Prediction 955
Model | 2025 sprint test - Sarima |
---|---|
Author | Richard Elias Soares Viana |
ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Sul |
Description:
2025 - Sarima - Preditores da picada
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 188.39 | 4.23 | 7.85 | 15.90 | 51.36 | 690.26 | 2220.72 | 4468.72 | 8195.67 |
2022-10-16 | 156.37 | 3.19 | 6.03 | 12.43 | 41.34 | 590.71 | 1953.22 | 3995.38 | 7432.46 |
2022-10-23 | 49.24 | 0.85 | 1.70 | 3.64 | 12.58 | 191.82 | 651.64 | 1354.55 | 2555.13 |
2022-10-30 | 153.42 | 2.62 | 5.11 | 10.90 | 38.24 | 614.71 | 2143.15 | 4525.05 | 8652.41 |
2022-11-06 | 203.91 | 3.23 | 6.36 | 13.74 | 49.41 | 840.52 | 3006.47 | 6446.05 | 12490.78 |
2022-11-13 | 189.15 | 2.75 | 5.49 | 12.08 | 44.56 | 801.78 | 2940.96 | 6401.22 | 12566.88 |
2022-11-20 | 214.51 | 2.88 | 5.83 | 13.01 | 49.18 | 934.53 | 3513.46 | 7761.05 | 15432.88 |
2022-11-27 | 340.91 | 4.29 | 8.73 | 19.69 | 76.12 | 1525.50 | 5875.70 | 13168.54 | 26516.92 |
2022-12-04 | 346.02 | 4.02 | 8.30 | 19.00 | 75.25 | 1589.84 | 6270.94 | 14255.88 | 29063.17 |
2022-12-11 | 290.80 | 3.11 | 6.53 | 15.18 | 61.60 | 1371.34 | 5537.14 | 12765.17 | 26341.96 |
2022-12-18 | 394.23 | 3.94 | 8.34 | 19.63 | 81.43 | 1907.10 | 7879.48 | 18416.86 | 38461.11 |
2022-12-25 | 316.32 | 2.92 | 6.27 | 15.00 | 63.70 | 1569.29 | 6632.24 | 15713.09 | 33202.52 |
2023-01-01 | 643.79 | 5.61 | 12.11 | 29.21 | 126.55 | 3273.50 | 14146.13 | 33964.82 | 72604.16 |
2023-01-08 | 862.58 | 7.03 | 15.31 | 37.39 | 165.49 | 4494.16 | 19851.98 | 48294.79 | 104419.30 |
2023-01-15 | 726.89 | 5.50 | 12.15 | 30.08 | 136.13 | 3879.35 | 17510.95 | 43154.74 | 94359.44 |
2023-01-22 | 971.22 | 6.89 | 15.34 | 38.45 | 177.66 | 5307.48 | 24473.61 | 61088.43 | 135058.82 |
2023-01-29 | 1365.78 | 9.08 | 20.41 | 51.76 | 244.09 | 7639.93 | 35977.56 | 90940.73 | 203265.41 |
2023-02-05 | 1653.58 | 10.29 | 23.38 | 59.99 | 288.81 | 9465.48 | 45508.80 | 116470.26 | 263146.57 |
2023-02-12 | 2265.85 | 13.23 | 30.34 | 78.76 | 386.87 | 13268.54 | 65113.17 | 168698.45 | 385221.37 |
2023-02-19 | 3548.70 | 19.46 | 45.03 | 118.24 | 592.48 | 21252.63 | 106423.73 | 279084.44 | 644010.30 |
2023-02-26 | 5131.67 | 26.41 | 61.72 | 163.96 | 838.01 | 31422.03 | 160520.92 | 426008.82 | 993292.67 |
2023-03-05 | 6169.72 | 29.81 | 70.35 | 189.10 | 985.69 | 38615.23 | 201197.67 | 540302.54 | 1272748.69 |
2023-03-12 | 6923.29 | 31.41 | 74.89 | 203.65 | 1082.39 | 44280.41 | 235256.65 | 639179.05 | 1520977.11 |
2023-03-19 | 8799.94 | 37.54 | 90.37 | 248.55 | 1346.67 | 57501.01 | 311439.69 | 855978.15 | 2057342.57 |
2023-03-26 | 9955.99 | 39.95 | 97.11 | 270.13 | 1491.68 | 66446.57 | 366813.16 | 1019730.14 | 2475278.06 |
2023-04-02 | 10017.86 | 37.82 | 92.84 | 261.21 | 1469.85 | 68273.89 | 384069.43 | 1079809.41 | 2646874.10 |
2023-04-09 | 8558.60 | 30.40 | 75.39 | 214.53 | 1229.99 | 59549.29 | 341292.05 | 970303.79 | 2401571.48 |
2023-04-16 | 10215.76 | 34.20 | 85.62 | 246.30 | 1438.39 | 72550.83 | 423546.15 | 1217517.74 | 3042427.99 |
2023-04-23 | 8572.50 | 27.04 | 68.36 | 198.85 | 1182.77 | 62127.86 | 369377.89 | 1073467.50 | 2707996.71 |
2023-04-30 | 6001.79 | 17.82 | 45.54 | 133.98 | 811.60 | 44379.15 | 268663.98 | 789265.01 | 2009808.21 |
2023-05-07 | 2927.18 | 8.15 | 21.11 | 62.87 | 388.00 | 22079.24 | 136076.55 | 404059.69 | 1038506.92 |
2023-05-14 | 3533.05 | 9.31 | 24.30 | 73.12 | 459.20 | 27178.72 | 170498.30 | 511664.96 | 1327218.22 |
2023-05-21 | 2056.24 | 5.07 | 13.44 | 40.96 | 262.06 | 16129.70 | 102976.22 | 312292.91 | 817473.10 |
2023-05-28 | 1171.62 | 2.69 | 7.26 | 22.46 | 146.42 | 9369.99 | 60869.37 | 186526.65 | 492685.62 |
2023-06-04 | 880.30 | 1.88 | 5.18 | 16.24 | 107.91 | 7176.31 | 47428.55 | 146844.36 | 391352.23 |
2023-06-11 | 563.28 | 1.10 | 3.13 | 9.99 | 67.72 | 4680.09 | 31463.39 | 98414.25 | 264615.39 |
2023-06-18 | 518.55 | 0.95 | 2.74 | 8.86 | 61.17 | 4390.23 | 30018.13 | 94848.71 | 257276.95 |
2023-06-25 | 404.37 | 0.62 | 1.89 | 6.35 | 45.70 | 3572.13 | 25375.69 | 82034.37 | 226974.99 |
2023-07-02 | 375.91 | 0.52 | 1.64 | 5.61 | 41.40 | 3406.77 | 24763.97 | 81165.99 | 227268.63 |
2023-07-09 | 299.88 | 0.36 | 1.21 | 4.24 | 32.19 | 2786.29 | 20712.30 | 68802.04 | 194900.84 |
2023-07-16 | 526.22 | 0.65 | 2.05 | 7.15 | 55.07 | 5021.04 | 38232.11 | 128839.02 | 369553.95 |
2023-07-23 | 479.40 | 0.53 | 1.74 | 6.19 | 48.91 | 4690.82 | 36535.31 | 124799.94 | 362198.72 |
2023-07-30 | 175.55 | 0.12 | 0.53 | 2.10 | 17.41 | 1762.43 | 14044.29 | 48633.31 | 142827.19 |
2023-08-06 | 218.70 | 0.15 | 0.64 | 2.51 | 21.17 | 2250.81 | 18343.09 | 64378.51 | 191284.13 |
2023-08-13 | 180.27 | 0.09 | 0.48 | 1.95 | 17.00 | 1901.85 | 15847.77 | 56365.68 | 169419.86 |
2023-08-20 | 180.78 | 0.08 | 0.45 | 1.87 | 16.64 | 1954.47 | 16648.51 | 59998.52 | 182410.65 |
2023-08-27 | 71.81 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.65 | 6.40 | 795.94 | 6929.69 | 25301.25 | 77796.84 |
2023-09-03 | 322.86 | 0.18 | 0.77 | 3.10 | 28.38 | 3661.87 | 32573.24 | 120472.61 | 374599.08 |
2023-09-10 | 128.89 | 0.00 | 0.23 | 1.12 | 11.01 | 1497.62 | 13609.54 | 50982.40 | 160291.70 |
2023-09-17 | 209.75 | 0.06 | 0.40 | 1.80 | 17.55 | 2494.38 | 23151.83 | 87833.53 | 279203.38 |
2023-09-24 | 371.95 | 0.16 | 0.74 | 3.13 | 30.48 | 4526.38 | 42898.38 | 164795.73 | 529561.62 |
2023-10-01 | 253.24 | 0.07 | 0.44 | 2.00 | 20.25 | 3153.84 | 30515.77 | 118689.01 | 385521.04 |