1387.23 | 23732.00 | 85167.70 | 182971.74 | 355172.25 |
2023-06-04 | 5136.72 | 79.38 | 155.25 | 336.33 | 1223.54 | 21564.17 | 78431.36 | 169855.52 | 332011.94 |
2023-06-11 | 4880.35 | 72.25 | 142.29 | 310.72 | 1145.48 | 20791.89 | 76631.51 | 167279.35 | 329233.81 |
2023-06-18 | 4145.93 | 58.81 | 116.64 | 256.74 | 959.00 | 17922.45 | 66928.28 | 147249.89 | 291793.13 |
2023-06-25 | 4548.13 | 59.34 | 119.28 | 266.65 | 1022.17 | 20235.58 | 77550.70 | 173287.96 | 348042.42 |
2023-07-02 | 4262.53 | 51.48 | 104.78 | 237.62 | 932.93 | 19474.10 | 76433.45 | 173246.24 | 352292.27 |
2023-07-09 | 3701.08 | 41.36 | 85.26 | 196.16 | 788.81 | 17364.01 | 69799.84 | 160489.14 | 330424.29 |
2023-07-16 | 3135.45 | 32.38 | 67.61 | 157.87 | 650.48 | 15112.12 | 62239.00 | 145196.84 | 302726.62 |
2023-07-23 | 2967.94 | 28.31 | 59.88 | 141.90 | 599.20 | 14699.16 | 62038.21 | 146863.95 | 310117.48 |
2023-07-30 | 3037.91 | 26.76 | 57.35 | 137.91 | 596.85 | 15461.13 | 66873.53 | 160650.29 | 343572.74 |
2023-08-06 | 2647.88 | 21.54 | 46.77 | 114.15 | 506.29 | 13846.59 | 61369.94 | 149598.21 | 324015.36 |
2023-08-13 | 2424.56 | 18.23 | 40.09 | 99.31 | 451.28 | 13024.41 | 59140.14 | 146266.11 | 320803.45 |
2023-08-20 | 1581.87 | 10.97 | 24.48 | 61.56 | 286.67 | 8726.80 | 40586.21 | 101826.98 | 226128.67 |
2023-08-27 | 1632.84 | 10.48 | 23.69 | 60.45 | 288.23 | 9247.84 | 44038.75 | 112064.02 | 251936.18 |
2023-09-03 | 1665.53 | 9.91 | 22.68 | 58.69 | 286.48 | 9680.84 | 47189.60 | 121771.31 | 277097.07 |
2023-09-10 | 1545.35 | 8.52 | 19.76 | 51.86 | 259.08 | 9215.22 | 45966.69 | 120262.15 | 276954.70 |
2023-09-17 | 1233.65 | 6.30 | 14.81 | 39.44 | 201.65 | 7544.73 | 38499.26 | 102104.60 | 237929.72 |
2023-09-24 | 1343.68 | 6.38 | 15.18 | 40.97 | 214.23 | 8424.91 | 43965.64 | 118177.61 | 278608.42 |
2023-10-01 | 1082.82 | 4.76 | 11.50 | 31.49 | 168.43 | 6958.46 | 37125.70 | 101122.84 | 241155.90 |